SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

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iShares Trust - iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

TLT is facing intense selling pressure as resilient job data and persistent inflation fears force a repricing of higher-for-longer interest rates. The community is actively debating the bond market's reaction to Middle East geopolitical tensions and whether the current technical oversold levels represent a structural collapse or a significant entry opportunity.

ImmunityBio, Inc. is a clinical stage immunotherapy company. It develops next generation therapies that drive immunogenic mechanisms for defeating cancers and infectious diseases. The company's immunotherapy platform activates both the innate and adaptive immune systems to create long term immunological memory. ImmunityBio was founded by Patrick Soon-Shiong in 2014 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

ImmunityBio Inc

ImmunityBio is trending as investors weigh significant clinical data supporting its oncology platform against ongoing regulatory and legal headwinds. The community remains deeply divided between long-term bulls accumulating shares based on potential sBLA approvals and pipeline expansion, and bears highlighting persistent short interest and the lack of immediate revenue catalysts.

Bakkt, Inc. is building the backbone of next-generation financial infrastructure. The company provides solutions that enable institutional participation in the digital asset economy, spanning Bitcoin, tokenization, stablecoin payments, and AI-driven finance. Bakkt was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Bakkt Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Bakkt Holdings Inc

Bakkt is attracting attention as investors speculate on its pivot toward AI-powered stablecoin infrastructure and cross-border payment rails, despite ongoing volatility and concerns regarding dilution. While community sentiment remains polarized between long-term bulls betting on regulatory catalysts like the Clarity Act and skeptics wary of persistent performance challenges, the stock continues to be closely watched for potential institutional partnerships.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. engages in operating social media and in the technology business. Its brands include TRUTH Social, TMTG+, and TMTG News. It operates through the Media and Truth.Fi segments. The Media segment includes products and services such as advertisement through the Truth Social platform. The Truth.Fi segment relates to customized exchange-traded funds or exchange-traded products invested in America First principles, and bitcoin and similar cryptocurrencies or crypto-related securities. The company was founded on March 28, 2024 and is headquartered in Sarasota, FL.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

Trump Media & Technology Group is facing intense downward pressure and hitting all-time lows as community discourse highlights deep skepticism regarding the stock's long-term viability, insider trading allegations, and the company's financial performance. Investors and vocal critics alike are actively debating the platform's future, the impact of the former president's personal business activities on the share price, and growing frustrations surrounding current market volatility.

T1 Energy, Inc. engages in developing battery solutions. It focuses on energy storage systems and commercial mobility. The company was founded by Tom Einar Jensen, Peter Matrai, and Tore Ivar Slettemoen on August 31, 2023 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

T1 Energy Inc.

T1 Energy is currently the subject of intense community debate following a short report from Fuzzy Panda Research that alleges hidden ties to Chinese producers, prompting a significant split in retail sentiment between those betting on a short squeeze and those fearing dilution. Despite this skepticism, the stock continues to attract major institutional attention and remains a key focus for investors banking on long-term domestic solar manufacturing and AI-driven energy demand.

Vertiv Holdings Co. engages in the design, manufacture, and service of critical digital infrastructure technology for data centers, communication networks, and commercial and industrial environments. The firm also offers power management products, switchgear and busbar products, thermal management products, integrated rack systems, modular solutions, and management systems for monitoring and controlling digital infrastructure. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Asia Pacific, and Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA). The Americas segment includes products and services sold for applications within the data center, communication networks and commercial and industrial markets in North America and Latin America. The Asia Pacific segment consists of products and services sold for applications within the data center, communication networks and commercial and industrial markets throughout Greater China, Asia, and India. The EMEA segment focuses on products and services sold for applications within the data center, communication networks, and commercial and industrial markets in Europe, Middle East, and Africa. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Westerville, OH.

Vertiv Holdings Co - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Vertiv Holdings Co

Vertiv Holdings Co is trending as investors weigh its critical role in AI infrastructure against profit-taking following a massive year-to-date rally and recent analyst upgrades. The community is actively debating the company's valuation and long-term data center demand, with many focused on upcoming investor events and the stock's position as a primary beneficiary of the physical AI supply chain.

UiPath, Inc. engages in the development and provision of a software platform to automate business processes. The firm serves the public, healthcare, telecommunication, finance, and banking industries. It also offers accounts payable automation, claims processing automation, contact center automation, and finance and accounting automation. The company was founded by Daniel Dines and Marius Tirca in 2005 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

UiPath Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

UiPath Inc

UiPath is trending as investors intensely debate whether the stock is a deep-value AI automation play or a structurally impaired value trap, with community discussions heavily focused on high short interest and anticipation for the upcoming May 28 earnings catalyst. Traders are balancing concerns over RPA's long-term relevance against the company's strong cash position, lack of debt, and strategic pivot into agentic AI orchestration.

