SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

TRUMP is a politics-themed digital coin built on the Solana blockchain that uses the brand of Donald Trump to foster a community-driven ecosystem. As a community-focused asset, it is designed to bridge political support with web ownership, operating within the PolitiFi sector to blend political movements with decentralized finance tools. The project's main value proposition lies in its official ties to Donald Trump’s media and business brands, which allows it to provide unique physical utility such as invitations to gala dinners and meetings at Mar-a-Lago.  The token serves as the primary currency for the officially licensed Trump Billionaires Club mobile and web game, where it is used for in-game purchases and unlocking features. By leveraging the Solana blockchain, the project ensures that these in-game actions and token transfers remain fast and cost-effective. The ecosystem remains stable through a programmatic release schedule that introduces new tokens slowly to prevent supply shocks, alongside the use of specialized market makers to maintain consistent liquidity for traders.  Holders can also participate in liquidity sharing by providing their tokens to automated systems to facilitate trading for others, often earning rewards or prizes in return. Beyond digital utility, holding a specific amount of the token is a requirement for attending exclusive real-world events, including VIP parties at Mar-a-Lago. The project is managed by the Trump Meme Team and is linked with Trump Media, with an investor base that includes a wide range of retail buyers and large holders who utilize secure custody services for their assets.

Trump For President

The $TRUMP meme coin is trending as community members engage in heated debates over its legitimacy, with many labeling it a pump-and-dump scheme while others cling to hope for a reversal. Discussions are heavily focused on the coin's sharp decline, allegations of fraud involving the Trump family, and its role as a proxy for broader political frustrations and speculative gambling.

Solana is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed for mass adoption by providing a fast, secure, and low-cost environment for decentralized applications. It distinguishes itself by scaling globally without the use of complex sharding or multiple layers, instead maintaining a single, unified ledger to avoid liquidity fragmentation. This architecture allows it to process thousands of transactions per second with sub-second finality, often at a cost of less than a penny per transaction.  The network operates on a unique hybrid model that combines Proof of Stake with an innovation called Proof of History, which functions as a decentralized clock to timestamp transactions. This system reduces the need for constant node communication, allowing the Sealevel engine to run non-conflicting smart contracts in parallel across multiple CPU cores. Further efficiency is gained through the Gulf Stream protocol, which reduces confirmation times by forwarding transactions to validators before the current block is finished.  Founded in 2017 by Anatoly Yakovenko, Solana is now supported by the Switzerland-based Solana Foundation and significant institutional investors like Andreessen Horowitz and Polychain Capital. The platform’s native token, SOL, serves as the primary currency for paying transaction fees, participating in network governance, and securing the system through staking.   Solana has also seen significant institutional adoption ranging from spot Solana ETFs to major partnerships including Visa's 2025 launch of USDC settlement on the network and the tokenization of public equity by firms like Galaxy Digital.

Solana

Solana is capturing significant community attention as investors monitor its resilience alongside broader market fluctuations and ecosystem developments. Discussions are heavily centered on its role in decentralized finance, ongoing staking rewards, and its potential as a high-throughput blockchain alternative to established networks.

"What's Updog?" is a Community Led token.

UpDog

The UpDog community is rallying around its long-standing presence on the Solana network, emphasizing its history as a veteran memecoin and utilizing community-driven poker events and social media engagement to maintain momentum. Supporters are actively discussing the token's long-term durability and the potential for a community-powered resurgence, while others continue to debate the nature of such high-risk, humor-based assets.

RAGE GUY (RAGE) is a cryptocurrency inspired by the Rage Guy meme, one of the earliest and most recognizable characters from internet rage comics. The project captures the cultural legacy of early meme history and brings it onto the blockchain in tokenized form. It is designed as a community-driven digital asset that celebrates internet culture, nostalgia, and the role memes play in shaping online communities.

Rage Guy

The RAGE community is driving a massive grassroots movement to restore internet culture by leveraging original, decade-old Rage Comic tools and domains. Supporters are heavily promoting the project as an undervalued, community-driven alternative to modern, manufactured memes, emphasizing long-term conviction and 'bag-working' to reach top-tier status.

Index Coop is a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) that builds structured DeFi products and strategy tokens. Index Coop offers a suite of sector index products, leverage and inverse products, and yield-generating products. The product suite runs on Set Protocol, an audited, self-custodial DeFi tool that allows for the creation and management of Ethereum-based (or ERC-20) tokens. Changes to the DAO are voted on by the owners of a governance token called INDEX and then implemented by a team of developers. INDEX holders wield voting power on a 1:1 basis, meaning one token equals one vote.

Index Cooperative

Index Cooperative is experiencing a surge in social media discussion as community members speculate on its potential for significant growth, frequently comparing it to other low-float assets and highlighting its role in decentralized finance. Despite some community warnings about volatility and pump-and-dump risks, many active participants are expressing long-term bullish sentiment, focusing on the token's limited circulating supply and its potential to benefit from broader DeFi cycles.

Dogecoin is an open-source digital currency based on the "Doge" meme that functions as a peer-to-peer medium for fast payments and digital tipping. Unlike projects backed by corporate entities, its value is driven by a global community, and the project is managed by a decentralized group of volunteers and the non-profit Dogecoin Foundation rather than a formal company.  Originally created in 2013 by software engineers Billy Markus and Jackson Palmer as a market parody, the project held no public sale or venture capital rounds. The network operates as a fork of LuckyCoin, which itself was a fork of Litecoin, using a proof of work consensus mechanism. It employs the Scrypt algorithm to ensure the mining process remains fast and efficient, with new blocks processed every 60 seconds. A unique technical feature is its use of merged mining, allowing miners to secure Dogecoin simultaneously with other Scrypt-based networks like Litecoin.  To keep transaction fees low and the network running indefinitely, Dogecoin features an uncapped supply where new coins are added forever. In a major regulatory milestone in March 2026, a joint SEC and CFTC framework officially classified Dogecoin as a digital commodity, placing it in the same asset category as gold or oil.

Dogecoin

Dogecoin is facing heightened community attention as traders debate its current valuation, with many users speculating on potential catalysts like meme-cycle dynamics and possible integration with X payments. While some holders express frustration over sluggish price action, others are actively comparing it to newer meme projects or positioning for a breakout on upcoming thematic days.

