Technicals In Focus As Stocks Fail At Resistance

When stocks are on the move, either up or down significantly, traders often turn to technical analysis for answers. πŸ“ˆ πŸ“‰

In this article, we want to review a chart that highlights several key concepts.

The chart in focus is the Russell 2000 $IWM, the most widely-followed U.S. small-cap stock index.Β 

The above chart highlights a few key concepts:

  • The first is polarity, which suggests that former support levels will turn into resistance β€”Β  and vice versa.
  • Look how buyers stepped in to defend the 189-192 level throughout the year, but sellers used that level to get aggressive once it broke in April.
  • The second concept is trend. Now there are many ways to measure price trends, including smoothing mechanisms like moving averages and indicators like the ADX, but the easiest way is to just look at prices. πŸ’°
  • A series of higher lows and higher highs is an uptrend. Conversely, a series of lower highs and lower lows is a downtrend.Β 
  • Since prices peaked in November and made a lower low in December, there have been a series of lower highs and lower lows. In other words, we’re still in a downtrend.
  • Lastly is a concept called risk appetite. Generally, when portfolio managers are optimistic about the stock market and want more beta in their portfolio, they’ll reach for riskier small-cap stocks instead of large and mega-cap stocks. πŸ˜‹
  • So the fact that small-cap stocks are in a downtrend could be a confirming signal that risk appetite isn’t all that strong right now.

These concepts are in focus because manyΒ major stock indexes and individual stocks currently exhibit similar characteristics.Β 

Here’s another example of Apple.

We hope this technical analysis crash course has helped prepare you for the many charts you’ll likely see in the days/weeks ahead. ⏳

Learn More About...

More in   Stocks

View All

Stocks Reverse From All-Time Highs

For seemingly no good reason, the stock market experienced its first bout of volatility in several weeks today. The sharp turnaround had some latecomers to the party asking how this could happen to them. As such, it seems like a good time to update our handy S&P 500 roadmap we’ve shared throughout the year. πŸ—ΊοΈ

The last time we checked in on this was in early November when stocks found support at a confluence of “technical” levels that many market participants were watching. Since then, it’s been quite the wild ride, with the S&P 500 rallying over 16% in about eight weeks and approaching its all-time highs from 2022.

Read It

Traders Eye IPOs Into 2024

After a rough patch from late 2021 through 2022, this year, the initial public offering (IPO) tried to make a comeback. Now, traders say 2024 could be the year this turnaround really comes. πŸ‘Β 

Below is a chart of the Renaissance IPO ETF ($IPO), which is up about 53% so far this year. But technical analysts and traders say that its recent breakout to roughly eighteen-month closing highs signals a critical trend change in prices. They argue that prices staying above the 35-37 range, which has previously served as an inflection point in the stock, would suggest momentum has shifted firmly to the upside.Β πŸ™ƒ

Read It

Three Tech Stock Milestones

Despite a lackluster close for the major indices, several stocks hit major market-cap milestones. 🀩

First up is Microsoft, which briefly became the second company to cross the $3 trillion market value threshold. Although that didn’t hold into the close, what’s done is done, and the company certainly deserves to be celebrated. Meta’s rebound over the last two years pushed it back above the $1 trillion mark, bringing the total number of companies above this level to eight.

Read It

Nvidia Tops Amazon

It seems like Nvidia is hitting a new milestone every day, so why would today be any different? 🀷

This morning, we saw a massive squeeze in shares of Arm Holdings, which soared more than 40% before pulling back midday. That led to other semiconductor stocks rising alongside it as investors’ optimism around the sector continued. πŸ“ˆ

Read It