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Brief India: National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) - Largely Inline Q4; Rich Valuation Caps Material Upside and more
In this briefing: National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) - Largely Inline Q4; Rich Valuation Caps Material Upside Hindustan Unilever Ltd - Volume-Led Growth with Gradual Demand Recovery Avenue Supermarts Ltd - Store Additions Support Growth; LFL Remains Weak MAS Financial Services Ltd - Building a Durable Compounding Franchise Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. - Fee Growth and Operating Leverage to Offset Margin Pressure 1. National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) - Largely Inline Q4; Rich Valuation Caps Material Upside EBITDA Inline with Our Estimate: EBITDA stood at Rs 2,349 Cr (down 15% YoY, up 8% QoQ), inline with our estimate, a marginal 3% miss vs. consensus. This was led by lower Alumina division profitability, lower Aluminium sales volumes, partly offset by higher aluminium prices. Alumina Refinery Expansion: The commissioning date for the 5 th stream Alumina refinery of 1 mtpa is kept unchanged at Jun’26; however, FY27 production guidance from it is now reduced further to 2 Lc tonnes from 3 Lc tonnes earlier (original guidance was 5 Lc tonnes).
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Brief India: Asian Equities: Nascent Revival in FII Flows in April, but a Long Way to Go and more
In this briefing: Asian Equities: Nascent Revival in FII Flows in April, but a Long Way to Go Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 1. Asian Equities: Nascent Revival in FII Flows in April, but a Long Way to Go We argued that Asia was oversold in March. In April FIIs bought back a little, US$1.58bn, predominantly in Taiwan (US$7.83bn). They bought US$493m in Korea and sold US$6.47bn in India. Our study of last 20 years FII investment shows that the present episode is the largest quantum of FII selling in Asia in a short period. The large Asian markets, Korea, Taiwan and India, are all near their troughs in terms of 6-monthly cumulative FII selling as percentage of market cap. India could get sold more. 2. Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Context: The Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) vs.
cityfalcon.com
Brief India: Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity and more
In this briefing: Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! 1. Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) Vs. Bajaj Finance (BAF IN): Holding Company Spread Signals 6% Opportunity Context: The Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) vs. Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity. Highlight: Going long Bajaj Finserv (BJFIN IN) and short Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) targets a 6% return. Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play. 2. Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported record disbursals of INR 25498cr in Q4FY26, up 37% YoY, leading to AUM growth of 22% YoY resulting in AUM crossing INR 5 trillion.
cityfalcon.com
Brief India: Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong and more
In this briefing: Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! Primer: Maharashtra Seamless (MHS IN) - May 2026 1. Bajaj Finance: FY26 Ends Strong Bajaj Finance (BAF) reported record disbursals of INR 25498cr in Q4FY26, up 37% YoY, leading to AUM growth of 22% YoY resulting in AUM crossing INR 5 trillion. The strong growth came despite winding down of the legacy captive 2W and 3W loan book and slow growth (6% YoY) in the MSME segment where BAF has been cautious. Growth was led by newer segments, especially Gold Loans that have now become 3.5% of AUM and is projected to rise to 5% of AUM by the end of FY27. 2. Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation The impact of the US/Israel-Iran conflict has been uneven across emerging markets (EMs), largely determined by the reliance on Middle East-sourced energy.
cityfalcon.com
Brief India: Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation and more
In this briefing: Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! Primer: Maharashtra Seamless (MHS IN) - May 2026 GRSE’s Best Year: Breaking Records 1. Uneven Fallout of Middle East Conflict on Emerging Markets, but Asia More Vulnerable to Stagflation The impact of the US/Israel-Iran conflict has been uneven across emerging markets (EMs), largely determined by the reliance on Middle East-sourced energy. The endgame for corporate sectors in EMs will depend on their exposure to Middle East energy supply constraints and higher energy costs, as well as the pricing power of companies. Corporations in Malaysia and Thailand face the largest potential corporate credit stress stemming from a prolonged Middle East conflict, while Chilean and Mexican companies lead the way in Latin America. 2. Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) is a dominant, vertically integrated producer in the aluminium sector, benefiting from significant cost advantages derived from its captive bauxite and coal mines, making it one of the world's lowest-cost producers of alumina and bauxite.
