Ro_Patel
Rumour: $MRVL in talks to buy $LITE - the deal would combine 2 of the largest players in the optical-networking sector
Lumentum has a market valuation of $84.6B currently, which would be a hefty chunk of Marvell 's own $193.2 market cap (includes today sell-off). Marvell has $3.9B in cash & $5B of LT debt on its balance sheet - FY26 est'd FCF at $2.69B & FY27 FCF at $5.16B
Any deal would probably lean on new shares, debt, or both
Marvell already makes the signal-processing chips & silicon photonics that go into optical modules, but it relies on outside suppliers for lasers. Adding Lumentum would let Marvell build complete modules for data center networks & lets Marvell tune its chips around its own lasers to get better yields., much as $AVGO already can
Note: Lumentum has said its optical components are sold out into early 2029 & that it can’t fill about 70% of demand for certain products thru 2027. Since every optical DSP Marvell ships needs a laser beside it, those shortages cap Marvell’s own growth
By Lumentum’s est, China vendors make about 70% of the transceivers sold in the US & many use Marvell chips. If those modules face restrictions, a combined company w/ US-made DSPs & lasers could step into the gap
Note: $NVDA is a key Lumentum customer & a rival to Marvell’s custom chip business - they might also start lining up backup laser suppliers.
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