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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 - Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

A report that OpenAIs annualized revenue was materially below a level previously signaled is the dominant focus, with traders linking it to a selloff in AI and technology stocks and questioning whether heavy AI spending can be justified. The reports accuracy is debated, and reactions range from warnings of an AI-bubble unwind to calls that the decline is an overreaction; Iran-related headlines also feature in discussion of the markets volatility.

Bitcoin is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It enables peer-to-peer electronic cash transactions without intermediaries like banks or governments, operating on a blockchain secured by Proof of Work mining and the SHA-256 cryptographic algorithm.   With a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins and programmatic halvings every four years that reduce miner rewards, Bitcoin is designed as a deflationary digital asset often called "digital gold." Its value stems from solving the double-spending problem without trusted intermediaries, creating the first truly scarce digital asset with censorship resistance and permissionless access that no government, corporation, or individual can control.  Bitcoin operates as a decentralized peer-to-peer network where transactions are recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain, distributed across thousands of computers globally. Transactions are grouped into blocks added approximately every 10 minutes through mining, where specialized computers compete to solve complex mathematical puzzles.   Bitcoin has achieved mainstream adoption through multiple vectors. The January 2024 SEC approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs opened Bitcoin investment to traditional finance participants, and corporations like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) are using Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset to protect against currency debasement, offering MSTR holders amplified exposure to Bitcoin.   The Bitcoin ecosystem continues to evolve with innovations like Ordinals, which emerged in January 2023 to enable NFT-like functionality directly on Bitcoin, and BRC-20 tokens, an experimental standard for creating fungible tokens using Ordinal inscriptions. BTCFi (Bitcoin Finance) represents emerging financial applications extending beyond Bitcoin's traditional role, with protocols like Babylon allowing Bitcoin holders to stake BTC to secure Proof of Stake chains.

Bitcoin

Bitcoins sharp pullback and break below widely watched support levels are driving attention, with traders also pointing to leveraged-position liquidations and macro risk concerns around Iran, oil and rising yields. The community is split between expecting further downside and viewing the selloff as a buying opportunity ahead of a possible rebound.

IREN Ltd. is a vertically integrated data center business powering the future of Bitcoin, AI and beyond with renewable energy. It is strategically located in renewable-rich, fiber-connected regions across the US and Canada. IREN’s large-scale, grid-connected facilities are purpose-built for the next generation of power-dense computing applications. The company was founded by Daniel Roberts and William Roberts on November 6, 2018, and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

IREN Ltd.

IREN Limited

IRENs selloff is being tied largely to SemiAnalysis reports alleging power, network and storage reliability problems at its legacy British Columbia data centers; the claims remain contested, and traders distinguish them from the companys newer Texas sites. The community is split between bearish concerns about execution, financing and broader neocloud-sector pressure, and dip buyers who see the decline as an oversold opportunity.

Applied Digital Corp. is a technology company, which engages in the provision of development and operation of data centers which provide computing power. It operates through the Data Center Hosting Business and HPC Hosting Business segments. The Data Center Hosting Business segment provides energized infrastructure services to crypto mining customers. The HPC Hosting Business segment focuses on the designing, constructing, and operating data centers tailored to support high power density applications like HPC and AI. The company was founded by Wesley Carl Cummins and Jason Zhang in May 2001 and is headquartered in Dallas, TX.

Applied Digital Corporation

A strong quarterly report and expansion outlook have drawn attention, but APLD has struggled to hold gains amid broader selling in AI data-center stocks and macro pressure from higher yields and oil. Bulls view the weakness as disconnected from execution, while skeptics point to debt, financing needs and questions about profitability and recurring revenue.

Cipher Digital, Inc. operates as a Bitcoin mining ecosystem in the United States. The firm is developing a cryptocurrency business. The company was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Cipher Digital Inc.

Cipher Digital is caught in a broad selloff across AI and data-center infrastructure stocks, with traders linking pressure to rising bond yields, rate sensitivity and sector-wide weakness rather than a clearly company-specific development. The community is split between dip buyers citing its AI/HPC contracts and long-term demand, and bears concerned about valuation, financing costs and the stocks persistent decline.

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A report that OpenAIs annualized revenue was below prior expectations fueled worries that AI spending and valuations may be overstated, with traders linking the news to tech weakness and a broader SPY selloff. The community debated whether this signals an AI-bubble unwind or a dip-buying opportunity; Trumps Iran comments also drew attention for adding intraday volatility.

CoreWeave, Inc. engages in the powers of the creation and delivery of the intelligence that drives innovation. It offers a solution used by organizations of all sizes that require sophisticated AI computing, from the largest of enterprises to small, well-funded start-ups. The company was founded by Michael Intrator, Brian Venturo, Peter Salanki, and Brannin McBee on September 21, 2017 and is headquartered in Livingston, NJ.

CoreWeave Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

CoreWeave Inc

A sharp pullback in CoreWeave and other AI infrastructure stocks is driving discussion, with traders citing risk-off market pressure, rising yields and concerns about debt-heavy data-center economics; some also blame reports that OpenAI revenue fell short of prior indications. Bulls are buying the dip and pointing to AI demand and analyst optimism, while bears question whether the sectors spending can generate sufficient returns.

Direxion Shares ETF Trust - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares

An OpenAI revenue shortfall report is being cited by traders as a trigger for selling across technology and semiconductor shares, weighing on SOXL. The community is split between calling the drop an overreaction and buying opportunity and warning that AI enthusiasm may be correcting, with higher rates and weakness in chip stocks adding pressure.

Cerebras Systems, Inc. engages in the designing and provision of processors for artificial intelligence (AI) training and inference. Its products include inference, Wafer Scale Engine, AI supercomputers, AI model services, cloud, systems, and processors. The company was founded by Sean Lie, Andrew D. Feldman, Gary Lauterbach, Michael James, and Jean Philippe Fricker in 2015 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, CA.

Cerebras Systems Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Cerebras Systems Inc

Traders are linking CBRSs decline to OpenAI-related reports, including revenue reportedly below earlier indications, which has renewed concerns about the strength of Cerebrass OpenAI relationship and demand. Expected share unlocks and potential insider selling are adding to the pressure, while some traders dismiss the concerns and view the pullback as a buying opportunity.

Palantir Technologies, Inc. engages in the business of building and deploying software platforms that serve as the central operating systems for its customers. It operates through the Commercial and Government segments. The Commercial segment focuses on customers working in non-government industries. The Government segment is involved in providing services to customers that are the United States government and non-United States government agencies. Its platforms are widely used in areas such as defense, intelligence, healthcare, energy, and financial services, supporting data integration, large-scale analytics, and operational decision-making. The company was founded by Alexander Ceadmon Karp, Peter Andreas Thiel, Stephen Cohen, Joseph Lonsdale, and Nathan Dale Gettings in 2003 and is headquartered in Aventura, FL.

Palantir Technologies Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Palantir Technologies Inc

Goldman Sachs upgrade of Palantir to Buy, citing expanding demand for sovereign AI and tailored applications, is driving attention as shares approach prior highs. Traders are split between bullish breakout momentum and skepticism that the upgrade is a valuation-driven pump or a chance for profit-taking.

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Neutral Sentiment

Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
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