APE fuels culture. Backed by the best club in the world and hundreds of thousands of holders worldwide, it’s the token for digital and IRL communities, builders, creators, collectors, gamers, and beyond.  APE is the native gas token of ApeChain and is available across multiple ecosystems including Ethereum, Arbitrum, Solana and HyperLiquid.z  ApeCoin's mission is is to supercharge its ecosystem by supporting high-quality builders &amp; reinforcing 3 core pillars: ApeChain, Bored Ape Yacht Club, and Otherside.

ApeCoin

ApeCoin is seeing a surge in trading volume and social media chatter, with investors actively debating its breakout potential amid broader market interest in NFT-related gaming tokens. Community members remain polarized, with many looking for a repeat of past rallies while others remain skeptical of the token's long-term utility.

Dumb SEND IT

Dumb SEND IT ($DSIT) is gaining traction as a new community-led meme project, with participants actively promoting its potential to achieve significant market cap growth through collective buying and holding. The community is focused on building momentum through viral social outreach, manual airdrops from the developer, and the anticipation of upcoming chart integration.

Orca is the most user-friendly DEX on Solana.  Orca is one of the first general-purpose AMMs launched on Solana. Users can swap assets, provide liquidity, and earn yield through an easy-to-use interface. Projects can use Orca as a money-lego to easily integrate swapping, farming, or on-chain data into their dApp.  Orca strives to provide easy and effective financial tools for everyone, bringing DeFi to the masses.

Orca

Orca is trending as investors discuss its high-beta potential on the Solana network, with many community members highlighting it as a prime candidate for short squeezes following volatility-driven price action. Discussion is heavily focused on its role as a leading decentralized exchange, with traders debating its long-term growth prospects alongside recent ecosystem integrations and yield-generating liquidity pools.

Monero

Monero is trending as market participants increasingly pivot toward privacy-focused assets, with community discussions highlighting its reputation for true fungibility and anonymity compared to more transparent blockchains. Traders are actively debating the potential for long-term growth as privacy narratives gain traction, while some analyze the asset's technical patterns in relation to its historical role as a hedge against broader market volatility and regulatory scrutiny.

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>U.S. Attorney General for the District of Columbia, Jeanine Ferris Pirro, added that she is confident the IG’s report will assist in resolving the questions that led the DOJ to issue subpoenas.</li><li>Earlier on Friday, President Trump told Semafor that an alternative investigation into the Federal Reserve’s renovation project could be considered.</li><li>During an interview with Fox Business earlier this week, Senator Thom Tillis said that he will continue to block Warsh’s confirmation, stating that the process cannot move forward until the Powell investigation is over.</li></ul>The U.S. Department of Justice on Friday dropped its criminal investigation into outgoing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, clearing a hurdle in the confirmation of Kevin Warsh as the successor.U.S. Attorney General for the District of Columbia, Jeanine Ferris Pirro, made the announcement, while stating that the Inspector General for the Federal Reserve will undertake an inquiry into the cost overruns for the central bank’s $2.5 billion project.Pirro added that she is confident the IG’s report will help resolve the questions that led the DOJ to issue subpoenas.“I have directed my office to close our investigation as the IG undertakes this inquiry.&nbsp; Note well, however, that I will not hesitate to restart a criminal investigation should the facts warrant doing so,” Pirro stated in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/USAttyPirro/status/2047679907312939264">post</a> on X.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Pirro_post_jpg_d752badf4d.webp" alt="US Attorney Pirro's post on X" width="584" height="391"><figcaption>US Attorney Pirro's post on X | @USAttyPirro/X</figcaption></figure>During an&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/gop-senator-block-warsh-nomination-until-bogus-powell-probe-ends">interview</a> with Fox Business earlier this week, Senator Thom Tillis said that he will continue to block Warsh’s confirmation, stating that the process cannot move forward until the Powell investigation is over.“At the end of the day, there's only one thing that solves this problem, and it's getting rid of the bogus investigation that started without the president's knowledge and has created this situation,” Tillis said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump Signaled Alternative Probe</h2>According to a Semafor&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.semafor.com/article/04/24/2026/trump-open-to-alternative-fed-renovation-probe">report</a>, President Trump signaled that an alternative investigation into the Federal Reserve’s renovation project could be considered.“[They] could. I mean, look, it’s pretty easy,” he said. Trump added that&nbsp;the administration still needs to find out what went wrong with the project.Senator Bill Hagerty&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/kevin-warsh-outstanding-job-senate-hearing-fed-chair-bill-hagerty/cZBBox9ReGV">said</a> during an interview earlier this week that resolving the stalemate over the Powell probe was possible, adding that he would accept any available off-ramp.“I’m more than willing to consider anything that would help accelerate his nomination and get him into this post. We need him there by the middle part of May, so that Jay Powell can finish her term,” Hagerty added.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Warsh Seeks ‘Regime Change’ In Fed’s Inflation Framework</h2>Warsh&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/kevin-warsh-regime-change-fed-inflation-framework-senate-hearing/cZBIZLlRI6P">called for</a> a “regime change” in the central bank’s inflation framework during the Senate hearing earlier this week, stating that the Fed missed its mark when prices soared by 25% to 35% for Americans across the board post the COVID-19 pandemic.“We’re still dealing with the legacy of the policy errors in 2021 and 2022. Once you let inflation take hold in the economy, it’s more expensive and harder to bring it down,” he said at the Senate Banking Committee’s confirmation hearing.Warsh added that the Fed needs fundamental policy reforms to address the issue, noting that although inflation has eased from recent highs, ordinary Americans are still reeling from higher prices.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Friday morning’s trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up 0.46%; the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 1.46%; and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.4%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits regarding the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘bullish’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/amd-stock-upside-ahead-of-q1-earnings-due-to-intel-q1-beat/cZBh3KsRecI">AMD Has 'Meaningful Upside' Ahead Of Earnings Due To Magnitude Of Intel's Q1 Beat, Says Analyst, Hikes Price Target By 70%</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

DOJ Drops Jerome Powell Probe, Clearing Path For Kevin Warsh’s Confirmation As Fed Chair

The Inspector General for the Federal Reserve has been directed to undertake an inquiry into the cost overruns for the central bank’s $2.5 billion project.

