SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

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Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications. It builds technology that helps people connect and share, find communities, and grow businesses. It operates through the Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL) segments. The FoA segment consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and other services. The RL segment includes augmented, mixed and virtual reality related consumer hardware, software, and content. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004, and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

Meta Platforms Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Meta Platforms Inc

Attention is centered on Metas quarterly earnings and AI spending outlook, particularly whether Muse adoption and rising data-center capex can translate into growth and returns. Traders are split between optimism for strong results and AI demand and concern about costs, margins, possible share issuance, and the reported New Mexico privacy penalty.

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems. It operates through the Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture, sale, and lease of electric vehicles as well as sales of automotive regulatory credits. The Energy Generation and Storage segment is involved in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of solar energy generation, energy storage products, and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

Tesla Inc

Teslas earnings and speculation about a potential SpaceX merger are driving attention, with traders weighing the AI-and-robotics growth story against concerns about the auto business, valuation and deal terms. The companies committees are exploring a combination, not confirming one, leaving bullish merger hopes at odds with expectations of an earnings-related pullback.

International Business Machines Corp. is an information technology company, which engages in the provision of integrated solutions that leverage information technology and knowledge of business processes. It operates through the following segments: Software, Consulting, Infrastructure, Financing, and Other. The Software segment combines hybrid cloud platform and software solutions to help clients become more data-driven, and to automate, secure, and modernize their environments. The Consulting segment focuses on integrating skills on strategy, experience, technology and operations by domain and industry. The Infrastructure segment offers solutions for hybrid cloud and is the foundation of the hybrid cloud stack. Infrastructure is optimized for infusing AI into mission-critical transactions and tightly integrated with IBM Software including Red Hat for accelerated hybrid cloud benefits. The Financing segment refers to the client and commercial financing, facilitating IBM clients’ acquisition of IT systems, software, and services. The company was founded by Charles Ranlett Flint and Thomas J. Watson Sr. on June 16, 1911 and is headquartered in Armonk, NY.

International Business Machines Corp.

IBMs quarterly results beat revenue and earnings expectations, and the company raised its full-year free-cash-flow outlook, prompting a positive share reaction. Traders welcomed the stronger cash-flow guidance but debated weak mainframe sales, softer consulting, and narrower-than-expected margins.

Lam Research Corp. engages in the design, manufacture, marketing, refurbishment, and provision of semiconductor processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, China, Europe, Japan, Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. The company was founded by David K. Lam in 1980 and is headquartered in Fremont, CA.

Lam Research Corp.

Lam Researchs quarterly earnings and forward guidance are the dominant focus, with traders reacting to claims that results exceeded expectations. Optimism about the report and the semiconductor-equipment outlook is tempered by pre-earnings selling and speculation about a leak, which remains unconfirmed.

Celsius Holdings, Inc. engages in the development, marketing, sale, and distribution of functional drinks and liquid supplements. It also offers post-workout functional energy drinks and protein bars. The company was founded in April 2004 and is headquartered in Boca Raton, FL.

Celsius Holdings Inc

Concern over slowing sales in Celsiuss core brand and mixed Nielsen data is weighing on sentiment, with traders watching whether Alani Nus growth and upcoming earnings can offset the weakness. Bulls see value in the pullback and cite Alanis momentum and insider buying, while bears point to competition, margin pressure, and management execution; Pepsi buyout talk remains speculation.

AEVEX Corp. operates as a holding company. It operates through Tactical Systems and Global Solutions segments. The Tactical Systems segment focuses on design, development, and production of autonomous systems including unmanned aerial systems and unmanned surface vessels. The Global Solutions segment offers services and mission support to defense and intelligence customers. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Solana Beach, CA.

AEVEX Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

AEVEX Corp

Reports that the Navy has halted further purchases of BlackSeas GARC drone boats are driving a sharp selloff, with traders concerned about the programs importance to AEVEX after the BlackSea acquisition. Some view the reaction as excessive, arguing the issue is limited to one program and that other defense opportunities remain.

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid. The firm's product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, inhaled pulmonary therapeutics and systemic intracellular therapeutics. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Europe, and Rest of World. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rossi, and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

Moderna Inc

Traders are focused on the full Phase 3 INTerpath-001 melanoma cancer-vaccine data from Moderna and Merck at ESMO, following previously reported positive trial endpoints. The sharp rally has fueled bullish hopes for Modernas oncology platform and short-squeeze talk, while skeptics argue expectations and valuation are stretched and warn of a possible sell-the-news pullback.