The Home Depot, Inc. engages in the sale of building materials and home improvement products. Its products include building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products and décor products. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: U.S., Canada and Mexico. It offers home improvement installation services, and tool and rental equipment. The company was founded by Bernard Marcus, Arthur M. Blank, Kenneth Gerald Langone and Pat Farrah on June 29, 1978 and is headquartered at Atlanta, GA.

Home Depot, Inc.

Home Depot is trending as investors weigh a recent earnings beat and reaffirmed annual guidance against broader concerns over consumer resilience and housing market headwinds. Community discussion is heavily focused on the stock's technical setup and its strong inverse correlation with interest rates and the bond market.

NIKE, Inc. engages in the design, development, marketing, and sale of athletic footwear, apparel, accessories, equipment, and services. It operates through the following segments: North America, Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), Greater China, Asia Pacific and Latin America (APLA), Global Brand Divisions, Converse, and Corporate. The North America, EMEA, Greater China, and APLA segments refer to the design, development, marketing, and selling of athletic footwear, apparel, and equipment. The Global Brand Divisions segment represents its NIKE Brand licensing businesses. The Converse segment designs, markets, licenses, and sells casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories. The Corporate segment is composed of unallocated general and administrative expenses. The company was founded by William Jay Bowerman and Philip Hampson Knight on January 25, 1964 and is headquartered in Beaverton, OR.

Nike, Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class B

Nike Inc

Nike is currently trending as investors debate whether the stock has hit a multi-year bottom, with the community actively discussing significant insider buying from company leadership alongside speculation that potential US-China trade developments and summer sporting events could serve as catalysts for a turnaround. Despite persistent bearish sentiment and concerns over revenue pressure, many investors are viewing the stock's current valuation as a contrarian opportunity, focusing on its dividend yield and long-term brand durability.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. engages in the provision of cruise travel services. It offers cruise experiences for travelers with itineraries in Europe, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, South America, Africa, Canada, Bermuda, Caribbean, Alaska and Hawaii. Its brands include Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises, and Regent Seven Seas Cruises. The company was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Miami, FL.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd

Investors are actively debating whether the recent drop in Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) represents a prime buying opportunity driven by short-term market manipulation or a deeper concern regarding management's execution and high debt levels. The community remains sharply divided between those loading the boat on technical support levels and those expressing frustration over the stock's sluggish performance relative to competitors.

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Navarro stated that the strategic position of the U.S. with China is now favorable following President Trump’s visit to the country.</li><li>He also added that the tariffs on China remain where they are, while criticizing the U.S. Supreme Court for ruling against them.</li><li>Navarro stated that the Trump administration “feels good” about where it stands with respect to China.</li></ul>President Donald Trump’s Senior Counselor for trade and manufacturing, Peter Navarro, on Tuesday touted that the U.S. Navy essentially controls the Strait of Hormuz and the flow of oil from the waterway to the rest of the world.During an interview with CNBC, Navarro touted that the U.S. has thrown out China and Russia from Venezuela and Cuba courtesy of the “Donroe Doctrine.”Navarro also listed a slew of wins for the U.S. following President Trump’s two-day state visit to China, including the extraction of a promise from Chinese President Xi Jinping not to supply weapons to Iran amid the ongoing conflict.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Navarro Says Strategic Position With China Now Favorable</h2>Navarro stated that the strategic position of the U.S. with China is now favorable following President Trump’s visit to the country.“The Chinese understand that history, and we do not want them supplying manpads… they promised not to do so,” he said, while adding that he does not believe the Chinese will keep that promise necessarily.He also added that the tariffs on China remain where they are, while criticizing the U.S. Supreme Court for ruling against them. Navarro stated that the Trump administration “feels good” about where it stands with respect to China.Navarro also added that the U.S. has cut its trade deficit with China by $100 billion.<h2 class="st-heading-2">White House Says China Will Buy $17B Agricultural Goods Annually</h2>The White House released a fact sheet regarding its agreement with China, stating that China has agreed to buy $17 billion worth of agricultural goods annually through 2028.The administration stated that this is in addition to the soybean purchase commitments that China made in October 2025.White House also stated that China will work to resolve U.S. concerns about rare-earth and critical-mineral supply chain shortages, including materials such as yttrium, scandium, neodymium, and indium. It added that Beijing will also address U.S. concerns related to restrictions on the sale of rare-earth production equipment, processing technologies, and related systems.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Tuesday’s opening trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down 0.65%; the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) fell 0.95%; and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.29%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits regarding the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘extremely bullish’ territory.The United States Oil Fund ETF (USO) was up about 1% at the time of writing, while the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF (UCO) gained nearly 2%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/nvda-need-diversify-beyond-cloud-ai-rally-dan-ives-jensen-huang-q1-earnings/cZXuY7HReZH">NVDA Needs To Diversify Beyond Cloud Giants To Sustain AI Rally, Says HSBC — Dan Ives Says Jensen Huang Holds Best Read On Enterprise AI Demand</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Trade advisor to U.S. President Donald Trump Peter Navarro speaks to members of the media following a television interview on the North Lawn of the White House on April 30, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Peter Navarro Claims US Navy Essentially Controls Strait Of Hormuz — Touts Trump-Xi Meeting Wins

