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Shares of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) slipped more than 6% in pre-market trading on Monday as escalating Middle East conflict cast a shadow over the cruise sector, driving up fuel costs and prompting travelers, especially those eyeing Europe, to rethink their plans.
Due to headwinds, the company lowered its full-year 2026 earnings per share (EPS) guidance to $1.45-$1.79, significantly below its prior $2.38 guidance.
Norwegian Cruise Line said it began 2026 below its expected booking levels, and these challenges have made it harder to catch up.
“The company remains below its optimal booking range following certain execution missteps, exacerbated by softer demand related to heightened geopolitical uncertainty. Recent events related to the conflict in the Middle East have impacted bookings across all three brands, especially in Europe during the summer season,” according to the company.
Adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) is now projected at $2.48 billion to $2.64 billion, down from earlier expectations of around $2.95 billion. Adjusted net income is also forecast to decline to $679 million to $838 million, compared with prior estimates of roughly $1.12 billion.
“These external pressures come as the company continues to enhance its revenue management system and improve execution, resulting in additional pressure on the business and a reduction in its full-year guidance,” the company stated.
While first-quarter (Q1) revenue jumped 10% to $2.33 billion, it came in below Street estimates of $2.36 billion, according to Fiscal.ai data. However, EPS came in at $0.23, well above consensus estimates of $0.14.
Retail sentiment for NCLH on Stocktwits remained ‘bullish’ over the past 24 hours, despite the pre-market selloff. Message volumes on the platform were ‘high.’
One user called the guidance “terrible.”
Another user called it a “disaster.”
Of the 23 analysts covering the stock, 12 have a ‘buy’ rating, while 11 have a ‘hold’ rating, according to Koyfin data. The average price target is $24.6.
The stock has slumped nearly 25% since the conflict in the Middle East began on Feb. 28, 2026. NCLH shares are down 17% so far this year.
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