Solar Stocks Heat Up

Residential solar stocks popped this week after some good news out of California. 🌞

The state originally proposed a plan that made rooftop solar power more expensive. And its new plan still will, just not as much as investors expected. This is important because California is the top state for solar in the country. Roughly 1.5 million residential installations have a roughly 12 gigawatts power generation capacity.

Barron’s has a solid outline of the key facts. But what investors need to know is that analysts say this proposal was a significantly better outcome for the industry than its previous iteration.

The news put a tailwind behind solar stocks, with $TAN shares rising 10% this week. This sector will likely remain on people’s radars as the world searches for additional energy sources. 👀

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The Tale Of Three IPOs

We last talked about the U.S.’s largest initial public offerings (IPOs) a month ago, when their results failed to inspire confidence among investors. However, we wanted to bring them back this week because at least one of them is perking up. 👀

The chart below shows Arm Holdings closing at its highest level since coming public, now firmly in positive territory. Klaviyo, which started off hot, is between its highs and lows. But Instacart remains on a downward path, making fresh lows this week before rebounding marginally. 📊

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Traders’ Updated S&P 500 Roadmap

Just because the calendar changes dates doesn’t mean the market’s trends do. As such, now seems like a great time to update the S&P 500 roadmap many traders used throughout 2023. 🗺️

Below is a two-year daily candlestick chart with a few key indicators. The first is the 200-day moving average (blue), which traders use to track the long-term trend in the market. The next two are the anchored volume weighted average price (AVWAP) from the market’s 2022 highs and 2022 lows. Traders use this to track how the average buyer/seller has fared in the market from a specific date.

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How The Markets Performed In 2023

As our article about the ultra-wealthy showed, 2023 was a great year for assets (especially the publicly traded ones). Let’s take a quick peek at how things panned out. 👇

First, let’s start with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index. The chart below shows that the index had one of its best rolling 12-month total returns in decades, rising 55%. The actual total return index also hit new all-time monthly closing highs, reiterating that bulls took back the momentum this year in a big way. 🤩

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Chinese Stocks On The Rocks (Again)

One of the key themes we discussed last year was the underperformance of Chinese stocks. While India and other emerging markets rallied sharply (along with the rest of the world), China’s stock market was stuck in the mud because of slowing growth, weak consumer spending, a property market crisis, and geopolitical tensions. ⚠️

Unfortunately for emerging market investors, none of those core issues have improved in 2024, leading its stock market to fall even further to start the year. 😬

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