Equity

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>While the extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire offered some relief, the lack of progress on a broader Iran deal kept oil prices elevated.</li><li>Intel surged over 20% pre-market, lifting semiconductor stocks after its AI business drove strong earnings.</li><li>On the economic front,&nbsp;traders will be watching the release of Durable Goods Orders data later this morning.</li></ul>U.S. stock futures were mixed early Friday as markets struggled to find direction after a previous choppy session. While there were relief signals with the extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire, the lack of progress on a peace deal with Iran has kept a floor on oil prices, with Brent crude holding around $105/barrel.&nbsp;As of 4:00 a.m. ET on Friday: Dow and Russell 2000 futures fell 0.1%, S&amp;P 500 futures were flat with a positive bias and Nasdaq futures gained 0.5%.Retail sentiment toward the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a>, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index, remained in the ‘bullish’ territory, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a> ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, has moderated to ‘neutral’ from ‘bullish’ a day ago, after the selloff in software stocks.Trending Stocks To WatchIntel Corp (INTC):&nbsp;Semiconductor strength gains retail attention as CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s AI pivot bore fruit in INTC Q1 earnings. Its AI-driven business now represents 60% of Intel's revenue. Stock rose by more than 20% in early pre-market trading, with a sympathy rally across peers such as AMD (+8%).Rocket Lab (RKLB):&nbsp;Unveiled a new high-performance star tracker for high-radiation environments. This follows two space launches this week.&nbsp;Skillz (SKLZ)&nbsp;stock pared back nearly 30% in early pre-market trade. This followed a stellar 200% rally in the previous session due to a $420M legal victory against Papaya Gaming.&nbsp;Organon (OGN): The stock is trending on heavy volume following reports that India’s Sun Pharmaceutical is preparing a $13 billion all-cash binding offer to acquire the company.&nbsp;ASGN Inc (ASGN):&nbsp;The stock crashed 50% in early pre-market trade after a massive Q1 miss and skepticism over its ‘Everforth’ rebrand.Other tickers trending on Stocktwits&nbsp;at the time of writing included Lucid Group (LCID), ReAlloys Inc (ALOY), Oklo Inc (OKLO) and Nvidia (NVDA).Other Catalysts To WatchOn the economic front, traders will be watching the release of Durable Goods Orders (Mar) at 8:30 am ET.&nbsp;On earnings radar, watch out for quarterly reports from Procter &amp; Gamble ($PG - Cons: $1.56), Schlumberger ($SLB - Cons: $0.52), HCA Healthcare ($HCA - Cons: $7.15), and Norfolk Southern ($NSC) before the bell. Meanwhile, Charter Communications ($CHTR), Western Union ($WU) are among others reporting after market close today.&nbsp;For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Mixed Despite AI-Fueled Intel Surge: Why AMD, RKLB, SKLZ, OGN, ASGN Are In Focus

Data from Stocktwits shows that retail traders stayed constructive on SPY but turned neutral on QQQ after a software-led pullback.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The Kobeissi Letter said that a record 15.4% of investment-grade debt is also tied to AI, making it the largest sector in the U.S. credit market.&nbsp;</li><li>Marko Kolanovic, former chief global market strategist at JPMorgan Chase, said in a post on X that the thematic concentration is a massive market risk.&nbsp;</li><li>The Roundhill Generative AI &amp; Technology ETF has surged 119% over the last year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF, which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, has risen 29.6% over the same period.&nbsp;</li></ul>When OpenAI's now-ubiquitous bot ChatGPT launched four years ago and sparked early hype around artificial intelligence, AI-linked stocks accounted for only about a quarter of the S&amp;P 500.&nbsp;Now, that share has nearly doubled, unnerving many on Wall Street even as several exchange-traded funds riding the hot theme have outperformed the benchmark indexes.<h2 class="st-heading-2">The 'Massive' AI Risk&nbsp;</h2>According to research from Goldman Sachs, AI-linked stocks now account for nearly 45% of the S&amp;P 500, up from about 25% in 2022 when OpenAI rolled out ChatGPT for the public.Currently, the top holdings in the S&amp;P 500 by weight are all considered AI plays to varying degrees, with most belonging to the "Magnificent Seven" group.<div><figure class="table"><table class="ck-table-resized"><colgroup><col><col><col><col></colgroup><tbody><tr><td>Number</td><td>Company</td><td>Symbol</td><td>Weight</td></tr><tr><td>1</td><td>NVIDIA Corp.</td><td>NVDA</td><td>7.52%</td></tr><tr><td>2</td><td>Apple Inc.</td><td>AAPL</td><td>6.22%</td></tr><tr><td>3</td><td>Microsoft Corp.</td><td>MSFT</td><td>4.78%</td></tr><tr><td>4</td><td>Amazon.com Inc.</td><td>AMZN</td><td>4.25%</td></tr><tr><td>5</td><td>Alphabet Inc.</td><td>GOOGL</td><td>3.29%</td></tr><tr><td>6</td><td>Broadcom Inc.</td><td>AVGO</td><td>3.08%</td></tr><tr><td>7</td><td>Alphabet Inc.</td><td>GOOG</td><td>3.06%</td></tr><tr><td>8</td><td>Meta Platforms Inc.</td><td>META</td><td>2.59%</td></tr><tr><td>9</td><td>Tesla Inc.</td><td>TSLA</td><td>2.17%</td></tr><tr><td>10</td><td>Walmart Inc.</td><td>WMT</td><td>1.63%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure></div>In March 2026 alone, S&amp;P Dow Jones Indices added three companies directly tied to the AI infrastructure boom to the S&amp;P 500: Vertiv Holdings Co. (VRT), which specializes in power and cooling systems for data centers and AI servers; Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE), which produces advanced optical components and lasers for high-speed AI data center networking; and Coherent Corp. (COHR), which focuses on photonics and silicon photonics for AI computing clusters.The Kobeissi Letter, which provides industry-leading market commentary, noted in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2047492227035742429">post</a> on X that the record concentration comes even as investment-grade debt linked to AI is surging to record levels and called it a “shocking" statistic. "Never before has a single theme dominated both U.S. equity and credit markets to this magnitude," The Kobeissi Letter said.<img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2026_04_24_at_12_20_21_PM_png_1d187b0e58.webp" alt="Screenshot 2026-04-24 at 12.20.21 PM.png">A record 15.4% of investment-grade debt is now tied to AI, making it the largest sector in the U.S. credit market, according to the commentator. Meanwhile, AI-linked debt has nearly doubled since 2020 to an all-time high of $1.4 trillion, it added.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Big Tech AI Capex Is Ballooning</h2>These numbers come amid record capital expenditure spending from hyperscalers in 2026, expected to reach nearly $700 billion. &nbsp;"So let's say it turns out AI can't be profitably monetized near term to justify ongoing spend, or there is a capex cut due to cyclical downturn &nbsp;(advertising, consumer, energy). This 45% thematic concentration represents a massive market risk," said Marko Kolanovic, former chief global market strategist at JPMorgan Chase, in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/markoinny/status/2047494636831228226">post</a> on X.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">AI ETFs Are Leaving S&amp;P 500 In The Dust</h2>The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/AIQ">Global X Artificial Intelligence &amp; Technology ETF</a> (AIQ), which invests in both hardware- and software-linked AI plays, has gained more than 47% over the past year, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/chat">Roundhill Generative AI &amp; Technology ETF</a> (CHAT), another fund that tracks AI companies, surged 119% over the same period. Meanwhile, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/spy">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, has risen 29.6% over the same period.It should be noted, however, that AIQ's top two holdings are South Korean tech giants SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics, while CHAT's are Nvidia and Alphabet. Stocktwits sentiment for AIQ was last in the 'neutral' zone, while it was 'bullish' for CHAT.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Is There An AI Bubble Or Not?</h2>Many Wall Street analysts and investors have increasingly warned about a potential AI bubble. "The Big Short" investor Michael Burry has repeatedly cautioned that the current boom <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/michael-burry-ai-spending-big-tech-cashflow-warnings/cZRqQuiR4UJ">mirrors the dot-com era</a>, driven by unsustainable data center spending, rising leverage, and accounting risks that could mask underlying financial strain.&nbsp;Meanwhile, Citrini Research outlined a <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/michael-burry-cites-interesting-thought-experiment-from-citrini-research-on-ai-says-and-you-think-im-bearish/cZRtvm2R4yk">more structural risk</a>, arguing that while AI may boost corporate margins in the near term, widespread job displacement and weakening consumer demand could ultimately trigger a negative economic feedback loop, leading to a broader market downturn.Martin Varsavsky, Google-backed serial entrepreneur, noted late Thursday that a massive repricing was around the corner. "This is what bubbles look like when narrative outruns cash flow. AI will transform everything, but when one theme dominates both equity and credit markets, the setup for violent repricing is obvious," he said in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/martinvars/status/2047512397993136203">post</a>.&nbsp;Earlier this year, Goldman Sachs reportedly launched an S&amp;P ex-AI index that allows investors to access the S&amp;P 500 benchmark index without AI-related exposure.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Digital Intelligence - AI Icon Illuminated Against Financial Data and Binary Streams | Source: Getty Images

