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Brief India: Aye Finance IPO: A Play on Formalising India’s Micro-Enterprise Credit and more
In this briefing: Aye Finance IPO: A Play on Formalising India’s Micro-Enterprise Credit India : Making the Best of the US Trade Deal HDB Financial Services Ltd: The High-Yield Engine of the HDFC Ecosystem Primer: Redington India (REDI IN) - Feb 2026 HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Tata Steel, Shree Cement, Repco Home Finance 1. Aye Finance IPO: A Play on Formalising India’s Micro-Enterprise Credit Aye Finance Limited, a fast-growing MSME-focused NBFC, is launching a INR 1,010 crore IPO comprising a fresh issue and an offer for sale. The company operates in India’s structurally underpenetrated micro-MSME credit segment , combining rapid AUM growth with a granular, cash-flow based underwriting model. Aye Finance offers exposure to a large, underserved lending opportunity , but elevated credit costs and recent profitability pressure warrant close monitoring post listing. 2. India : Making the Best of the US Trade Deal India's terms, as set out in the framework for the agreement, appear generous relative to its SEA peers.
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Brief India: HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Tata Steel, Shree Cement, Repco Home Finance and more
In this briefing: HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Tata Steel, Shree Cement, Repco Home Finance Pitti Engineering Ltd. - Steady Volume Growth Validates Future Earnings Visibility VA Tech Wabag Ltd - Healthy Order Inflows Sustain Growth Outlook; Maintain BUY Hero Motocorp Ltd - Margin Stability, Global Scale-Up & Strong Demand Automotive Axles Ltd - Sequential Margin Upswing with Volume-Led Upside 1. HSIE Results Daily: State Bank of India, Tata Steel, Shree Cement, Repco Home Finance State Bank of India: SBIN’s Q3FY26 earnings beat estimates on the back of healthy growth on both sides of the balance sheet, stable margins, in-line asset quality, and interim dividend from SBI Funds management (~INR2.2bn) Loan growth (+15% YoY) continued to outpace the system, led by pick-up in the corporate segment, even as growth in RAM segments remained strong Deposit growth (+9% YoY, 2% QoQ) was relatively soft, while the CASA ratio declined to 37.5% (-46bps QoQ), with softer traction in CA balances Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only.
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Brief Finance: Molten Ventures — Improved exit visibility and more
In this briefing: Molten Ventures — Improved exit visibility Japanese Banks – 2026 High Conviction Ideas NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE): 2025 CMD: good returns from low-risk PE model Partners Group Private Equity — Strong exits may trigger sizeable buybacks Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) - Dec 2025 1. Molten Ventures — Improved exit visibility Molten Ventures posted a solid 7.9% NAV per share total return in H126, supported by a c 6% constant currency increase in gross portfolio value (driven by operational performance and in some cases improving market multiples) and a c 2% NAV accretion from buybacks. Standout return drivers were two spacetech businesses (ICEYE and Isar Aerospace), fintech Revolut, digital asset custody business Ledger and AI-powered, cloud-based phone platform Aircall. Molten maintains a good realisation pace, with £62m in proceeds in H126, representing 4.5% of opening gross portfolio value (broadly in line with its through-the-cycle target of 10% per year).
cityfalcon.com
Brief India: Meesho Ltd IPO - Value-Led Play, Moderately Priced and more
In this briefing: Meesho Ltd IPO - Value-Led Play, Moderately Priced Thematic Report on Indian Wood Panel Industry: The "Compliance Moat" Supercycle Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story Primer: Castrol India (CSTRL IN) - Dec 2025 Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) - Dec 2025 1. Meesho Ltd IPO - Value-Led Play, Moderately Priced Meesho (1546271D IN) is looking to raise around US$607m in its upcoming India IPO. Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers. In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance earlier. In this note, we talk about the implied valuations in the price range. 2. Thematic Report on Indian Wood Panel Industry: The "Compliance Moat" Supercycle The full enforcement of Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) Quality Control Orders (QCO) has triggered a supply shock, collapsing wood panel imports by 90% as of late 2025.
cityfalcon.com
Brief India: Thematic Report on Indian Wood Panel Industry: The "Compliance Moat" Supercycle and more
In this briefing: Thematic Report on Indian Wood Panel Industry: The "Compliance Moat" Supercycle Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story Primer: Castrol India (CSTRL IN) - Dec 2025 Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) - Dec 2025 Primer: Ambika Cotton Mills (ACML IN) - Dec 2025 1. Thematic Report on Indian Wood Panel Industry: The "Compliance Moat" Supercycle The full enforcement of Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS) Quality Control Orders (QCO) has triggered a supply shock, collapsing wood panel imports by 90% as of late 2025. This creates an immediate INR3,000+ crore revenue vacuum . Combined with a K-shaped real estate recovery favoring premium homes, demand is shifting from unorganized sector (70% share) to compliant listed leaders. The industry is transitioning from a fragmented, low-entry-barrier market into a compliance-driven oligopoly . Organized leaders with scale, certification, and capital efficiency are positioned to capture disproportionate value. 2.
