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Prediction market platform Polymarket is working with technology firms such as Palantir Technologies (PLTR) and TWG AI to strengthen oversight of its sports-related contracts, amid growing scrutiny of prediction markets over potential insider trading.
Palantir and TWG AI will help Polymarket monitor trading activity, detect suspicious behavior, and report possible violations. The system will also screen users against lists of individuals already banned from sports betting.
PLTR shares were down more than 3% in afternoon trading.
The Vergence AI engine, developed last year through a joint venture with Palantir and TWG AI, will provide the technical backbone for the new system to help detect, prevent, and report suspicious or unusual activity.
Vergence provides end-to-end oversight of trading activity, using near real-time models to detect unusual patterns, potential manipulation, and insider risks. The system also screens restricted participants and supports compliance through monitoring tools, investigation workflows, and automated reporting, Polymarket said.
“Our approach is building the surveillance models, identity screening, and detection frameworks from the ground up, designed specifically for the unique risk profile of sports prediction markets,” said Drew Cukor, Global Head of AI at TWG AI.
Prediction markets have come under serious scrutiny, particularly amid geopolitical events. The war involving Iran, the U.S., and Israel has sparked debate over what limits prediction markets should allow on betting on sensitive issues. Platforms like Polymarket have seen users wager millions of dollars on outcomes ranging from military conflict to regime change.
Last week, Polymarket removed a betting market on the timing of a potential nuclear detonation after the contracts attracted significant attention and drew public criticism.
Prediction markets have seen a surge in activity tied to the conflict, with more than $529 million traded on Polymarket contracts related to U.S. strikes on Iran, according to a Bloomberg report last week.
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