President Donald Trump’s Senior Counselor for trade and manufacturing, Peter Navarro, on Tuesday touted that the U.S. Navy essentially controls the Strait of Hormuz and the flow of oil from the waterway to the rest of the world.

Equity

During an interview with CNBC, Navarro touted that the U.S. has thrown out China and Russia from Venezuela and Cuba courtesy of the “Donroe Doctrine.”

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>HSBC expects Nvidia to deliver another “beat and raise” quarter, extending a streak of earnings reports that have topped estimates and pushed guidance expectations higher.</li><li>The analyst, Frank Lee, noted that Nvidia shares have still underperformed peers over the past six months despite two major conference events and two strong sets of financial results.</li><li>He added that Nvidia has increasingly been striking deals outside its core cloud customer base, a trend he expects to remain a key focus going forward.</li></ul>AI bellwether Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) needs to show the evidence of diversification of its non-cloud customer base to sustain the ongoing rally, said HSBC analyst Frank Lee.According to TheFly, Lee stated Nvidia needs to demonstrate this diversification in order to fuel its AI graphics processing unit momentum.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NVDA">Nvidia shares</a> were down 1% in Tuesday’s pre-market trade.<h2 class="st-heading-2">HSBC’s New NVDA Price Target</h2>Despite stating what Nvidia needs to do for the next round of re-rating, Lee raised HSBC’s price target for NVDA to $325 from $295, while maintaining a ‘Buy’ rating.The firm’s new price target implies an upside potential of over 46% from NVDA stock’s current levels.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What To Expect From NVDA Q1 Earnings?</h2>HSBC expects Nvidia to post yet another beat-and-raise quarter. However, Lee noted that Nvidia's shares have lagged peers over the past six months, even after the company hosted two major conference events and delivered two earnings reports that topped estimates and lifted guidance.Nvidia is set to report its first quarter (Q1) results on Wednesday after the bell. The company is expected to report earnings per share (EPS) of $1.77 on revenue of $79.12 billion during the quarter, according to Fiscal.ai data.Nvidia reported an EPS of $0.81 on revenue of $44.06 billion during the same period a year ago.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Will Drive NVDA’s Next Re-Rating?</h2>According to a CNBC&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/19/nvidia-earnings-expectations-are-high-why-hsbc-expects-the-chipmaker-to-clear-the-bar.html">report</a>, Lee added that the next re-rerating for Nvidia will likely depend on a new growth narrative beyond selling AI GPUs to traditional hyperscalers.He noted that Nvidia has increasingly been striking deals outside its core cloud customer base, a trend he expects to remain a key focus going forward.Lee added that the market is already largely familiar with Nvidia’s current GPU roadmap and the pricing increases tied to it.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Ives Says NVDA’s Huang Best Placed To Talk About Demand</h2>Dan Ives, Global Head of Tech Research at Wedbush, stated in a post on X that Nvidia remains at the center of the artificial intelligence revolution. He added that the company’s GPUs continue to serve as the backbone for AI infrastructure across cloud providers, enterprises, and governments.“There is one company that is the foundation for the AI Revolution and that is Nvidia with the Godfather of AI Jensen having the best perch and vantage point to discuss overall enterprise AI demand and the appetite for Nvidia's AI chips looking forward,” he said.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NVDA">NVDA stock</a> is up 19% year-to-date and 64% over the past 12 months. The S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY) is up 24% over the past 12 months, while the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) is up 35%.The Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF (VGT) is up 45% over the past 12 months, while the iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF) is up 24%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/michael-burry-ai-debt-frency-87-vc-funding-dot-com-bubble/cZXunFNReZV">Michael Burry Warns Of AI Debt Frenzy As 87% Of VC Funding Floods Sector — ‘Less Than 40%’ Went To Internet Companies During Dot-Com Era</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The Nvidia logo is displayed on a smartphone screen with the company logo in the background. (Photo by Samuel Boivin/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