cityfalcon.com
Brief India: Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 and more
In this briefing: Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 Vedanta Ltd: Change in Dividend Policy! Primer: Maharashtra Seamless (MHS IN) - May 2026 GRSE’s Best Year: Breaking Records Maruti Suzuki FY26: Strong Performance, Capacity Ramp and Exports Drive Growth Ahead 1. Primer: National Aluminium (NACL IN) - May 2026 National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) is a dominant, vertically integrated producer in the aluminium sector, benefiting from significant cost advantages derived from its captive bauxite and coal mines, making it one of the world's lowest-cost producers of alumina and bauxite. The company is demonstrating robust financial health, characterized by strong growth in revenue and net income, significant margin expansion, and a zero-debt balance sheet. This financial strength supports aggressive expansion plans and consistent, growing dividend payouts. Future growth is underpinned by substantial brownfield expansion projects aimed at increasing alumina and aluminium production capacity, a strategic focus on value-added products, and investments in renewable energy to enhance sustainability and cost-efficiency, positioning NALCO to capitalize on rising global and domestic demand.
cityfalcon.com
Metal shares surge as West Asia conflict fuels global aluminium price spike
Indian metal stocks saw a significant rise today. Aluminium manufacturers led the gains. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to the West Asia conflict is impacting supply chains. This is expected to push up metal prices. National Aluminium Co, Hindalco, and other metal companies registered strong gains. The Nifty Metal Index outperformed the broader market.
cityfalcon.com
Brief India: Nestle India Ltd - Steller Topline Growth; Margins Under Pressure and more
In this briefing: Nestle India Ltd - Steller Topline Growth; Margins Under Pressure Relaxo Footwears Ltd - Soft Quarter Continues; Maintain HOLD KPIT Technologies Ltd - Soft Quarter; Solution-Based Transformation NTPC - Q3 - Stable Performance Backed by Capacity Additions National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) - EBITDA Beat on Alumina Volumes; Rich Valuations Caps Upside 1. Nestle India Ltd - Steller Topline Growth; Margins Under Pressure Nestlé reported an 18.5% YoY growth in revenue, supported by its strongest volume expansion in nearly five years. Performance was driven by double-digit growth in confectionery and MAGGI noodles, along with robust growth in beverages and prepared dishes, while the Milk & Nutrition portfolio delivered mid-single-digit growth. Management attributed the strong quarter to capacity additions, sustained brand investments, market recovery, and benefits from GST-related changes. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.
cityfalcon.com
Brief Equities Bottom-Up: Relaxo Footwears Ltd - Soft Quarter Continues; Maintain HOLD and more
In this briefing: Relaxo Footwears Ltd - Soft Quarter Continues; Maintain HOLD KPIT Technologies Ltd - Soft Quarter; Solution-Based Transformation NTPC - Q3 - Stable Performance Backed by Capacity Additions National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) - EBITDA Beat on Alumina Volumes; Rich Valuations Caps Upside PICK OF THE WEEK: HCL Technologies Ltd - 31st January, 2026 1. Relaxo Footwears Ltd - Soft Quarter Continues; Maintain HOLD Relaxo reported a marginal 0.2% YoY revenue growth, marking a stabilisation after consecutive quarters of decline. Management attributed the improvement to ongoing sales transformation initiatives, though the mass-market environment remained subdued with cautious consumer spending during the festive season. Heightened competition from the unorganised segment led to increased promotional intensity, aiding topline recovery but pressuring margins, further impacted by higher promotional spend and a one-off cost related to the new labour code. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.
cityfalcon.com
Brief India: Relaxo Footwears Ltd - Soft Quarter Continues; Maintain HOLD and more
In this briefing: Relaxo Footwears Ltd - Soft Quarter Continues; Maintain HOLD KPIT Technologies Ltd - Soft Quarter; Solution-Based Transformation NTPC - Q3 - Stable Performance Backed by Capacity Additions National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) - EBITDA Beat on Alumina Volumes; Rich Valuations Caps Upside PICK OF THE WEEK: HCL Technologies Ltd - 31st January, 2026 1. Relaxo Footwears Ltd - Soft Quarter Continues; Maintain HOLD Relaxo reported a marginal 0.2% YoY revenue growth, marking a stabilisation after consecutive quarters of decline. Management attributed the improvement to ongoing sales transformation initiatives, though the mass-market environment remained subdued with cautious consumer spending during the festive season. Heightened competition from the unorganised segment led to increased promotional intensity, aiding topline recovery but pressuring margins, further impacted by higher promotional spend and a one-off cost related to the new labour code. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.
cityfalcon.com

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