AI Trade Risk: What Happens When One Theme Dominates Markets Like Never Before?

According to research from Goldman Sachs, AI-linked stocks now account for nearly 45% of the S&P 500, up from about 25% in 2022.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Meanwhile, relations between the U.S. and Iran are still tense after Trump said earlier in the day that he had ordered the U.S. Navy to take down any ships laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz.</li><li>The Dow Jones futures were down 0.09%, but the S&amp;P 500 futures were up 0.19%, and the Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.70% at the time of writing.&nbsp;</li><li>Markets are also tuned into corporate earnings, even as the iShares Semiconductor ETF ended Thursday 2.14% higher.</li></ul>U.S. stock futures were mixed in Thursday’s overnight trading session after President Donald Trump announced that Israel and Lebanon would extend the ceasefire, while uncertainty over a deal with Iran still persisted. &nbsp;Dow Jones futures were down 0.09%, but S&amp;P 500 futures were up 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.70% as of 9.04 p.m ET. &nbsp;Among the ETFs tracking the benchmark indexes, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPYhttps://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust</a> (QQQ), and <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA), were all gaining overnight. Meanwhile, retail sentiment on Stocktwits for SPY was in the ‘bullish’ territory, while that of QQQ and DIA was in the ‘neutral’ territory at the time of writing.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did US Markets Fare On Thursday?</h2>All three indexes closed down on Thursday amid uncertainty over the U.S. and Iran’s peace deal. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.36%, the S&amp;P 500 was down 0.41% at close, and the Nasdaq Composite lost more than 200 points, ending the session 0.89% lower.<figure class="table"><table><tbody><tr><td>Index</td><td>Move</td><td>Close</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones Industrial Average</td><td>0.36%</td><td>49,310.32</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>0.41%</td><td>7,108.40</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq Composite</td><td>0.89%</td><td>24,438.50</td></tr></tbody></table></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">US Market Drivers</h2>Trump’s announcement of a three-week extension to the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon lifted market spirits late Thursday. The president posted the update to Truth Social after a meeting at the White House with top officials.“The President of the United States, DONALD J. TRUMP, Vice President of the United States, JD Vance, Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, Ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee, and Ambassador to Lebanon, Michel Issa, met today with High Ranking Representatives of Israel and Lebanon in the Oval Office. The Meeting went very well!” Trump said in the <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116456113408853958">post</a>.“The United States is going to work with Lebanon in order to help it protect itself from Hezbollah. The Ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon will be extended by THREE WEEKS. I look forward in the near future to hosting the Prime Minister of Israel, Bibi Netanyahu, and the President of Lebanon, Joseph Aoun,” he added.Meanwhile, relations between the U.S. and Iran are still tense after Trump said earlier in the day that he had ordered the U.S. Navy to take down any ships laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz. “I have ordered the United States Navy to shoot and kill any boat, small boats though they may be (Their naval ships are ALL, 159 of them, at the bottom of the sea!), that is putting mines in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz. There is to be no hesitation,” he said in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116454087460626531">post</a>.Markets are also tuned into corporate earnings as technology and chip stocks post higher returns. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/soxx">iShares Semiconductor ETF</a> (SOXX) has been trading up for 17 straight sessions, ending Thursday 2.14% higher.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trending Stocks To Watch</h2>Intel Corp. (INTC): Intel stock rallied in Thursday’s overnight session, soaring by over 22% after the chipmaker <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/intc-stock-soars-past-its-2000-s-record-closing-price-after-q2-earnings-guidance-roars-past-wall-street-estimates/cZBQa8lReT2">posted quarterly results</a> that zoomed past Street expectations.Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD): The chipmaker drew strong retail interest as its shares surged over 8% overnight, fueled by an after-hours semiconductor rally and capital rotation into secondary chip names following Intel’s earnings beat.Skillz Inc. (SKLZ): The gaming platform soared by more than 238% on Thursday after it <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/sklz-stock-soars-to-its-highest-in-33-months-after-winning-a-420m-lawsuit/cZBQd5aReRy">won a $420 million lawsuit</a> against rival Papaya Gaming. However, the stock pulled back about 30% after-hours.High Roller Technologies Inc. (ROLR): Another gaming company, High Roller, was on retailers’ radar amid announcements of a new strategic marketing partnership agreement with Leverage Game Media that would aid the launch of a prediction markets product in the U.S.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Broader Market Trends</h2>Meanwhile, oil futures gained in Thursday’s overnight trading. Brent crude futures expiring in June edged 1.37% higher to $106.40 a barrel, while WTI crude futures expiring in May gained 1.19% to $96.99 a barrel at the time of writing.Treasury yields on the benchmark 10-year were at 44.33%, while gold traded around $4,708.48 an ounce.Asian markets opened mixed on Friday, with KOSPI and Nikkei 225 trading higher, while the Hang Seng index was down. Australian stocks also dipped lower at the open.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

