Buy Now, Gain Later?

Yesterday, we mentioned that strong Black Friday sales numbers boosted e-commerce-related stocks. And that trend is continuing today with Cyber Monday numbers rolling in. 📝

As a reminder, U.S. Black Friday spending rose 7.5% YoY to a record $9.8 billion as consumers took advantage of big deals. Today, Adobe Analytics’ report indicated that Cyber Monday sales also hit a new record, rising 9.6% YoY to $12.4 billion. Both numbers topped economists’ expectations.

Overall, online spending during the five days between Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday was up 7.8% YoY to $38 million. Although consumers have been cautious about spending on goods, it’s clear that promotional activity can still spur demand. 🛒

E-commerce sales rose to 16% of U.S. retail sales, but over 200 million people shopped online and in-person during these five days. According to analysts, favorable weather conditions and the Thanksgiving holiday falling earlier this year were also a tailwind.

Despite the shopping spree, reports indicate holiday shoppers still have about half of their holiday shopping left between now and the end of the year. However, they’ll continue to wait for bargains before pulling the trigger on purchases. 🔻

Given the solid economic numbers, investors and traders are once again paying attention to e-commerce-related stocks, many of which have been battered over the last few years.

One of those is the buy-now-pay-later company Affirm, which can be seen below hitting 1.5-year highs. With roughly 15% of the stock’s float sold short, traders are betting they can buy now and make gains later in $AFRM shares. We’ll have to see if the rebound continues and if more analysts join Jeffries, who upgraded the stock this morning. 🤷

Additionally, shares of PDD Holdings (the parent of online retail platforms Pinduoduo and Temu) rose 18% after its earnings and revenues soared 35% and 94% YoY. It joins JD.com, Alibaba, and other retail giants who have reported stabilizing sales this quarter but have been overshadowed by the geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China. 👍

The Stocktwits community is bulled up on $PDD shares as they hit 2.5-year highs, betting on a continued positive trajectory for the Chinese (and global) economy. 🌏

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Industrials Sneak To New Highs

While everyone is focused on technology stocks, another market sector has been performing quite well. That sector is industrials, which includes everything from aerospace & defense to machinery, ground transportation, and more. 🏭

The cyclical sector is also a widely-watched proxy for how investors feel about the economy. After all, if the economy is going to grow, these types of companies are needed to help produce, ship, and deliver the goods. And right now, investors are apparently bullish on their outlook because sector ETF $XLI broke out to new highs late last year and hasn’t looked back. 📈

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How The Markets Performed In 2023

As our article about the ultra-wealthy showed, 2023 was a great year for assets (especially the publicly traded ones). Let’s take a quick peek at how things panned out. 👇

First, let’s start with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index. The chart below shows that the index had one of its best rolling 12-month total returns in decades, rising 55%. The actual total return index also hit new all-time monthly closing highs, reiterating that bulls took back the momentum this year in a big way. 🤩

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Nvidia Tops Amazon

It seems like Nvidia is hitting a new milestone every day, so why would today be any different? 🤷

This morning, we saw a massive squeeze in shares of Arm Holdings, which soared more than 40% before pulling back midday. That led to other semiconductor stocks rising alongside it as investors’ optimism around the sector continued. 📈

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A New High In New Highs

Nvidia earnings re-ignited the animal spirits in the market, causing the stock and major indexes to reach several new milestones. Let’s check’em out. 👇

Firstly, a 16% rise in the stock today caused its market cap to rise $277 billion, the largest one-day increase of any stock in history. Secondly, today’s move put it firmly ahead of Google and Amazon as the fourth-largest stock in the world (Saudi Aramco not pictured below). It also moved it a stone’s throw away from $2 trillion. 🤩

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