TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

$TLT Picked up some $80 weekly calls near bottom today. Let’s see that 10Y fade below 5% so that TLT can rebound back close to $82 again. $TNX $TMF

$TLT $TMF If we were about to enter into a generational bull market, what would the bond market look like heading into it?

$TLT The technical indicators are pretty bullish folks: 1. RSI has steadily rose to 65+ 2. MACD is made positive bullish crossover and is widening the gap with the signal line 3. Above 20 and 50 MAs. Next up is 100 MA near $82.55 4. Stretching the upper boundary of Bollinger Band 5. 10Y near or above 5% is attracting lots of bond buyers back This is a low beta ETF, so you are not going to see a quick massive % moves, but you can compensate that by using 3 to 6 months out call options which are very reasonably priced do to the low volatility nature. I have June/2027 calls, which is up 81%. I figure within 8 months of options life time, (hopefully) the Iran war is over, inflation cools, rate hike fear fades, and bonds regains strengths. $TMF $TNX $SPY $QQQ

$TLT Sorry about the lack of posts. I herniated a disk in my back, and will have surgery Friday. BUT, I posted this on my site about the unusual put activty BEFORE the fed statement. The put buyers "knew".

$TLT I wish the shorts would provide a legitimate argument regarding tomorrow’s housing market data. Do they actually expect the numbers to be strong? Do they believe the housing market is improving?

$TLT Dont belive the Federal Reserve put will happen this time. Washington sucking the life out capitol.

$TLT $5 a gallon of gas people will be staying at home just like covid interesting recession this time.

$TLT Just closed it for $550 profit. Not bad for just overnight holding. I knew the 10Y yield would roll back below 5% and TLT would rise. $SPY $QQQ

The Fed held with two dissents for a hike and no guidance, yet the 2yr fell and the 10yr pushed back above 5%. I asked Caelan, my AI quant strategist, why: "Warsh is stripping the Fed of its theater. By nixing forward guidance and cutting meeting frequency, he's signaling an end to the era of verbal micromanagement. The front end slipped because today's "hold" defied the hawkish dissents, providing a brief liquidity exhale. But the long end is revolting. That 10-year crossing 5% is a term premium surge—a demand for insurance against a Fed that refuses to telegraph its path. This +32bp bear steepener reveals a market that accepts the "strong growth" upgrade but fears a lack of a leash. It's the geometry of regime change: the market is reclaiming the right to price risk without a central bank safety net. Warsh isn't just holding rates; he's deregulating the narrative." $TLT $SPY Perspective, not advice.

$TLT listen to warsh finding excuses why not to hike today just give the idea on what the 2% really is... just something to talk about...

$TLT Treasury Bond ETF is trying to consolidate recent gains while trading between its 50 & 200 day moving averages. #IBDPartner

$TLT $TMF -- tmf pumped 20 % in a week from 24.50 .. and i have been pumping all month !! had 50K share! what a miss even same with $POOL BORING CRAP FROM 150... Every idea was nailed 100 % ; but i was greedy and jump in AI craps and miss big win ; just like Burry; never wrong but always early.

$TLT >> Daily Chart >> Hitting the 100 SMA @ 81.90 which is lined up with the top of the V bounce zone On a break above the 200 SMA @ 83.33 is the next target 🎯 Fail to break & turn into support and this could turn into a temporary top zone There are 2 unfilled gaps below RSI is close to 70 and Fast STO is very overbought The MACD 12,26,9 line is getting stretched from the Signal line & the MACD 8,13,5 line is a steep trajectory ADX does show a bull breakout attempt The chart is bullish & the up trend is intact, but might take a breather soon $SPY $TNX $IWM $DIA

$TLT There’s been heavy buy action on the TLT. Is the low in? I’m not so sure? I do believe the FED is done raising rates. They’re definitely not increasing rates in October. I don’t believe they do anything. They’re going to let inflation run. We have a lot of volatility going on right now. I still like bonds. Definitely for those that keep accumulating them. DCA and collect 4-6% yields. I’m staying long miners and energy, but will move more into fixed income at some point. My scale back plan has been delayed. Ignore the noise. Yields will peak. The economy can’t take much more.

$TLT NOV20 83C · in play Zone: $80.77 to $81.91 Invalidation: close under $80 Objectives: $85, then $90 The math: up 4.5% to the first objective and 10.6% to the second, against 1.6% risk on the invalidation, better than 6 to 1 to the second. Dear friend, think of bonds like a seesaw with yields on the other end, because that is how this fund moves. TLT closed Friday at 81 dollars and 34 cents, holding above the 80 dollar line buyers defended for two weeks, after climbing to 81 dollars and 74 cents on Thursday, and that hold is what this swing is riding. When fear rises, money runs to long dated government bonds, and this fund simply rides that run, so a close under 80 dollars says the idea is wrong. The November 20 call gives that drift time to work, with room toward 85 dollars and then 90 dollars if buyers keep control. P.S. Watch 81 dollars and 80 cents first, the Friday high, because a close over it puts Friday back in buyers hands.

$TLT Boomers will take time watch the grandkids grow up. Take a trip or two and take life easy.

$TLT we need fiscal discipline in Washington. Republicans used to lead the way in this, but now, neither political party even mentions it. Long term rates will continue to trend higher.

$TLT $INTC || Intel's five-year CDS spread hit a record 123.5 bps. This marks the largest single-day move since October 2022. $QCOM $QQQ $AMD

$TLT far more risk to Bonds than equities at this political juncture, including any potential permanent agreements with Iran, bonds may become super unattractive

$TLT wonder how long does this rebalancing take. Lower yields actually keep a bid under ai trade. No bids under 5% on 10yr with deficits surging. Based on last 2months we ll be at 3T projected if nothin changes.