NATIONALUM.NSE

National Aluminium Co. Ltd.

In this briefing: National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) - Largely Inline Q4; Rich Valuation Caps Material Upside Hindustan Unilever Ltd - Volume-Led Growth with Gradual Demand Recovery Avenue Supermarts Ltd - Store Additions Support Growth; LFL Remains Weak MAS Financial Services Ltd - Building a Durable Compounding Franchise Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. - Fee Growth and Operating Leverage to Offset Margin Pressure 1. National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) - Largely Inline Q4; Rich Valuation Caps Material Upside EBITDA Inline with Our Estimate: EBITDA stood at Rs 2,349 Cr (down 15% YoY, up 8% QoQ), inline with our estimate, a marginal 3% miss vs. consensus. This was led by lower Alumina division profitability, lower Aluminium sales volumes, partly offset by higher aluminium prices. Alumina Refinery Expansion: The commissioning date for the 5 th stream Alumina refinery of 1 mtpa is kept unchanged at Jun’26; however, FY27 production guidance from it is now reduced further to 2 Lc tonnes from 3 Lc tonnes earlier (original guidance was 5 Lc tonnes).

In this briefing: Asian Equities: Nascent Revival in FII Flows in April, but a Long Way to Go Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 1. Asian Equities: Nascent Revival in FII Flows in April, but a Long Way to Go We argued that Asia was oversold in March. In April FIIs bought back a little, US$1.58bn, predominantly in Taiwan (US$7.83bn). They bought US$493m in Korea and sold US$6.47bn in India. Our study of last 20 years FII investment shows that the present episode is the largest quantum of FII selling in Asia in a short period. The large Asian markets, Korea, Taiwan and India, are all near their troughs in terms of 6-monthly cumulative FII selling as percentage of market cap. India could get sold more. 2. Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Context: The Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) vs.

In this briefing: Asian Equities: Nascent Revival in FII Flows in April, but a Long Way to Go Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 1. Asian Equities: Nascent Revival in FII Flows in April, but a Long Way to Go We argued that Asia was oversold in March. In April FIIs bought back a little, US$1.58bn, predominantly in Taiwan (US$7.83bn). They bought US$493m in Korea and sold US$6.47bn in India. Our study of last 20 years FII investment shows that the present episode is the largest quantum of FII selling in Asia in a short period. The large Asian markets, Korea, Taiwan and India, are all near their troughs in terms of 6-monthly cumulative FII selling as percentage of market cap. India could get sold more. 2. Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Context: The Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) vs.

In this briefing: Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! 1. Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Context: The Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) vs. Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity. Highlight: Going long Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) and short Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) targets a 6% return. Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play. 2. Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported record disbursals of INR 25498cr in Q4FY26, up 37% YoY, leading to AUM growth of 22% YoY resulting in AUM crossing INR 5 trillion.

In this briefing: Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! 1. Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Context: The Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) vs. Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity. Highlight: Going long Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) and short Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) targets a 6% return. Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play. 2. Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported record disbursals of INR 25498cr in Q4FY26, up 37% YoY, leading to AUM growth of 22% YoY resulting in AUM crossing INR 5 trillion.

In this briefing: Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! Primer: Maharashtra Seamless (MHS IN) - May 2026 1. Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported record disbursals of INR 25498cr in Q4FY26, up 37% YoY, leading to AUM growth of 22% YoY resulting in AUM crossing INR 5 trillion. The strong growth came despite winding down of the legacy captive 2W and 3W loan book and slow growth (6% YoY) in the MSME segment where BAF has been cautious. Growth was led by newer segments, especially Gold Loans that have now become 3.5% of AUM and is projected to rise to 5% of AUM by the end of FY27. 2. Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation The impact of the US/Israel-Iran conflict has been uneven across emerging markets (EMs), largely determined by the reliance on Middle East-sourced energy.

In this briefing: Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! Primer: Maharashtra Seamless (MHS IN) - May 2026 1. Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported record disbursals of INR 25498cr in Q4FY26, up 37% YoY, leading to AUM growth of 22% YoY resulting in AUM crossing INR 5 trillion. The strong growth came despite winding down of the legacy captive 2W and 3W loan book and slow growth (6% YoY) in the MSME segment where BAF has been cautious. Growth was led by newer segments, especially Gold Loans that have now become 3.5% of AUM and is projected to rise to 5% of AUM by the end of FY27. 2. Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation The impact of the US/Israel-Iran conflict has been uneven across emerging markets (EMs), largely determined by the reliance on Middle East-sourced energy.

In this briefing: Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! Primer: Maharashtra Seamless (MHS IN) - May 2026 GRSE’s Best Year: Breaking Records 1. Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation The impact of the US/Israel-Iran conflict has been uneven across emerging markets (EMs), largely determined by the reliance on Middle East-sourced energy. The endgame for corporate sectors in EMs will depend on their exposure to Middle East energy supply constraints and higher energy costs, as well as the pricing power of companies. Corporations in Malaysia and Thailand face the largest potential corporate credit stress stemming from a prolonged Middle East conflict, while Chilean and Mexican companies lead the way in Latin America. 2. Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) is a dominant, vertically integrated producer in the aluminium sector, benefiting from significant cost advantages derived from its captive bauxite and coal mines, making it one of the world's lowest-cost producers of alumina and bauxite.

In this briefing: Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! Primer: Maharashtra Seamless (MHS IN) - May 2026 GRSE’s Best Year: Breaking Records 1. Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation The impact of the US/Israel-Iran conflict has been uneven across emerging markets (EMs), largely determined by the reliance on Middle East-sourced energy. The endgame for corporate sectors in EMs will depend on their exposure to Middle East energy supply constraints and higher energy costs, as well as the pricing power of companies. Corporations in Malaysia and Thailand face the largest potential corporate credit stress stemming from a prolonged Middle East conflict, while Chilean and Mexican companies lead the way in Latin America. 2. Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) is a dominant, vertically integrated producer in the aluminium sector, benefiting from significant cost advantages derived from its captive bauxite and coal mines, making it one of the world's lowest-cost producers of alumina and bauxite.