08 April 2025, Hesse, Frankfurt/Main: The bronze figures of the bull (r) and bear, symbols of the upswing and downswing on the stock market, stand on the square in front of the stock exchange.  

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Mixed Amid Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire Extension, Iran Peace Deal Uncertainty: INTC, AMD, SKLZ, ROLR Stocks In Focus

Trump said in a social media post on Thursday that the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon had been extended for three weeks. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East kept oil prices elevated</li><li>Tesla dropped amid concerns about heavy AI spending, while QuantumScape surged on upbeat earnings.</li><li>Markets are eyeing key data and earnings from Intel, American Express, and Lockheed Martin, as well as a major vote involving Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount Skydance.</li></ul>U.S. stock futures were under pressure early Thursday as investors digested a fresh wave of earnings amid the geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Even as peace talks failed to materialize, the Iranian Navy has reportedly seized two container ships in the Strait of Hormuz, keeping crude oil prices elevated.&nbsp;As of 4:00 a.m. ET on Thursday: Dow and Russell 2000 futures fell 0.6%, S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq futures slipped 0.3%.Retail sentiment toward the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a>, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index, and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a> ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, has moderated mildly to ‘bullish’ from ‘extremely bullish’ territory a day ago.Trending Stocks To WatchTesla (TSLA):&nbsp;Shares were down nearly 4% in early pre-market trading as concerns about free cash flow weighed on investor sentiment. In its earnings call, the company said that capital expenditures would exceed $25 billion to support AI and robotics infrastructure.ServiceNow (NOW):&nbsp;The stock fell 12% in early pre-market trade despite beating Q1 earnings expectations and raising its full-year guidance. Investors seem to have ignored the company’s attempt to downplay concerns of the impact of the Middle East conflict on its projects.Intel Corp (INTC):&nbsp;Gears up to report earnings later today, with investors watching for data center and AI revenues. It is also gaining ground on the back of a supply-chain win for Elon Musk's Terafab project.&nbsp;Quantumscape (QS):&nbsp;The stock is trending on Stocktwits and surged nearly 20% in pre-market trade following a strong earnings beat and positive demand outlook.&nbsp;STMicroelectronics (STM):&nbsp;The key chip supplier to Apple and Tesla posted steady Q1 earnings and sees AI data center sales topping $500 million this year and well above $1 billion in 2027.Paramount Skydance (PSKY), Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD): All eyes are on the 10:00 AM ET shareholder meeting, where WBD is expected to approve a massive $110 billion deal with PSKY.Other tickers trending on Stocktwits&nbsp;at the time of writing included Poet Technologies (POET), Avis Budget Group (CAR), Terrestrial Energy (IMSR), and Lululemon (LULU).Other Catalysts To WatchOn the economic front, traders will be watching the release of initial jobless claims at 8:30 am ET and the S&amp;P global manufacturing and services PMI at 9:45 am.&nbsp;On earnings radar, watch out for quarterly reports from American Airlines Group Inc (AAL), PENN Entertainment Inc. (PENN), Lockheed Martin (LMT), American Express (AXP), PG&amp;E Corporation and (PCG) before the bell today. And apart from Intel, Newmont (NEM), Medical Properties Trust Inc (MPT) and Windtree Therapeutics (WINT) are among those reporting after market close today.&nbsp; For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures In The Red Ahead Of Jobless Claims, INTC Earnings: Why TSLA, NOW, QS, PSKY, WBD Are In Focus

