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ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood on Sunday pointed to PepsiCo’s (PEP) pricing strategy to explain how falling costs could drive demand and support risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC).
Bitcoin’s correlation with gold has been around 0.14 since 2019, close to zero, showing that it’s a separate asset class, not a traditional macro hedge,” Wood explained on The Rollup podcast on Sunday.
To explain this idea, Wood pointed to PepsiCo’s Frito-Lay business, where price cuts of around 15% recently led to stronger-than-expected sales volumes. She described this as “good deflation,” where lower prices encourage more spending and boost overall demand.
She said a similar dynamic was playing out in technology, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI), where training costs are falling sharply, and inference costs are dropping as much as 85% to 95% per year. This cost compression, Wood argued, could accelerate adoption and productivity, supporting real economic growth even as inflation goes down.
That backdrop, Wood said, was already reshaping the macro narrative. While markets continue to view the Federal Reserve as “hawkish,” Wood pointed to improving global liquidity conditions and easing inflation signals. She cited “Trueflation,” a blockchain-based inflation tracker, which shows a continued downward trend in price pressures.
According to Wood, the combination of falling inflation and resilient growth could give the Fed room to loosen policy, creating a more supportive environment for liquidity and risk assets like Bitcoin.
Within crypto markets, she referenced analysis from on-chain analyst David Puell, in the latest Bitcoin quarterly report last week, who identified a potential “dead zone” between $50,000 and $55,000 for Bitcoin, suggesting that range could act as a structural bottom in weaker conditions. Bitcoin has since traded near the $80,000 level, marking a return toward multi-month highs.
Bitcoin’s price was trading at $79,486, up by 1% over the past 24 hours, marking a return to multi-month highs. On Stocktwits, the retail sentiment around BTC moved to ‘bullish’ from the ‘neutral’ zone, while chatter around it stayed in the ‘normal’ levels over the past day.
Separately, last month ARK has also trimmed Bitcoin exposure, selling 243,147 shares of its ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) as part of ongoing portfolio rebalancing. ARKB’s price was up over 2% during morning trading hours. On Stocktwits, the retail sentiment around ARKB remained in the ‘bearish’ zone, while chatter around it stayed in the ‘extremely low’ levels over the past day.
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