ProShares Trust - ProShares UltraPro QQQ 3x Shares

ProShares UltraPro QQQ

A sharp Nasdaq and tech-stock selloff, fueled by hotter inflation concerns and pressure on AI and semiconductor shares, is weighing on TQQQ, which magnifies moves in the Nasdaq-100. Traders are split between buying the dip in hopes of an oversold bounce and warning that bearish momentum and rate concerns could drive further declines.

Bloom Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and installation of a solid oxide fuel-cell based power generation platform. Its product, Bloom Energy Server, converts standard low-pressure natural gas or biogas into electricity through an electrochemical process without combustion. The company was founded by K. R. Sridhar, John Finn, Jim McElroy, Matthias Gottmann, and Dien Nguyen on January 18, 2001, and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

Bloom Energy Corp - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Bloom Energy is in focus ahead of its Q3 report, with traders weighing whether AI and data-center power demand can support further growth and guidance. Bullish investors point to recent power deals and the broader AI-energy theme, while others cite the stocks premium valuation, macro pressure and risk of a sell-the-news reaction.

Vanguard Index Funds - Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF

Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF

Discussion centers on broad-market risk, with traders warning that elevated valuations, heavy AI investment, inflation, oil prices, and rising bond yields could pressure U.S. stocks. Others favor VTI as a diversified, low-cost long-term holding and advocate continued buying and compounding despite volatility.

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Bitcoin

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Nifty 50

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Reliance Industries Ltd.

Zomato Ltd.

Tata Consultancy Services

Tata Motors Ltd.

HDFC Bank Ltd.

ITC Ltd.

Adani Enterprises Ltd

Axis Bank Ltd

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Apple Inc.

Microsoft Corporation

NVIDIA Corp

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Bond Investors Are Doubting The Long-Term Prospects Of AI Hyperscalers: Fixed Income Expert Chris White 

Equity

In an interview with CNBC, Chris White, CEO of BondCliQ and ViableMkts, said that as bond supply and default risks grow, investors are starting to demand higher yields.

Bonds To Outperform Stocks? BofA’s Savita Subramanian Says S&P 500 Returns May Fall Below 5% Over 10 Years

Bank of America’s head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, Savita Subramanian, said in an interview with Bloomberg TV that the S&P 500 may not even provide returns of 5% over the next 10 years. 

Is It Time To Buy Bonds? Longtime Bear Jim Bianco Turns Bullish As US 10-Year Yield Hits Highest Since 2002

Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, said in a CNBC interview that, with yields rising, bonds are finally trading at a fair value, making it a good time to invest in them.

Bond Markets Functioning In An ‘Orderly’ Manner? El-Erian Calls IMF's Reassurance 'Highly Unusual'

The IMF’s comments come as government bond yields worldwide, including in the U.S., have been climbing to multi-decade highs.

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Soars To 24-Year High: Will The Selloff Continue?

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield soared past 5.3% on Wednesday, while 30-year yield crossed 5.6%. 

Scott Bessent Says US Bonds Are ‘Best Performing’ As 10-Year Treasury Yields Touch 2007 Highs — Do Bond-Market Data Back Him Up?

In an interview with CNBC on Monday, Bessent said the U.S. bond market “is the most resilient in the world,” adding that it will have been “the best performing bond market” this month.

Is The $4B Treasury Buyback A Policy Mistake? Bessent’s Mentor Thinks Yes, But Some Say ‘Don't Fight The Treasury’

Stanley Druckenmiller, the American investor who also mentored Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in his early career, suggested in an opinion piece on Wall Street Journal that the U.S. Treasury’s buyback move was a policy error.

Fed Just Changed The Game, Says George Noble: Has Warsh's Higher-For-Longer Policy Displaced Hormuz Concerns?

In a Substack post, George Noble said Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s refusal to provide a dot plot in the latest policy statement was a deviation from the Fed’s long-term approach. 