Data from Stocktwits shows that retail optimism has cooled slightly to ‘bullish’ for SPY and QQQ. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The euro’s share in international transactions slipped to 21.30% in March from 22.82% February.</li><li>David Lubin, Senior Research Fellow at Chatham House, noted in an article last week that investors flock to the dollar during crises because of its liquidity and the Federal Reserve’s lender-of-last-resort strength.</li><li>The U.S. Dollar Index held steady around 98.63 on early Thursday, hovering near one-week highs.</li></ul>The U.S. dollar is still dominant in global trade, gaining prominence among global currencies amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.According to data from the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), the greenback’s portion of global payments rose to 51.14% in March, up from 49.25% a month earlier. Excluding transactions with the Eurozone, its share increased to 58.5% from 57.49% in the same period.In comparison, the euro’s share in international transactions slipped to 21.30% in March from 22.82% a month ago, and the pound’s share fell to 6.54% versus 7.16% in February.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2026_04_23_at_12_08_20_PM_png_40e98fca76.webp" alt="Screenshot 2026-04-23 at 12.08.20 PM.png" width="2200" height="1032"><figcaption>Source: Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication</figcaption></figure>Meanwhile, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DXY">U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)</a>, a benchmark index that measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major foreign currencies, held steady around 98.63 early Thursday, amid multi-year lows.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/koyfin_20260423_123935332_png_e4a5853242.webp" alt="koyfin_20260423_123935332.png" width="2400" height="1500"><figcaption>Source: Koyfin</figcaption></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">What This Means</h2>In light of ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, with the war in Iran weighing on investor sentiment, the dollar's increased use reinforces its safe-haven role.“As anxiety levels rise during a crisis, institutional investors and governments flock to dollar-denominated assets because US capital markets are easier to trade in and out of than any others; and because the ability of the Federal Reserve to act as lender and liquidity-provider of last resort is second to none,” said David Lubin, Senior Research Fellow at Chatham House, in an <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/04/dollar-dominance-surviving-iran-war-just-about">article</a> with the British think tank on April 17.Lubin also noted that one of the key features of the dollar’s role as the top global reserve currency is that the US bond markets and the greenback act as safe havens in times of stress.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Reaction To War</h2>The U.S. and Israel’s coordinated strikes against Iran are inching toward the two-month mark, even as the critical Strait of Hormuz remains closed, weighing heavily on global energy prices and heightened inflation risks. Oil prices have climbed back to over $100 a barrel, and inflation concerns persist.Yet, Lubin noted that despite the S&amp;P 500 index’s fall since the start of the war, it has declined less than its peers. He also noted that while the yield on U.S. government 10-year bonds has risen, it is still lower than many other American peers. “In the end, it is U.S. trustworthiness that underpins all this,” he said.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Wednesday’s overnight session. At the time of writing, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/spy">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.37%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.30%, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) fell 0.54%.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/usdu">WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund</a> (USDU), an exchange-traded fund that seeks to gain from the dollar against a basket of currencies, has increased modestly by 0.66% in the past year. U.S. President Donald Trump’s global tariffs weighed heavily on the currency, although he had previously <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-reportedly-says-dollar-doing-great-even-as-it-slips-to-lowest-level-in-nearly-four-years/cmyOXcgR4ie">dismissed concerns</a> over its weakening.Meanwhile, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/uup">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund</a> (UUP) has gained 1.36% in the same period. Retail sentiment for both remained in the ‘neutral’ territory at the time of writing.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

US dollar banknotes, Yichang City, Hubei Province, China on August 10, 2025. 

US Dollar Dominance Strengthens As Iran War Drives Safe-Haven Demand — SWIFT Data Confirms The Shift

According to data from the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, the U.S. dollar’s portion of global payments rose to 51.14% in March, up from 49.25% a month earlier. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Burry said that Trump “has found an interesting way to change the subject when markets get a little too bearish.”</li><li>In a separate Substack post, Burry said that the market’s rally is unlikely to be followed by a sudden crash.&nbsp;</li><li>The investor also reiterated his position in payments and software stocks, including PayPal, Fiserv, Adobe, and Salesforce.</li></ul>“The Big Short” investor Michael Burry, who famously predicted the subprime mortgage crisis, has alleged that U.S. President Donald Trump finds ways to distract from the market when market signals turn bearish, but has reiterated that companies’ earnings would play a bigger role.In a Substack chatroom with subscribers, Burry addressed “the elephant in the room,” that is, the impact of Trump’s war on Iran. “The idea though is that Trump views the economy through the lens of the stock market,” he wrote, adding that Trump “has found an interesting way to change the subject when markets get a little too bearish. Misdirection is maybe Trump’s greatest skill, and he must feel he is executing perfectly in that respect.”<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2026_04_23_at_7_18_26_AM_png_12f7653119.webp" alt="Screenshot 2026-04-23 at 7.18.26 AM.png" width="858" height="591"><figcaption>Michael Burry in Substack chatroom&nbsp;</figcaption></figure>Most recently, U.S. stock markets <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/dow-sp500-nasdaq-futures-pull-back-after-record-session-on-strait-of-hormuz-uncertainty/cZBf05tRebh">notched record highs</a> on Wednesday following two straight days of declines after the president extended a ceasefire with Iran, sending the S&amp;P 500 to a record high of 7,137.90 at close, and the Nasdaq Composite to 24,657.57.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Burry’s Bet On Companies</h2>Meanwhile, the legendary investor is urging markets to pay closer attention to earnings results. “I still believe earnings will continue to matter more, and the quarter being reported now is less important than what the rest of the year looks like through the lens of the leaders of each of these businesses. Pay attention to the earnings calls,” he said in the comment.Multiple big-league companies reported earnings this week, with Tesla, Boeing, IBM, ServiceNow, and Molina Healthcare posting results on Wednesday.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/moh">MOH shares</a> gained after the company posted first-quarter (Q1) results. Burry said that he <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/michael-burry-keeps-moh-bet-at-154-plans-to-buy-more/cZBfKSBRebK">plans to add more shares</a> at current levels. “This thesis is not about this year, though. It is about a return to $20+ earnings in a couple of years. I have not sold a share, and I plan to add shares in the morning,” he said.The investor also commented on <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/now">NOW shares</a> that plummeted after posting lackluster results. “Wonder if $NOW is the first to blame the Iran War or the first victim of the Iran war,” he said, adding that the company’s expansion rate would have likely been higher if not for the war’s impact.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Burry Says Markets Unlikely To Crash</h2>In a separate Substack <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://michaeljburry.substack.com/p/trading-post-42226">post</a>, Burry said that the market’s rally is unlikely to be followed by a sudden “needle top” crash. “The easiest path has been up since the new highs. It may take a few months or into the heat of election season for stocks to get that new top in,” he said.A needle top in markets is a price chart pattern in which an asset records a sharp upward spike, followed closely by an equally swift and steep crash. “This is not to discount volatility. In fact, I can only imagine with elections and geopolitical quagmires, volatility is on tap. But I doubt we will see the inaugural major U.S. market needle top,” he said.The investor also reiterated his position in payments and software stocks, including PayPal Holdings (PYPL), Fiserv Inc. (FISV), Adobe (ADBE), and Salesforce Inc. (CRM).Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Wednesday’s overnight session. At the time of writing, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/spy">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.47%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.43%, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) fell 0.70%. Retail sentiment around all three was in the ‘bullish’ territory.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

 Michael Burry attends "The Big Short" New York screening Ziegfeld Theater on November 23, 2015 in New York City. 

‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Flags Trump’s Market ‘Misdirection’ But Says Earnings Still Rule 

In a Substack chatroom with subscribers, Burry addressed the impact of Trump’s war on Iran and added that earnings would be a bigger market driver. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The S&amp;P 500 closed up 1.05% at a record high of 7,137.90, while the Nasdaq Composite was 1.64% higher at close at 24,657.57.</li><li>Tesla reported first-quarter earnings on Wednesday that came in ahead of expectations.</li><li>Tilray surged more than 7% in after-hours on optimism that the Trump administration would reportedly soon reclassify marijuana as a Schedule III drug.</li></ul>U.S. stock markets finished higher on Wednesday, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq indexes jumping to record peaks as markets turned optimistic on U.S. President Donald Trump’s extension of the ceasefire with Iran, along with a slew of strong earnings results that bolstered the upward climb.However, stock futures fell later in the day. As of 9:15 p.m. ET, Dow Jones futures slid by about 0.48%, S&amp;P 500 futures slid 0.31%, and Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.18%. &nbsp;ETFs tracking the benchmark indexes, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust</a> (QQQ), and <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA), were all falling overnight, although with retail sentiment on Stocktwits was in the ‘bullish’ territory for all three.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did US Markets Fare On Monday?</h2>The S&amp;P 500 closed up 1.05% at a record high, while the Nasdaq Composite was 1.64% higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also gained, adding 340.65 points to 0.69% higher.<figure class="table"><table><tbody><tr><td>Index</td><td>Move</td><td>Close</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones Industrial Average</td><td>0.69%</td><td>49,490.03</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>1.05%</td><td>7,137.90</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq Composite</td><td>1.64%</td><td>24,657.57</td></tr></tbody></table></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">US Market Drivers</h2>President Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran on Tuesday, a day before its expiry, helping the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq jump to record highs after two consecutive days of declines. Although the president is giving Iran some time to propose a new peace plan, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz persist.Iran has reportedly seized two ships in the critical waterways overnight, although the White House said that since the ships were not American or Israeli, the attacks didn’t constitute a violation of the ceasefire.Earlier on Tuesday, Trump also appreciated Iran for allegedly pulling the plug on executing eight Iranian female protestors, in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116449429763121963">post</a> on Truth Social. “I very much appreciate that Iran, and its leaders, respected my request, as President of the United States, and terminated the planned execution,” he said.Markets also inched higher on earnings optimism. Boeing Co. (BA) shares climbed after the aircraft manufacturer reported lower-than-expected quarterly loss. Investors also piled into Tesla Inc. (TSLA) ahead of its results.On the economic front, markets will be looking out for U.S. employment and manufacturing data expected later on Thursday.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trending Stocks To Watch</h2>Tesla Inc. (TSLA): The EV maker was on retail traders’ radar after it reported <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/tesla-ceo-elon-musk-cites-copycat-fear-reason-for-optimus-delay-as-capex-is-set-to-soar/cZB95iRRebf">first-quarter earnings</a> on Wednesday that came in ahead of expectations. Shares of the company initially edged higher in extended trading but dropped after the company raised capex guidance to more than $25 billion.GameStop Corp. (GME): The meme stock got a boost in overnight trading, climbing more than 2% after ‘The Big Short’ investor Michael Burry increased his position in the company.ServiceNow Inc. (NOW): The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/now-stock-tumbles-after-market-over-bleak-revenue-guidance-ceo-flags-middle-east-deal-slowdown/cZB95bWRebO">stock plummeted</a> by over 13% after-market after the firm’s subscription revenue took a hit, while a slowdown in deals due to the U.S.-Iran war weighed down on the stock.Tilray Brands Inc. (TLRY): The cannabis stock surged more than 7% in after-hours trading on optimism that the Trump administration would reportedly soon reclassify marijuana as a Schedule III drug, similar to painkillers.QuantumScape Corp. (QS): The energy storage company surged more than 20% overnight after it reported strong earnings that beat Wall Street expectations on strong demand. &nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Broader Market Trends</h2>Meanwhile, oil futures gained in Wednesday’s overnight trading, edging over $100 a barrel for the first time in two weeks. Brent crude futures expiring in June edged 0.58% higher to $102.50 a barrel, while WTI crude futures expiring in May gained 0.56% to $93.48 a barrel at the time of writing.Meanwhile, treasury yields on the benchmark 10-year were at 4.311%, while gold traded around $4,729.22 an ounce.Asian markets opened mixed on Thursday, with KOSPI, Nikkei 225, and the Shanghai Composite all trading up, while the Hang Seng and Australian stocks dipped lower at the open.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Futures Pull Back After Record Session On Strait Of Hormuz Uncertainty: Why TSLA, GME, TLRY, NOW, QS Stocks Are In Focus