NVDA Needs To Diversify Beyond Cloud Giants To Sustain AI Rally, Says HSBC — Dan Ives Says Jensen Huang Holds Best Read On Enterprise AI Demand

According to a CNBC report, an HSBC analyst added that the next re-rating for Nvidia will likely depend on a new growth narrative beyond selling AI GPUs to traditional hyperscalers.

NVDA Needs Broader AI Customer Base To Sustain Rally, HSBC Says Ahead Of Earnings

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Burry also highlighted the risk of bonds becoming junk, drawing parallels to the bonds issued to tech, media, and telecom companies during the dot-com era.</li><li>He stated that TMT startups accounted for roughly 80% of all venture capital funding in 1999.</li><li>Burry added that by 2000, they also made up 40% to 50% of high-yield bond issuance and 25% to 30% of total investment-grade debt sales.</li></ul>Michael Burry on Monday warned that the debt frenzy in the artificial intelligence sector may be drifting into bubble territory as capital pours into the sector at a pace exceeding the dot-com era.“The Big Short” investor highlighted that 87% of venture capital funding is now directed toward AI companies, citing data from Apollo Global Management’s Chief Economist, Torsten Slok. He also noted that nearly half of all investment-grade bond issuance is going toward AI, while 38% of the high-yield bond issuance is linked to AI.“During the internet boom, in 1999, less than 40% of VC funding was linked to internet companies,” Burry stated in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://substack.com/@michaeljburry/note/c-261415340">post</a> on Substack.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Burry Highlights Risk Of Bonds Becoming Junk</h2>Burry also highlighted the risk of bonds becoming junk, drawing parallels to the bonds issued to tech, media, and telecom (TMT) companies during the dot-com era.He stated that TMT startups accounted for roughly 80% of all venture capital funding in 1999, and by 2000, they accounted for 40% to 50% of high-yield bond issuance and 25% to 30% of total investment-grade debt sales.The investor added that more than $100 billion worth of investment-grade bonds issued during 1999 and 2000 were later downgraded to junk status by 2002.“High yield debt at 38% today vs 40%-50% back then belies the idea that today’s AI debt issuance is cleaner, backed by more profitable companies today,” he said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Burry Warns Of ‘SaaSpocalypse’</h2>In a Substack post last week,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/michael-burry-warns-saas-downplaying-ai-risks/cZXl6DORejt">Burry warned</a> of a “SaaSpocalypse,” adding that software-as-a-service companies are downplaying the risks AI poses to their revenue models.He pointed out that companies such as Salesforce, HubSpot, Snowflake, Workday, and ServiceNow came under heavy pressure heading into 2026, with the selloff accelerating after Anthropic introduced Agentic AI plug-ins that enabled Claude models to directly integrate with enterprise software platforms.Burry also cautioned that investors are beginning to realize AI agents could eventually replace large portions of enterprise software workflows.He also disclosed last week that&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/michael-burry-warns-complete-reversal-nasdaq-100-ai-bubble/cZXaINRRehQ">he added</a> to his Nvidia January 2027 puts at a strike price of $115, and March 2027 puts at a strike price of $125.At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, fell 0.43%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.76%.The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) is down 12% over the past 12 months, while the iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) is up 48%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/tngx-stock-worst-day-19-months-after-0-revenue-q1-price-target-double/cZXmP6LRek5">TNGX Stock Crashes 20% After Reporting $0 Revenue In Q1 — But Analysts Still See Massive Upside</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Michael Burry attends the "The Big Short" New York premiere at Ziegfeld Theater on November 23, 2015 in New York City.

Michael Burry Warns Of AI Debt Frenzy As 87% Of VC Funding Floods Sector — ‘Less Than 40%’ Went To Internet Companies During Dot-Com Era

Michael Burry on Monday warned that the debt frenzy in the artificial intelligence sector may be drifting into bubble territory as capital pours into the sector at a pace exceeding the dot-com era.