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Brief Finance: Japanese Banks – 2026 High Conviction Ideas and more
In this briefing: Japanese Banks – 2026 High Conviction Ideas NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE): 2025 CMD: good returns from low-risk PE model Partners Group Private Equity — Strong exits may trigger sizeable buybacks Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) - Dec 2025 Chubb Insurance Pre-IPO Tearsheet 1. Japanese Banks – 2026 High Conviction Ideas Our key themes for Japanese banks in 2026 are top line growth due to a hawkish BoJ and the potential for shareholder value creation through cross-holding disposals In the big caps, we stick with Resona Holdings as our top pick for its strong gearing to rising interest rates and its relatively high equity cross-holdings to market value Our top mid-caps picks are Iyogin Holdings and Hokuhoku, both of which are well positioned to benefit from higher interest rates and also have healthy cross-holdings relative to market value 2. NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE): 2025 CMD: good returns from low-risk PE model NBPE’s key takeaways from its 2025 Capital Markets day were i) high-quality portfolio (strong underlying operating performance, particularly among larger positions), ii) well positioned for improving exits (mature portfolio with a number of exit-ready companies), iii) balance sheet strength (flexibility to increase investment in attractive new opportunities in addition to returning capital to shareholders, iv) optimal access via co-investments (NB’s differentiated co-investment platform provides efficient access to attractive opportunities alongside high-quality managers), and v) attractive investment pipeline (focus on mid-life co-investments providing exposure to companies already in the value-creation phase). 3.
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Brief Finance: NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE): 2025 CMD: good returns from low-risk PE model and more
In this briefing: NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE): 2025 CMD: good returns from low-risk PE model Partners Group Private Equity — Strong exits may trigger sizeable buybacks Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) - Dec 2025 Chubb Insurance Pre-IPO Tearsheet Primer: KakaoBank (323410 KS) - Dec 2025 1. NB Private Equity Partners (NBPE): 2025 CMD: good returns from low-risk PE model NBPE’s key takeaways from its 2025 Capital Markets day were i) high-quality portfolio (strong underlying operating performance, particularly among larger positions), ii) well positioned for improving exits (mature portfolio with a number of exit-ready companies), iii) balance sheet strength (flexibility to increase investment in attractive new opportunities in addition to returning capital to shareholders, iv) optimal access via co-investments (NB’s differentiated co-investment platform provides efficient access to attractive opportunities alongside high-quality managers), and v) attractive investment pipeline (focus on mid-life co-investments providing exposure to companies already in the value-creation phase). 2.
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Brief Finance: Partners Group Private Equity — Strong exits may trigger sizeable buybacks and more
In this briefing: Partners Group Private Equity — Strong exits may trigger sizeable buybacks Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) - Dec 2025 Chubb Insurance Pre-IPO Tearsheet Primer: KakaoBank (323410 KS) - Dec 2025 NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade 1. Partners Group Private Equity — Strong exits may trigger sizeable buybacks Partners Group Private Equity Limited (PEY) continues its strong exit activity with €65.4m in distributions in the first nine months of 2025 (9M25) and a further 22% of its end-September 2025 NAV in agreed sales processes. Another 11% of NAV is in listed holdings, which gradually will be sold off. Overall, PEY’s manager expects c €200m in proceeds in both FY25 and FY26, which would bring its exit activity closer to the historical average of 21% of opening NAV per year and which bodes well for its share buybacks. PEY posted a 2.1% NAV total return (TR) in Q325 (supported by a 2.6pp impact from changes in portfolio value), which partly offset the (largely fx-driven) 5.7% NAV TR decline in H125.
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Brief Equities Bottom-Up: Sinopharm Group (1099 HK) – Downgrade to a Sell and more
In this briefing: Sinopharm Group (1099 HK) – Downgrade to a Sell Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story Primer: Castrol India (CSTRL IN) - Dec 2025 Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) - Dec 2025 Primer: Ambika Cotton Mills (ACML IN) - Dec 2025 1. Sinopharm Group (1099 HK) – Downgrade to a Sell We expected growth to improve, however, on the contrary growth has slowed, and there seem to be limited short to medium term positive catalysts. Pricing pressure is still a problem, and competition is intense especially in the fragmented medical device market. Given the relatively low growth outlook, and the fact that Sinopharm is largely a distribution model, we see limited opportunity for the company to re-rate from the current level. 2. Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story Aequs has a strong integrated aerospace ecosystem and deep OEM ties, but consolidated margins remain weak due to low overseas utilisation and losses in the consumer vertical.
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Brief India: Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story and more
In this briefing: Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story Primer: Castrol India (CSTRL IN) - Dec 2025 Primer: Repco Home Finance (REPCO IN) - Dec 2025 Primer: Ambika Cotton Mills (ACML IN) - Dec 2025 Primer: Kse Ltd (KRSE IN) - Dec 2025 1. Aequs IPO: Strong Backlog, Weak Margins — An Operating-Leverage Re-Rating Story Aequs has a strong integrated aerospace ecosystem and deep OEM ties, but consolidated margins remain weak due to low overseas utilisation and losses in the consumer vertical. A robust ₹4,200–4,500 Cr aerospace backlog and India cluster scale provide visibility, but working-capital stretch and customer concentration elevate execution risk. View: Operating-Leverage story; valuation upside (₹180–200) requires utilisation lift and margin recovery. OFS-heavy structure and promoter dilution temper near-term sentiment. 2. Primer: Castrol India (CSTRL IN) - Dec 2025 Castrol India stands as a leading player in the Indian lubricant market, commanding a significant market share of approximately 20-22% driven by its powerful brand equity, extensive distribution network, and technological prowess inherited from its parent company, BP.
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