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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 - Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

A sharp overnight QQQ selloff despite major tech earnings has traders questioning whether AI-related spending can deliver sufficient returns, with Teslas reduced capex plans adding to concerns about the broader trade. Iran tensions and rising oil prices are also cited as risk-off pressures; traders are divided between expecting a rebound and seeing further downside.

Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications. It builds technology that helps people connect and share, find communities, and grow businesses. It operates through the Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL) segments. The FoA segment consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and other services. The RL segment includes augmented, mixed and virtual reality related consumer hardware, software, and content. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004, and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

Meta Platforms Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Meta Platforms Inc

Metas quarterly results drew attention, with strong revenue and advertising growth supporting bulls, while the initial post-earnings pop faded amid concerns about rising AI spending, negative free cash flow, and the new non-voting share structure. Traders also weighed the reported earnings miss, which included a substantial legal charge, against the companys upbeat revenue outlook.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST - SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPYs sharp overnight swings are being tied by traders to escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and higher oil prices, alongside concerns about big-tech earnings and the scale of AI spending. The community is split between bearish risk-off fears and dip-buyers expecting a rebound; claims that a global cybersecurity scare is driving the selloff remain speculative.

Nokia Oyj engages in the provision of network infrastructure, technology, and software services. It operates through the following segments: Mobile Networks, Network Infrastructure, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The Mobile Networks segment offers technologies for Radio Access Networks (RAN) as well as Microwave Radio Links (MWR) for transport networks. The Network Infrastructure serves communication service providers, enterprises, webscales and public sector customers. The Cloud and Network Services segment builds around software and the cloud and is focused on driving leadership in cloud-native software and as-a-service delivery models, as demand for critical networks accelerates; and with strong market positions in communications software, private wireless networks, and cognitive (or intelligent) services. The Nokia Technologies segment, building on decades of innovation and R&D leadership in technologies used in virtually all mobile devices used today, is expanding the Nokia patent licensing business, reintroducing the Nokia brand to smartphones through brand licensing, and establishing a technology licensing business. The company was founded by Fredrik Idestam in 1865 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Nokia Corp - ADR

Nokia Corp

Nokias Q3 results beat expectations as AI and cloud demand grew, but traders are debating the weak share-price reaction despite the strong comparable results. Bears point to higher restructuring costs, weaker cash-flow conversion and unchanged full-year guidance, while bulls emphasize AI-RAN momentum and the companys Nvidia partnership.

International Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which engages in the provision of integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, Financing, and Other. The Software segment combines hybrid cloud platform and software solutions to help clients become more data-driven, and to automate, secure, and modernize their environments. The Consulting segment focuses on integrating skills on strategy, experience, technology and operations by domain and industry. The Infrastructure segment offers solutions for hybrid cloud and is the foundation of the hybrid cloud stack. Infrastructure is optimized for infusing AI into mission-critical transactions and tightly integrated with IBM Software including Red Hat for accelerated hybrid cloud benefits. The Financing segment refers to the client and commercial financing, facilitating IBM clients’ acquisition of IT systems, software, and services. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.

International Business Machines Corp.

IBMs quarterly results beat expectations and raised its free-cash-flow outlook, but shares gave back an initial post-earnings surge. Traders are debating a sell-the-news reaction and modest growth, flat consulting and margin pressure against stronger software sales and the recovery of delayed deals.

Spotify Technology SA engages in the provision of digital music services. It operates through the Premium and Ad-Supported segments. The Premium segment provides subscribers with online and offline streaming access of music and podcasts on computers, tablets, and mobile devices. The Ad-Supported segment offers users with limited on-demand online access of music and unlimited online access of podcasts on computers, tablets, and mobile and smart devices. The company was founded by Daniel Ek and Martin Lorentzon on December 27, 2006 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Spotify Technology S.A.

Spotifys latest quarterly results and outlook are driving discussion: traders are weighing revenue and EPS misses against stronger margins, subscriber growth, and a more upbeat profit outlook. Reactions are mixed, with some surprised the shares rose despite the weaker headline results.

Netlist, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture and sale of memory subsystems for the computing and communications markets. Its products include enterprise SSD, embedded flash, memory module, lightning DDR5 DIMM, SK hynix, AI server. The company was founded by Jayesh Bhakta, Chun Ki Hong and Christopher Lopes in June 2000 and is headquartered in Irvine, CA.

Netlist Inc

The USPTOs decision not to intervene in the Federal Circuit appeal over Netlists 912 patent, after Samsung and Micron withdrew following settlements, is driving discussion. Traders disagree on whether the procedural development could help keep the appeal alive or leave it vulnerable to dismissal; it does not resolve the patents status.

Lam Research Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, marketing, refurbishment, and provision of semiconductor processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, China, Europe, Japan, Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. The company was founded by David K. Lam in 1980 and is headquartered in Fremont, CA.

Lam Research Corp.

Lam Researchs strong quarterly results and higher outlook have been overshadowed by a selloff tied to supply constraints delaying shipments and an expected decline in Chinas revenue share. Traders debate whether this is a temporary timing and regional-mix issue, with AI demand intact, or a sign that the outlook failed to meet high expectations.

IREN Ltd. is a vertically integrated data center business powering the future of Bitcoin, AI and beyond with renewable energy. It is strategically located in renewable-rich, fiber-connected regions across the US and Canada. IREN’s large-scale, grid-connected facilities are purpose-built for the next generation of power-dense computing applications. The company was founded by Daniel Roberts and William Roberts on November 6, 2018, and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

IREN Ltd.

IREN Limited

IRENs planned Spanish AI campus and launch of IREN Europe are drawing attention, with bulls viewing the expansion as a way to capture demand for local AI computing. Skeptics worry about added capital needs, dilution and the lack of announced customers, amid heavy volatility and debate over whether the recent selloff has run its course.

Lockheed Martin Corp. is a global security and aerospace company, which engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services. It operates through the following business segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. The Aeronautics segment researches, designs, develops, manufactures, integrates, sustains, supports, and upgrades advanced military aircraft, including combat and air mobility aircraft, unmanned air vehicles, and related technologies. The MFC segment is involved in air and missile defense systems, tactical missiles and air-to-ground precision strike weapon systems, logistics, fire control systems, mission operations support, readiness, engineering support and integration services, manned and unmanned ground vehicles, and energy management solutions. The RMS segment designs, manufactures, services, and supports various military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, sea and land-based missile defense systems, radar systems, sea and air-based mission and combat systems, command and control mission solutions, cyber solutions, and simulation and training solutions. The Space segment includes the production of satellites, space transportation systems, and strategic, advanced strike, and defensive systems. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bethesda, MD.

Lockheed Martin Corp.

Lockheed Martin is drawing attention after reporting quarterly results above estimates, with traders highlighting its record backlog and a proposed multiyear F-35 production framework as supportive. The reaction is broadly positive, though some caution that margin pressure and the frameworks dependence on congressional authorization and funding could limit the benefit.

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Neutral Sentiment

Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
Drop a comment with when you expect the first cut/hike to be.

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