Burry highlighted that 87% of venture capital funding is now directed toward AI companies, citing data from Apollo Global Management’s Chief Economist, Torsten Slok.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>President Donald Trump said “serious negotiations” with Iran were underway, delaying a previously planned military strike.&nbsp;</li><li>Wall Street’s biggest focus remains Wednesday’s earnings report from NVDA, which many traders see as the next major test for the AI rally.</li><li>Investors are also tracking reports that the SEC is preparing plans that could eventually allow trading of crypto-based versions of stocks.</li></ul>U.S. stock futures were lower early Tuesday as investors digested rising inflation worries and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Traders are also cautious ahead of Nvidia’s Q1 earnings report on Wednesday.Optimism was briefly renewed after President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that he is delaying a planned military strike on Iran to allow for "serious negotiations" brokered by Middle Eastern allies. However, rising crude oil prices and the 30-year Treasury yield hitting 5% stoke fears of a sticky inflation scenario, which may lead to a hawkish Federal Reserve.&nbsp;&nbsp;As of 4:00 a.m. ET on Tuesday: Dow futures were flat with a negative bias, while S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq and Russell 2000 futures were down 0.3%.Retail sentiment toward the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a>, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index, and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a> ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, has held at ‘extremely bullish’.Trending Stocks To WatchNvidia (NVDA): A day before its earnings report, the chip giant has confirmed that its next-generation AI processors have begun early deliveries to top-tier AI labs like OpenAI and Anthropic.&nbsp;Alphabet Inc (GOOGL)&nbsp;is in focus following a $5 billion in initial investment from Blackstone to launch a new company will offer cloud capacity built on Google’s TPUs to external customers.Meta (META)&nbsp;stock is in focus as investors track its AI-led restructuring efforts this week. Reports suggest that the company is reassigning 7,000 workers to new artificial intelligence roles amid planned reductions due on Thursday.Intel Corp (INTC):&nbsp;CEO Lip-Bu Tan, in an interview with CNBC, said its foundry division has engaged multiple customers for its advanced 14A and 18A manufacturing nodes.&nbsp;Home Depot (HD)&nbsp;has drawn attention after Stifel reduced its price target on the home improvement retailer to $320 from a previous $375, ahead of its fiscal first-quarter (Q1) earnings today.Hims &amp; Hers Health, Inc. (HIMS):&nbsp;The telehealth firm has expanded its convertible debt offering to $350 million to fund its proposed Eucalyptus acquisition and AI health tech expansion plans.Rocket Lab (RKLB): Retail investors are tracking a fresh Electron satellite launch for Japan's Synspective and a vital NASA-backed fuel storage mission, along with a shareholder meeting this week.Investors are also tracking reports that the SEC is preparing plans that could eventually allow trading of crypto-based versions of stocks.Other tickers trending on Stocktwits at the time of writing included Lululemon (LULU), Li Auto (LI), T-Mobile (TMUS), and UiPath Inc (PATH).&nbsp;Other Catalysts To WatchOn the economic front, investors are tracking the pending home sales at 10 am and Fed governor Christopher Waller’s speech later in the day for clues on interest rate trajectories.On earnings radar, watch out for quarterly reports from Home Depot Inc (HD), Canaan Inc - ADR (CAN), Bilibili Inc. (BILI), Ceragon Networks Ltd (CRNT), and Elte (ELTK), among others, before the bell today. Meanwhile, Camber Energy Inc (CEIN), Kartoon Studios Inc (TOON), Target Corp (TGT), CervoMed Inc (CRVO), and CAVA Group Inc (CAVA), among others, report after market close.&nbsp; For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Lower As Markets Weigh Trump’s Iran Delay, Sticky Inflation Risks: Why NVDA, META, HD, HIMS Are Keeping Traders Engaged Today

U.S. stock futures were subdued early Tuesday as investors digested rising inflation worries and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. Traders are also cautious ahead of Nvidia’s Q1 earnings report on Wednesday.

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Slip As Nvidia Earnings Loom, Inflation Fears Weigh: Why NVDA, GOOGL, META, HD, HIMS Are In Focus

Data from Stocktwits shows that despite the softer futures action, retail sentiment remained firmly bullish on SPY and QQQ. 


