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Infosys is showing signs of short-term technical exhaustion as it struggles near the crucial ₹1,600 resistance level, said SEBI-registered analyst Vijay Kumar Gupta.
Infosys traded 2% lower on Monday, reflecting the weakness in broader markets. The Nifty IT index continued to slide after Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) reported weak first-quarter results on Friday. All eyes now turn to IT bellwether Infosys, which is expected to report Q1 earnings on July 23.
Mapping the technicals
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The stock has slipped below key Ichimoku Cloud indicators, the Tenkan-Sen at ₹1,596 and Kijun-Sen at ₹1,594.9. It is hovering just above the Kumo cloud, indicating that the long-term trend remains intact but short-term momentum is weakening. The flattening of the Lagging Span (Chikou) near current price levels further reflects a lack of trend strength, Gupta added.
While there has been a surge in volumes (11.39 million compared to an average of 6.52 million), suggesting institutional activity, the bearish candle structure implies increased selling pressure, the analyst noted.
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Momentum indicators, including commodity channel index (CCI), have fallen sharply to -155.45, breaking down from overbought territory and forming a negative crossover with its average. On-Balance Volume (OBV) is stagnating, showing divergence with price action, which may indicate distribution.
Infosys: What next?
The analyst sees immediate support at the lower edge of the cloud at ₹1,565, while the ₹1,520 level serves as a key structural support. Resistance persists in the ₹1,600- ₹1,606 range, with multiple rejections observed.
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Bullish confirmation would require a sustained move above ₹1,620, along with improving volume and a CCI recovery above zero.
Gupta asks to avoid taking fresh long positions until the stock stabilizes above ₹1,565 and momentum indicators turn positive. Swing traders are recommended to wait for either a breakdown below ₹1,565 or post-earnings clarity. For long-term investors, the ₹1,520 zone remains a critical make-or-break level.
Infosys shares have shed nearly 17% this year.
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