High Prices Are Fueling Economic Unrest

National gas prices reached a new record, hitting $4.67 as of Wednesday, leaving consumers and businesses on the hook ahead of the summer travel season. โ›ฝ

This week’s EIA report showed that inventories continue to fall, and President Biden appears to have conceded that the government can do anything to bring down gas or food prices in the near term. ๐Ÿ‘Ž

The White House has already tapped its strategic reserves and asked U.S. producers to ramp up production, but those efforts have provided little relief. Nor has the administration’s bigger-picture plan, which it presented in March. ๐Ÿ“…

This week’s solutions included an oil profits tax/consumer rebateย andย a possible trip to Saudi Arabia to try to advance Middle East peace prospects, which could help calm global oil markets. ๐Ÿ’ก

So far, the market isn’t buying any of these fixes. Instead, this week saw crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil futures rally further to fresh highs. ๐Ÿ“ˆ

Not even news that OPEC-plus agreed to increase output could budge markets. ๐Ÿ˜ฉ

While the solutions to this problem remain a mystery, what’s clear is that high fuel prices will remain a key focus well into the summer and mid-term elections. ๐Ÿ’ญ

Palladium Pops In “Dash For Trash”

One of the key themes we’ve discussed since early November is money looking for a new home in beaten-down areas of the market. That theme continued today with the Federal Reserve confirming the market’s rate cut bets with a dovish statement and projections. ๐Ÿ’ธ

We saw significant rallies in stocks like Carvana, Upstart, SoFi Technologies, Lucid Group, Rocket Companies, and many more highly-shorted names. But it’s not just happening in the stock market. Assets across the board rallied, including one of this year’s worst performers, palladium.

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The Base Metal Blues

The world’s eighth-largest aluminum maker, Alcoa, threw investors for a loop on Monday, unexpectedly announcing a new chief executive officer (CEO). ๐Ÿ˜ฎ

Roy Harvey has led the company since November 2016, when it went public, and will remain a strategic adviser until the end of 2023. He’ll be replaced by William Oplinger, who has served as executive vice president and chief operations officer (COO) since February of this year.

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The Market’s Next Show Stopper

While the U.S. economy continues to hold up relatively well, investors remain fearful about China and other international economies. So, one of the markets they’re watching for clues as to what might be ahead is copper futures. ๐Ÿ•ต๏ธโ€โ™‚๏ธ

We spoke about copper in May when investors viewed its selloff as a bearish economic diagnosis. And now, it’s back in the news for a similar reason. ๐Ÿ“ฐ

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Grains Lose Their Gains

Grain commodities were the talk of the town for a bit during the pandemic, as soaring prices pushed up producer and consumer inflation. They’ve not gotten a lot of headlines lately, as a slow and steady decline is less interesting than a sharp increase. ๐Ÿ˜ด

However, they were back in the news today after making a swift move lower. The USDA quarterly grain stocks report showed higher stocks and production than initially anticipated. Wheat was hit the hardest, though soybeans and corn were both down too. ๐Ÿ“‰

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