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Investors will watch Reliance Industries (RIL) closely on Friday as the company prepares to declare its March quarter earnings after the market closes. The stock is down nearly 1% in afternoon trade amid a broader downturn in Indian equities.
Mukesh Ambani-led conglomerate is likely to post a mixed quarter. According to a Moneycontrol survey of eight analysts, RIL is expected to report Q4 revenue of ₹2.38 lakh crore, marginally higher than the ₹2.37 lakh crore recorded in the same quarter last year.
EBITDA is projected at ₹43,491.6 crores, up from ₹42,516 crores year-on-year, while net profit is estimated at ₹18,820 crores, slightly below the previous year's ₹18,951 crores.
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Analysts have flagged several pressure points for this quarter, including a 28% quarter-on-quarter increase in ethane prices, which has raised feedstock costs, flat-to-lower petrochemical prices, and weak oil cracks that are likely to impact refining margins.
On the positive side, continued imports of discounted crude — 34% from Russia, 18% from Iraq, and 6% from Venezuela — are expected to help cushion the impact on gross refining margins.
Bloomberg reports that the stock is entering the earnings season with the highest 'buy' ratings since 2008.
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However, data on Stocktwits India shows that retail sentiment has turned 'bearish' from 'bullish' a week ago amidst 'high' message volumes.

SEBI-registered analyst Rohit Mehta has identified several key technical levels for Reliance Industries ahead of the company's Q4 FY25 results.
With the current market price around ₹1,300, he highlights the all-time high resistance at ₹1,603. On the downside, the first major support zone is seen between ₹1,235 and ₹1,251, which could act as a cushion if the stock faces selling pressure.
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Should the stock break below this range, the next support area is identified between ₹990 and ₹1,015, providing a deeper safety net for long-term investors.
RIL stock has gained 7% year-to-date (YTD)
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