If $TNX has peaked for this cycle (sure looks like it) $MCD finding buyers makes total sense. Rotation station is frustrating, but a key cog of the bull market wheels.
12
gpaisa
$TNX didn't we price in 480 rate hikes in the next 5 weeks this morning? Topped out, today confirmed it. Now whats the narrative? #wallofworry or #wallofshame ?
12
AlphaBull_10M
$TNX Finally, 10Y yield is rolling over and falling out of the recent trend range. Yeayyy !!!
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $DRAM
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seeitmarket
$TNX
10-Year US treasury bond yields are toeing the 50-day moving average support. #IBDPartner
Which way will they head next?
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gpaisa
$TNX so short was the right answer, the part the noone really expected was piss on tech/equities as well.
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SamsonCapital
$TNX $SPY Even if yields hit 6 or 7%, that would be historically low. Perhaps high to most people if looking at recent history. Only problem is, can the government afford to pay out 6-7% coupon rates.. let alone 5%? 😂
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ArtOfTrends
Bessent said he was the house.
The 10-year took that personally. Up ~45bps (nearly 9%) since.
$TNX $SPY
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SamsonCapital
$TNX $FED $SPY If Fed pushes the next rate hike to December instead of this month, then US10Y could fly pass 5.5%
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AlphaBull_10M
$TNX The market is bit jittery with 10Y notes auctions today at noon CDT. I supposed it has a chance to briefly attempt to breach 5.4%. 10Y yield has been rising slightly during monthly auction this year.
Note the difference in auction price of 4.834% vs. current secondary market of ~5.3% level.
Therefore, expect some market volatility around noon CDT today.
$SPY $QQQ $BTC.X $SLV.X
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Dr_Stoxx
Yields are the key to unlocking outsized market gains into midterms. We are seeing some cracks here: bearish inside bar, recent bearish divergence, MACD bearish pinch above 0-line, LT cycle rolling off top. Just need to see more volume on the downside move. $TNX $TLT
5
AlphaBull_10M
$TNX 10Y yield dropped out of this 30 min. trending box on cooler than expected Core PCE !!!
You see all we need is just a consecutive signs of cooling inflation for the market to rally really big, which should happen once Iran war ends.
$SPY $QQQ $SOXX $DRAM
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RotationReport
Here's the US 10 year $TNX zoomed in on the 2000s.
The first potential pause area is here ~5.25.
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ospreyeye
$TNX >> Daily Chart >>
Bearish 🐻 Doji Star 🌟 reversal pattern formed on Friday
This is a strong reversal pattern
The bond rally could take a breather soon
That said they're running tonight
Starting to get extreme / tomorrow could be the 4th gap up open in a row
$SPY $SPX $TLT $IWM
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DavyDaveCharts
Yields were too good to pass up but the 10Y $TNX is finding support at 5%. not too many bond buyers under that. Leads me to believe that bond buying should start to exhaust soon and hence, yields back up. $SPY $QQQ $IWM
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SamsonCapital
$TNX $SPY US10Y are the highest since 2002 and could get to 6% if money continues to stay in AI. It’ll take 6%-7% yields to pull investors back into gov bonds.
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ospreyeye
$TNX >> Daily Chart >>
Formed Bullish 🐂 Harami cross ✝️ reversal pattern at the 50 SMA @ 49.84 support level
The 50 SMA @ 50.33 = key 🔑 level to break
Has to hold the 50 SMA / Downside risk below
$SPY $TLT $IWM $DIA
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TheRichFuller
$TNX stalling at the OB zone box (helping
$HD
and
$LOW
) Since 2022, TNX and HD/LOW have tended to move in opposite directions on the same day
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YGLD
Retired Powell Checking The 10Y Like It’s His Ex’s Instagram. Not My Problem Anymore… Still Refreshes Every 5 Min 😂
$TNX $TLT $DJI $SPY $BTC.X
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GoingDark
$TNX $SPY $QQQ #Study here's an update to last month's post as 10 yr yields break out on schedule ..
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SunAndStorm
$TNX Was up only 0.9 bp for today at 5.098% last check, so $ITB was down just 0.38% while $LOW was 0.83%. $IEF +0.08%. (7-10 yr ETF).