ETF Strategies to Follow as Powell Hints at September Rate Cuts

Fed Chair Powell signaled a September rate cut, triggering rallies in stocks, bonds and cryptos. ETFs like GOVT, SDIV, SPYG, IBIT, VNQ and XLU are set to gain. 

iShares Trust - iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF

Bullish Sentiment

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The fixed-income expert said bond markets react over weeks and months, unlike the day-to-day reactions of stock markets.&nbsp;</li><li>As fresh bond issues from hyperscalers enter the market, he raised concerns about higher yields needed to tap the market again.</li><li>The fixed-income expert also noted that as bond oversupply begins, it would also affect the U.S. government’s ability to raise capital.</li></ul>Amid a volatile environment for long-dated U.S. Treasuries, Chris White, CEO of BondCliQ and ViableMkts, believes bond investors are starting to doubt the long-term prospects of many large artificial intelligence hyperscalers.In an&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dp1bUOlTiCU">interview</a> with CNBC, White said the major difference between the stock market and the bond market is that the latter reacts over weeks and months, as compared to the day-to-day reactions of stock markets.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Why White Thinks Bond Markets Indicate AI Doubts</h2>“I think the numbers are pretty clear when you look at CoreWeave, when you look at Oracle, and when you look at the other AI hyperscalers that bond investors have been starting to doubt some of the stories regarding the long-term prospects of a lot of these AI hyperscalers,” White said.&nbsp;He said that as default risks grow, investors are starting to demand higher yields on bonds to compensate for greater risk. He pointed out that some of the “pretty big unknown risks” include geopolitical uncertainty.&nbsp;Speaking specifically about&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/ORCL">Oracle Corp. (ORCL)</a> and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/CRWV">CoreWeave (CRWV)</a>, White said that while their outstanding debt was about 5% of the total $258 billion outstanding, their short maturity range is far more concerning.&nbsp;Oracle raised $25 billion through an eight-part investment-grade senior unsecured bond offering in February this year. Meanwhile, CoreWeave raised $3.7 billion through convertible notes in September, following high-yield debt issuances earlier in the year.&nbsp;“They're going to have to refinance this debt in the next five to seven years. And that then makes them a lot more sensitive to, I would say, the shorter-term interest rate conditions,” White said.&nbsp;As fresh bond issues from hyperscalers&nbsp;enter&nbsp;the market, he&nbsp;said the worry&nbsp;is&nbsp;that if the hyperscalers need to tap the market again, investors are “going to demand a yield premium to take on the additional risk that these bonds sell off very quickly after they're being issued.”&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Investors Are Demanding Yield Premium Across The Spectrum&nbsp;</h2>White added that if Microsoft, the only triple-A-rated AI hyperscaler, taps the bond market at wide spreads, it would become the benchmark for all other AI hyperscalers.“So if Microsoft wanted to back up their yields a little bit and say, hey, we're going to give everyone a sweetheart deal, people are going to expect all the other AI hyperscalers to follow suit,” he said.&nbsp;The fixed-income expert also noted that as bond oversupply begins in the market, it would also&nbsp;affect the U.S. government’s ability to raise capital.Long-dated U.S. Treasuries are already trading near multi-decade high yields. At the time of writing, yields on 10-year U.S. Treasuries and 30-year Treasuries were trading above 5%.&nbsp;“We're obviously hearing comments coming out of the White House that they're concerned about long-term yields. There have been direct bond-buying programs. I think this has a lot to do with the oversupply we're seeing from AI hyperscalers,” he said.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">US Bond Market Performance</h2>The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)</a> was trading about 1% higher at the time of writing amid ‘neutral’ sentiment. Meanwhile, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLH">iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH)</a> was down about 0.05% overnight amid ‘neutral’ sentiment.&nbsp;One user&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/AI_Bull_/message/666555880">said</a>, “There's a rush to safety in bonds. Look at the yields sell off as equity is selling off. As yields fall it should have made the markets rally. It isn't. That is telling you money is rotating out of equity and into bonds. Equity is now seen as too risky and bonds is seen as a good place to put your money.”Another user&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/Bonds_Salesman/message/666554478">said</a>, “How deep in a recession are we if the AI trade stops? Asking for the non-bond holders out there. Get some bonds!”Meanwhile, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/AGG">iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG)</a>, which tracks the performance of the broad U.S. investment-grade bond market, was up 0.47% overnight amid ‘bearish’ sentiment.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BND">Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND)</a>, which gives investors exposure to the investment-grade U.S. dollar-denominated bonds, was down 0.13% amid ‘neutral’ sentiment.&nbsp;For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Rising bond yields have pressured tech stocks in particular on Wednesday.

Bond Investors Are Doubting The Long-Term Prospects Of AI Hyperscalers: Fixed Income Expert Chris White

iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

CoreWeave Inc

Oracle Corp.

iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

Hold rates steady

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Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
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