<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Meta also plans to move 7,000 employees to new initiatives related to AI workflows.</li><li>Several tech companies, including Amazon, Snap, Cisco, Oracle and Pinterest, have recently cut thousands of jobs.</li><li>On Stocktwits, the retail sentiment for META remained ‘bullish.’</li></ul>Meta Platforms’ stock&nbsp;rose 0.2% in early premarket trading on Tuesday, after reports outlined a massive reorganization that it expected to kick off tomorrow.Meta plans to announce company-wide layoffs on Wednesday, impacting 10% of its workforce or about 8,000 workers, as well as organizational changes aimed at improving the company's AI workflows, Reuters&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/meta-lays-out-plans-may-20-layoffs-restructuring-internal-document-says-2026-05-18/">reported</a>, citing an internal company memo.<h2 class="st-heading-2">META’s Org Changes</h2>The memo was from Meta’s Chief People Officer, Janelle Gale, and also informed employees that the company plans to move 7,000 employees to new AI workflows initiatives and eliminate managerial roles. In addition, "many leaders will announce ​org changes," she reportedly wrote.Meta employed 77,986 workers as of March this year."As org leaders worked on the changes, many of them incorporated AI native design principles ⁠into their new org structures. We're now at the stage where many orgs can operate with a flatter structure with smaller teams of ​pods/cohorts that can move faster and with more ownership," Gale wrote.Some of the transfers have already happened, while in other cases, employees will be notified on Wednesday, ​Gale said. Employees in North America were told to work from home on Wednesday, according to the Reuters report. Meta has also closed an additional 6,000 open roles as ‌part of ⁠the process.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Job Cuts Across Tech</h2>The forthcoming cuts at Meta would be the latest in a broader wave of tech layoffs, with Amazon, Snap, Cisco, Oracle, and Pinterest among companies trimming headcount as AI improves operational efficiency and firms redirect resources toward AI-focused initiatives.Meta famously eliminated over 20,000 roles in 2023, which CEO Mark Zuckerberg called the “Year of Efficiency,” and has continued to target cuts in the years that followed.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Retail View On META</h2>On Stocktwits, the retail sentiment for META remained ‘bullish,’ unchanged since last week.&nbsp;“$META I know they’ve overpaid, but really feel bad for Meta employees right now. Zuck has AI psychosis and should probably be pushed out before he destroys the company,” a trader&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/Lowkeygenius/message/653762051">wrote</a>, expressing frustration by the aggressive management decisions.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/META">META shares</a> declined in the last two sessions and are down 7.3% year to date.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.&nbsp;

Mark Zuckerberg, pictured during his testimony to Senate Judiciary Committee on January 31, 2024. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

META Stock Rises Premarket As Meta Reportedly Plans 10% Job Cuts This Week

The cuts would impact about 8,000 workers, and they would be informed starting Wednesday, according to Reuters.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Nvidia shares fell marginally in premarket.</li><li>Nvidia is scheduled to report its Q1 results on Wednesday</li><li>Retail investors expected another blowout report, with a mixed view on how the stock would react.</li></ul>Nvidia stock&nbsp;fell 0.3% in early premarket trading on Tuesday, after the company announced that it had delivered the first of its latest-generation Vera CPU to customers.Nvidia published a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/vera-cpu-delivery/?linkId=100000422704345">blog post</a> showing Ian Buck, vice president of hyperscale and high-performance computing, hand-delivering the units to Anthropic, OpenAI, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, and SpaceXAI.Announced at Nvidia’s GTC event in San Jose in March, the Vera CPU is Nvidia’s first custom Arm-based server CPU built specifically for AI data centers, and replaces the Grace CPU.&nbsp;Rather than competing directly with traditional enterprise CPUs, Vera is designed to work closely with Nvidia GPUs via high-bandwidth NVLink connections, handling orchestration and data movement for large AI workloads.<h2 class="st-heading-2">NVDA’s AI Chips Roadmap</h2>Vera sits at the center of Nvidia’s post-Blackwell roadmap, powering the Vera Rubin platform that succeeds Blackwell Ultra.&nbsp;Nvidia unveiled the Vera Rubin architecture (which encompasses Vera CPU, Rubin GPU, NVLink networking, BlueField DPUs, and other infrastructure components) at GTC 2025, formally launched Vera in March 2026, and expects Vera Rubin systems to begin shipping in the second half of 2026.“Agentic AI is creating a new CPU moment in the AI factory — as models move from answering to acting, Vera is purpose-built to keep that work moving at scale,” Buck said in a statement.<h2 class="st-heading-2">All Eyes On NVDA Earnings&nbsp;</h2>The development comes just ahead of Nvidia’s quarterly report on Wednesday, a closely watched event that could shape the direction of tech stocks and the broader AI trade.Analysts expect Nvidia’s first-quarter revenue to rise 80% year over year to $79.23 billion, and adjusted profit to rise 120% to $1.78 per share, according to estimates from Koyfin.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Retail View On NVDA</h2>In a Stocktwits&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/discussions/what-do-you-expect-from-nvda-earnings-on-wednesday-may-20/653536986">poll</a>, 85% of the approximately 4,500 users who voted expect Nvidia to beat top and bottom-line estimates. &nbsp;<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2026_05_19_at_1_53_11_PM_png_2f14894b6c.webp" alt="Screenshot 2026-05-19 at 1.53.11 PM.png" width="679" height="390"></figure> On Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward NVDA remained ‘extremely bullish’ as of early Tuesday, unchanged from last week. While most retail investors expected another round of blowout results, views were mixed on how the stock would trade after earnings, especially since Nvidia shares declined following each of the last three quarterly reports despite the company posting robust results.“NVDA if this ends red today, who knows what Wednesday will bring. Maybe opposite of MO, run up and dump after ER. AI related stocks taking a beating last few days,”&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/Dennis123x/message/653767070">said</a> a trader.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NVDA">NVDA shares</a> declined in the last two sessions. Year to date, they are up nearly 20%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.&nbsp;

