Nvidia Tops Amazon

It seems like Nvidia is hitting a new milestone every day, so why would today be any different? 🀷

This morning, we saw a massive squeeze in shares of Arm Holdings, which soared more than 40% before pulling back midday. That led to other semiconductor stocks rising alongside it as investors’ optimism around the sector continued. πŸ“ˆ

The move also pushed Nvidia’s market cap to the fifth largest in the world, with it momentarily passing Amazon to claim that spot. For context, the last time the chip giant was worth more than Amazon was back in the early 2000s. After twenty years of underperformance, Nvidia is trying to claw its way back up. 🀯

We’ll have to see if it can snag that spot in the coming days and weeks as its epic run continues… πŸ₯΅

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Semi Stocks Continue To Soar

Semiconductor stocks remain the focus of investors and traders, with Nvidia and Super Micro Computer pushing to all-time highs. The industry is starting the week with several analyst upgrades as Wall Street continues to chase these companies higher. 🌠

Despite the growing concern that the fundamentals may not fully support these short-term surges in price, the path of least resistance remains higher.

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Traders’ Updated S&P 500 Roadmap

Just because the calendar changes dates doesn’t mean the market’s trends do. As such, now seems like a great time to update the S&P 500 roadmap many traders used throughout 2023. πŸ—ΊοΈ

Below is a two-year daily candlestick chart with a few key indicators. The first is the 200-day moving average (blue), which traders use to track the long-term trend in the market. The next two are the anchored volume weighted average price (AVWAP) from the market’s 2022 highs and 2022 lows. Traders use this to track how the average buyer/seller has fared in the market from a specific date.

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Definitely “A” Top, Maybe Not “The” Top

We don’t want to say CNBC caused the top in Super Micro Computer Inc., but they definitely pushed sentiment over the edge. πŸ€ͺ

Mania’s are hard to time, but most market participants agree that today was “a” top in the stock. What we all fail to agree on is whether it was “the” permanent top. Let’s see how it played out. πŸ‘‡

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Stocks Reverse From All-Time Highs

For seemingly no good reason, the stock market experienced its first bout of volatility in several weeks today. The sharp turnaround had some latecomers to the party asking how this could happen to them. As such, it seems like a good time to update our handy S&P 500 roadmap we’ve shared throughout the year. πŸ—ΊοΈ

The last time we checked in on this was in early November when stocks found support at a confluence of “technical” levels that many market participants were watching. Since then, it’s been quite the wild ride, with the S&P 500 rallying over 16% in about eight weeks and approaching its all-time highs from 2022.

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