SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Nebius Group NV is a technology company that provides infrastructure and services to AI builders worldwide. It offers Nebius AI, an AI-centric cloud platform provides full-stack infrastructure, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud services, and developer tools. The company also operates through specialized brands: Toloka AI, which partners in data for generative AI development; TripleTen, an edtech platform focused on re-skilling individuals for tech careers; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology. Nebius Group was founded by Elena Kolmanovskaya, Ilya Segalovich, Mikhail Fadeev, and Arkady Volozh in 1989 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Nebius Group N.V. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Nebius Group N.V. 

Nebius is caught in a neocloud-sector selloff after Elon Musk warned of tighter financing and widespread failures and consolidation among AI-compute providers. Traders debate whether NBIS is vulnerable to those funding risks or better positioned than peers, citing its Citi financing and customer commitments, while others remain concerned about debt, execution and valuation.

Aventus Network

AVT is drawing attention amid a volatile rebound in a thinly traded, low-float token, with traders watching volume and resistance levels for breakout confirmation. Aventus Cloud and appchain updates add a bullish infrastructure narrative, while others cite weak sustained buying, concentrated holdings, supply concerns, and selling tied to the earlier exploit.

IREN Ltd. is a vertically integrated data center business powering the future of Bitcoin, AI and beyond with renewable energy. It is strategically located in renewable-rich, fiber-connected regions across the US and Canada. IREN’s large-scale, grid-connected facilities are purpose-built for the next generation of power-dense computing applications. The company was founded by Daniel Roberts and William Roberts on November 6, 2018, and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

IREN Ltd.

IREN Limited

IREN is being discussed amid a sharp selloff in neocloud and AI-infrastructure stocks, after Elon Musk warned that many neocloud companies could fail or consolidate as financing tightens. Traders are divided: some see debt and execution risks, while others dismiss Musks comments as self-interested FUD and point to IRENs customer contracts and infrastructure as reasons for optimism.

Nu Holdings Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of digital banking services. The company was founded by David Vélez Osorno, Cristina Helena Zingaretti Junqueira, and Adam Edward Wible on February 26, 2016 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Nu Holdings Ltd - Ordinary Shares Class A

Nu Holdings Ltd

Nus strong quarterly results, including a milestone in profitability, continued revenue growth, and improving credit metrics, drove a sharp rally and heightened attention. Traders are weighing the strong business performance against choppy price action and lingering concerns about credit quality and Brazil-related risks.

Sandisk Corp. engages in the development, manufacture, and provision of storage devices and solutions based on NAND flash technology. Its products include solid state drives, memory cards, and USB flash drives. The company was founded on February 5, 2024 and is headquartered in Milpitas, CA.

Sandisk Corp

SanDisks upcoming earnings report is the focus after a sharp pullback across memory and storage stocks. Traders are split between expecting strong results and AI-driven storage demand to support a rebound, and fearing that cyclical peak concerns, broader AI-stock weakness, and recent selloffs after strong peer results could outweigh a beat.

iShares Inc. - iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

Lula da Silvas unexpected runoff victory over Flvio Bolsonaro has jolted Brazilian assets, as traders say EWZs rally had priced in a more market-friendly Bolsonaro win. The community is split between viewing the selloff as an overreaction and warning that political, fiscal, and currency uncertainty could keep pressure on Brazilian stocks.

Petróleo Brasileiro SA engages in oil and gas exploration, production, and distribution activities. It operates through the following segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation, and Marketing; and Gas and Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment covers the activities of exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas liquid, and natural gas, for the primary purpose of supplying its domestic refineries. The Refining, Transportation, and Marketing segment refers to refining, logistics, transport, and trading of crude oil and oil products activities as well as exports of ethanol. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies represents the activities of logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity, transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas, generation and electricity by means of thermoelectric power plants, as well as holding interests in transporters and distributors of natural gas. The company was founded on October 3, 1953 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras - ADR

Petroleo Brasileiro

Lulas election victory has triggered a sharp repricing of Brazilian equities, with traders concerned about political and economic uncertainty and the implications for Petrobras under a Lula government. The community is divided between viewing the selloff as a buying opportunity, citing the companys oil business and dividends, and fearing government influence or reduced shareholder payouts.

Lufax Holding Ltd. operates a technology-empowered personal financial services platform. It offers personal lending and wealth management solutions. The company was founded in August 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Lufax Holding Ltd - ADR

Take-private speculation is driving attention after an unexplained overnight rally, though no offer has been disclosed; traders are also focused on the upcoming Q3 report and debating possible shareholder payouts. Lufaxs warning of a substantial quarterly loss adds a counterpoint to the bullish speculation.

ProShares Trust II - ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas 2x Shares

ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas

BOIL is drawing attention amid sharp, volatile moves in natural-gas futures, with traders debating whether mild-weather expectations, strong production and storage builds will keep prices under pressure or whether colder forecasts and supply disruptions could spark a rebound. Many caution that BOILs leveraged, daily-reset structure and futures-roll effects can magnify losses, while bulls look for weather- or inventory-driven spikes.

NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the following segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Compute & Networking. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, Quadro and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics, virtual GPU, or vGPU, software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing, automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating metaverse and 3D internet applications. The Compute & Networking segment consists of Data Center accelerated computing platforms and end-to-end networking platforms including Quantum for InfiniBand and Spectrum for Ethernet, NVIDIA DRIVE automated-driving platform and automotive development agreements, Jetson robotics and other embedded platforms, NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software, and DGX Cloud software and services. The company was founded by Jen Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in April 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

NVIDIA Corp

Nvidias decline is being tied to concerns that AI infrastructure spendingparticularly debt-financed neocloud expansion and Nvidias ties to some customersmay be difficult to sustain, despite traders citing strong chip demand and large GPU purchases. The community is split between dip-buyers who see the financing worries as temporary and bears warning of an AI-capex bubble and further semiconductor weakness.

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Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
Drop a comment with when you expect the first cut/hike to be.

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