The Nvidia Corp. logo, appears on a MacBook. (Photo by Joan Cros/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

NVDA Stock Dips Premarket: Chip Giant 'Hand Delivers' Next-Gen Vera CPUs To Anthropic, OpenAI, SpaceX, Oracle

The Vera CPU is Nvidia’s first custom Arm-based server CPU built specifically for AI data centers.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>For Tan, who took over as Intel CEO last year, turning around the foundry unit is one of the top priority items.</li><li>After signing foundry deals with Tesla and Google, Intel is reportedly in talks with Apple to secure manufacturing contracts for certain chips that power Apple devices.</li><li>Intel shares have tripled year to date.</li></ul>Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan said on Monday confirmed that Intel’s foundry business had “multiple customers engaged” with them, and that improvements in its 14A and 18A processes are driving increased interest from customers.In an&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/05/18/intel-ceo-we-used-to-have-leadership-in-data-center-we-lost-that-im-trying-to-bring-that-back.html">interview</a> on CNBC’s Mad Money, Tan said, “Foundry is very important… it’s a national treasure, because 90% plus of the most advanced processors are manufactured outside the country. So I think it’s important to bring some of that back.”“Now some of the customers are coming knocking on my door, saying Lip-Bu, can you now open up also for outside customers. And that is very exciting,” he said.While improving processes, Intel is aggressively looking to bring on big-ticket customers for its foundry business. For Tan, who took over last year, turning around the foundry unit is one of the top priority items.Intel was recently contracted to produce certain chips for&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/intc-stock-gains-as-tesla-plans-to-use-14-a-chips-in-terafab-project-earnings-due-thursday/cZB9EGoRebQ">Tesla’s Terafab</a> data center complex and co-develop certain data center chips with&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/intel-google-deepen-ai-partnership-days-after-intc-join-tesla-terafab/cZJW4N6RIr6">Google</a>. Intel is rumored to be in talks with&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/intc-stock-jumps-overnight-report-says-apple-in-discussion-with-intel-foundry-for-manufacturing-custom-chips/cZQwqXaReBJ">Apple</a> to produce chips for its devices, a potential deal that could bring in&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/intel-s-potential-foundry-deal-with-apple-could-add-10-b-annual-sales-by-2030-analyst/cZX9zwcReWp">$10 billion</a> in annual revenue, according to Bank of America.Refusing to name discussions with potential customers, Tan said, “I don't disclose of a customer. But you can draw the line, look at the customer from Intel, from Cadence, some of them, they trust me, they want to work with me."<h2 class="st-heading-2">Advanced Chips, Data Center CPU Demand Power INTC</h2>Earlier this year, Intel&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/intel-launches-its-most-advanced-panther-lake-laptop-chips/cmxwi4zR4Ro">unveiled</a> new PC processors, “Panther Lake,” built on its 18A process – roughly equivalent to a 2-nanometer-class node – which the company said is the most advanced semiconductor manufacturing process ever developed and produced in the U.S.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/INTC">Intel’s shares</a> have tripled this year, drawing heightened investor interest. In the last quarter, revenue rose 7% to $13.6 billion, beating Wall Street estimates by roughly 9%, while Data Center and AI sales climbed 22% to $5.05 billion.Intel Foundry’s operating loss narrowed to $2.4 billion, improving by $72 million sequentially, helped by better yields across Intel 4, 3, and 18A processes.Higher demand for CPUs, which Intel specializes in, for AI workloads has been a major catalyst, according to Tan. “CPU to GPU ratio for training used to 1:8. And now, because of the inference, agentic AI, and more agents you have to manage, CPU is actually better, and that ratio has become 1:4 and in some cases 1:1. That’s a huge opportunity for me.”&nbsp;&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Retail View On INTC</h2>On Stocktwits, the retail sentiment for INTC remained ‘bearish’ early Tuesday, unchanged since the prior day. Still, traders appeared uninterested in paring their stakes despite the sharp gains and speculated that more positive developments could be on the horizon.“i'm predicting big news tomorrow. LBT (CEO Lip-Bu Tan) isn't about to do this big media tour and investor meetings without a big news announcement in his pocket. What could it be? Another HUGE multi year contract customer?”&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/donthateme/message/653765313">said</a> a trader.Another&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/nonestop9/message/653766292">wrote</a>: “INTC you got to be seriously stupid to short this .. but please do so we can squeeze harder to the upside!!!! way undervalued still.”Intel shares are up 193% year to date.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Read Next:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/googl-stock-rises-overnight-search-giant-launches-new-ai-cloud-company-with-blackstone-s-backing/cZXuW9RReZ4">GOOGL Stock Rises Overnight: Search Giant Launches New AI Cloud Company With Blackstone’s Backing</a>&nbsp;

