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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 - Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

QQQ is drawing attention after technology shares reversed following Meta and Tesla earnings, with traders questioning whether heavy AI spending can deliver sufficient returns despite generally solid results. Concerns about elevated oil prices and Iran tensions added to the bearish mood, while some traders viewed the selloff as a potential dip-buying opportunity.

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A sharp futures selloff and volatile rebound have dominated discussion, with traders weighing Meta and Tesla earnings and AI-spending concerns against Iran-related oil risks and an unverified cybersecurity scare. The mood is split between dip-buyers looking for a bounce and bears warning of further losses, while many say the cause of the moves remains unclear.

Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications. It builds technology that helps people connect and share, find communities, and grow businesses. It operates through the Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL) segments. The FoA segment consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and other services. The RL segment includes augmented, mixed and virtual reality related consumer hardware, software, and content. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004, and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

Meta Platforms Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Meta Platforms Inc

Metas quarterly results are driving attention, with revenue and advertising growth, plus early Muse AI adoption, encouraging bulls despite a reported earnings miss tied to a legal charge. Traders are split over whether those gains justify heavier AI spending, negative free cash flow and the new non-voting share structure, with the stocks post-results gains fading amid the debate.

Nokia Oyj engages in the provision of network infrastructure, technology, and software services. It operates through the following segments: Mobile Networks, Network Infrastructure, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The Mobile Networks segment offers technologies for Radio Access Networks (RAN) as well as Microwave Radio Links (MWR) for transport networks. The Network Infrastructure serves communication service providers, enterprises, webscales and public sector customers. The Cloud and Network Services segment builds around software and the cloud and is focused on driving leadership in cloud-native software and as-a-service delivery models, as demand for critical networks accelerates; and with strong market positions in communications software, private wireless networks, and cognitive (or intelligent) services. The Nokia Technologies segment, building on decades of innovation and R&D leadership in technologies used in virtually all mobile devices used today, is expanding the Nokia patent licensing business, reintroducing the Nokia brand to smartphones through brand licensing, and establishing a technology licensing business. The company was founded by Fredrik Idestam in 1865 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Nokia Corp - ADR

Nokia Corp

Nokias quarterly results beat expectations, with AI and cloud demand driving growth, but the shares muted response has prompted a sell-the-news debate. Bulls point to the stronger business and outlook, while skeptics question whether orders will translate into profitable growth quickly enough.

Direxion Shares ETF Trust - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares

SOXL is drawing attention amid a volatile semiconductor selloff and rebound, as traders debate whether AI-spending and debt concerns signal a deeper downturn or whether the pullback is overdone ahead of major chip and hyperscaler earnings. Lam Researchs supply constraints and expected China slowdown added to sector jitters, while some traders point to resilient compute demand and continued capex as reasons for optimism.

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems. It operates through the Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture, sale, and lease of electric vehicles as well as sales of automotive regulatory credits. The Energy Generation and Storage segment is involved in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of solar energy generation, energy storage products, and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

Tesla Inc

Teslas quarterly results and outlook are driving debate: investors focused on weaker revenue and profitability, reduced capital-spending guidance, and a slower Optimus production ramp, weighing on the shares despite an adjusted earnings beat and positive cash flow. Bears question the growth and execution story, while bulls point to cash generation and longer-term AI, autonomy, and robotics opportunities.

International Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which engages in the provision of integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, Financing, and Other. The Software segment combines hybrid cloud platform and software solutions to help clients become more data-driven, and to automate, secure, and modernize their environments. The Consulting segment focuses on integrating skills on strategy, experience, technology and operations by domain and industry. The Infrastructure segment offers solutions for hybrid cloud and is the foundation of the hybrid cloud stack. Infrastructure is optimized for infusing AI into mission-critical transactions and tightly integrated with IBM Software including Red Hat for accelerated hybrid cloud benefits. The Financing segment refers to the client and commercial financing, facilitating IBM clients’ acquisition of IT systems, software, and services. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.

International Business Machines Corp.

IBMs quarterly results topped expectations, led by software growth and a higher free-cash-flow outlook, but shares surrendered much of their initial post-earnings surge. Traders are debating whether the reversal reflects a sell-the-news reaction and modest growth guidance or whether the stronger results and recovery in delayed deals support a bullish view.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. engages in operating social media and in the technology business. Its brands include TRUTH Social, TMTG+, and TMTG News. It operates through the Media and Truth.Fi segments. The Media segment includes products and services such as advertisement through the Truth Social platform. The Truth.Fi segment relates to customized exchange-traded funds or exchange-traded products invested in America First principles, and bitcoin and similar cryptocurrencies or crypto-related securities. The company was founded on March 28, 2024 and is headquartered in Sarasota, FL.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

Trump administration headlinesespecially its Russia/Ukraine stance and the Iran conflictdominate discussion, alongside criticism of the companys political association. Traders also debate DJTs steep decline, with some viewing its recent stabilization as a possible bounce and others expecting further weakness.

AEVEX Corp. operates as a holding company. It operates through Tactical Systems and Global Solutions segments. The Tactical Systems segment focuses on design, development, and production of autonomous systems including unmanned aerial systems and unmanned surface vessels. The Global Solutions segment offers services and mission support to defense and intelligence customers. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Solana Beach, CA.

AEVEX Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

AEVEX Corp

AEVEX shares plunged after a report said the Navy halted new orders for its GARC autonomous boats over performance concerns. The company disputes that orders were halted and says its deliveries met the contract, leaving traders divided between concerns about BlackSeas revenue prospects and views that the selloff overstates the risk.

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the following segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Compute & Networking. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, Quadro and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics, virtual GPU, or vGPU, software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing, automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating metaverse and 3D internet applications. The Compute & Networking segment consists of Data Center accelerated computing platforms and end-to-end networking platforms including Quantum for InfiniBand and Spectrum for Ethernet, NVIDIA DRIVE automated-driving platform and automotive development agreements, Jetson robotics and other embedded platforms, NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software, and DGX Cloud software and services. The company was founded by Jen Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in April 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

NVIDIA Corp

NVIDIAs GTC Berlin announcements, particularly its modular DSX Pod AI-factory design and expanding partnerships, are fueling discussion about the companys broader AI infrastructure strategy. Bulls see continued spending by major customers as support for demand, while skeptics question the sustainability of AI capex and whether the stock can hold its gains.

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Neutral Sentiment

Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
Drop a comment with when you expect the first cut/hike to be.

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