Trump extended the ceasefire with Iran on Tuesday, aiding the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to jump to records after two consecutive days of declines.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Newsom described equity trading as “commoditized,” with behavior now resembling short-term trading seen in futures markets.</li><li>According to him, markets typically weaken late in the week before rebounding on optimistic geopolitical headlines tied to a ceasefire or trade discussions.</li><li>He stated that once the pattern finally breaks, it could trigger sharp, rapid market corrections.</li></ul>Darin Newsom, who has spent nearly four decades in commodity markets,&nbsp; told Stocktwits the volatility gripping 2026 isn’t random. It’s following a pattern, and that pattern repeats almost every week.“Markets aren’t acting rationally like there are rational human beings in charge of them. But within that, there is a pattern,” Newsom, a senior market analyst at Barchart who has seen oil shocks, the grain embargoes, the financial crisis, and the meme stock era, told Stocktwits in an&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://youtu.be/LV8NPYuwPDw">interview</a> with Michele Steele.According to him, “stocks have been commoditized,” meaning that the short-term, sentiment-driven, momentum-chasing behavior that used to characterize futures markets has now migrated into equities.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">A Predictable Weekly Trading Cycle Emerges</h2>The pattern Newsom described starts on Thursday or Friday, and dates back to 2016 when President Trump won his first term in office. Late in the week, markets slide, often dragged lower by energy prices rising on geopolitical tensions, most recently the U.S.-Iran war.<blockquote>“Anything could be said at any point. That is the true definition of chaos, which is an unexpected event at a key time that creates a different result.”– Darin Newsom, Senior Market Analyst, Barchart</blockquote>Like clockwork, a post appears, normally on Tuesday and usually from President Trump, to uplift market sentiment. Traders have been calling it TACO Tuesday, for ‘There Are Ceasefire Overtures,’ before the next round of optimistic headlines begin to circulate and the cycle resets.In recent context, Newsom pointed to upcoming peace talks, a ceasefire extension, or trade negotiations as examples. This causes stocks to rally, energy backs off, the Dow recovers, and by Friday’s close, the weekly candle looks healthy.“And then immediately into the weekend, we see all of the reality of the news change,” Newsom stated. “Bombs continue to fly, missiles are going back and forth, boats are being sunk, all of these things.”<h2 class="st-heading-2">Markets Rise On Wednesday After TACO Tuesday&nbsp;</h2>U.S. equities rose in morning trade on Wednesday after Trump announced the pervious night, on a Tuesday, that he would be&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/bitcoin-tops-78-000-after-trump-s-ceasefire-extension/cZBBVEEReGi">extending the ceasefire</a> between the U.S. and Iran, with no definite deadline in place.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY) was up 0.69%, the&nbsp;<a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF</a> (DIA) gained 0.83%, and the Nasdaq-100 tracking&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust</a> (QQQ) moved 0.86% higher. Retail sentiment around SPY on Stocktwits trend in ‘extremely bullish’ territory over the past day.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Happens When The Pattern Breaks?</h2>According to Newsom, this is “the predictability of the irrational market.” The reason, he argues, is structural because the current administration treats U.S. stock indexes as a proxy for economic health. That creates a policy incentive to generate positive market headlines heading into the weekend.&nbsp;However, once the pattern breaks, it may be a bigger red flag for investors. “It’s going to lead to a lot of collapses here in the market as money rolls back and forth,” Newsom said, adding that algorithms don’t care about trends. “And when that turns, it can turn in a hurry—and it can be very violent when it does.”He pointed to recent declines in soft commodity markets, where extended speculative positioning unwound quickly. He sees similar risks building in other areas, including livestock markets and segments where retail participation has surged.Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/poet-cfo-confirms-orders-from-marvell-waiting-on-foxconn-luxshare/cZBINvkRI65">EXCLUSIVE: POET CFO Confirms Orders From Marvell – Waiting To ‘Hear Back’ From Foxconn, Luxshare</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

SWMR stock finished at $31 on Tuesday after a volatile session. (Representative image: Getty Images)

40-Year Market Veteran Says Current Market Chaos Is Completely Predictable — If You Know What Day Of The Week It Is

Market analyst Darin Newsom told Stocktwits that market volatility in 2026 is following a repeatable weekly pattern driven by headlines rather than fundamentals.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>President Trump also called the Supreme Court’s tariff decision “unexplainable,” adding that it handed over billions to people who have been ripping off the U.S. for years.</li><li>He also said that one sentence would have prevented this record-setting payment.</li><li>Meanwhile, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection’s CAPE Portal is now live, allowing businesses and their brokers to file claims for refunds if they paid tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.</li></ul>President Donald Trump on Wednesday criticized the Supreme Court’s decision on tariffs, calling it a “travesty.”“Their Tariff decision was an unnecessary and expensive slap in the face to the U.S.A., and a giant victory for its opponents,” President Trump stated in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116448643198694972">post</a> on Truth Social.He also criticized the Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican presidents, saying that they give Democrats one win after another, while citing the tariff ruling as one of those decisions.This comes as the tariff refund portal&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-tariff-refund-live-166b-who-is-eligible/cZBdLItRIzX">went live</a> on Monday, allowing businesses to request refunds for duties they paid.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump Says Tariff Decision ‘Unexplainable’</h2>President Trump also called the Supreme Court’s tariff decision “unexplainable,” adding that it handed over billions to people who have been ripping off the U.S. for years. He also said that one sentence would have prevented this record-setting payment from being made.President Trump earlier called the Supreme Court ruling a&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-tariffs-struck-down-by-supreme-court-in-a-6-3-decision/cZRNJbRR4xK">“disgrace”</a> in February this year. Subsequently, he announced a global 10% levy, then raised it to 15%. The new 15% global tariffs can be in place for 150 days before requiring Congressional approval.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump Tariff Refund Portal Now Live</h2>The CAPE portal, set up by U.S. Customs and Border Protection, allows businesses and their brokers to file refund claims. This is part of a four-step process that was outlined in March this year by Brandon Lord, the executive director of CBP’s trade policy department.These steps include launching the CAPE portal for filing claims, implementing a processing system, reviewing refund findings, and, lastly, processing refunds electronically to the claimant’s bank account.CBP’s court filings show that more than 330,000 importers paid about $166 billion in tariffs on more than 53 million shipments. Companies will have to submit their claims on the CAPE portal.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Who Qualifies For Trump Tariff Refunds?</h2>According to the CBP, companies that paid tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) are eligible for refunds under the program.Additionally, brokers who paid tariffs under IEEPA on behalf of importers are also eligible for refunds.However, consumers who bought these goods are not eligible for refunds.Businesses will have to register for the CPB’s electronic payment system to file claims. While over 330,000 importers paid tariffs, only 56,497 have completed registration so far, according to CBP.Meanwhile, U.S. equities gained in Wednesday’s opening trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up 0.77%; the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 0.91%; and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) gained 0.9%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits regarding the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘extremely bullish’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/kevin-warsh-outstanding-job-senate-hearing-fed-chair-bill-hagerty/cZBBox9ReGV">Kevin Warsh Did An 'Outstanding' Job At Senate Hearing, Says Bill Hagerty: ‘He Was Asked Some Very Disrespectful Questions’</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Trump Says Supreme Court's Tariff Decision Was A 'Slap In The Face' To US As $166B Refund Process Begins

The U.S. President also criticized the Supreme Court’s Justices appointed by Republican presidents, saying that they give Democrats one win after another, while citing the tariff ruling as one of those decisions.

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