Lip-Bu Tan, Chief Executive Officer of Intel, appears at an event organized by the company

Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan Reportedly Says ‘Multiple Customers’ Eyeing Foundry Tie-Up 

Tan said improvement in Intel’s 18A and 14A chip processes has drawn interest from potential customers.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.12% last week, near its highest level since 2007.&nbsp;</li><li>Guneet Dhingra, head of U.S. rates strategy at BNP Paribas, reportedly said that once 30-year yields broke above 5%, the market effectively lost a clear ceiling.</li><li>Veteran investor Peter Schiff has also warned that traders may still be underestimating how high both oil prices and bond yields could climb.</li></ul>The sharp selloff in U.S. government bonds may be far from over, according to market experts, as Treasury yields near levels last seen in 2007.The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.12% last week, near its highest level since 2007. The 20-year Treasury yield also climbed to roughly 5.145%, underscoring mounting pressure across the long end of the bond market."The question going forward is: will guys really buy here because I believe this (selloff) will continue to persist," said Padhraic Garvey, head of global rates and debt strategy at ING, as per a Reuters <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/analysisinvestors-see-no-letup-in-bond-market-strain-4697446">report</a>.“We’re probably headed to 4.75% in the next round,” Garvey added, warning that even a modest rise in long-term inflation expectations could drive yields another 10 to 30 basis points higher “very easily.” The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose to around 4.62% late Monday.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Analysts Expect Further Pressure</h2>Wall Street analysts have cited recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings amid the Iran war, rising oil prices, and massive fiscal deficits for the ongoing pressure in the bond market. Economist Steve Hanke noted these factors for higher yields across the world in a post on X, adding that “bond vigilantes are riding again.”Other market veterans are also warning that traditional buyers of U.S. debt are no longer providing the same stabilizing force. Guneet Dhingra, head of U.S. rates strategy at BNP Paribas, reportedly said that once 30-year yields broke above 5%, the market effectively lost a clear ceiling, while in the past, certain levels tended to act as barriers.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/koyfin_20260519_115016678_png_6a51b5ce78.webp" alt="koyfin_20260519_115016678.png" width="1600" height="1000"></figure>"Now that we have no anchor, what stops bond yields from going up in a world of high inflation, ever-rising deficits, and global bond yield pressure?" Dhingra said, as per Reuters.Meanwhile, Gregory Peters, co-chief investment officer at PGIM Fixed Income, reportedly said that although elevated Treasury yields appear attractive, he remains wary of long-dated government bonds. As per a Bloomberg <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-19/us-yields-flirting-with-2007-highs-entice-and-divide-investors">report</a>, Peters noted, “The global bond market is in disarray as investors are losing confidence.”Veteran investor Peter Schiff has also <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/2056181668457713691">warned</a> that traders may still be underestimating how high both oil prices and bond yields could climb.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Rate Hike Expectations</h2>Amid rising bond yields and growing inflationary pressures, some market participants are expecting the Federal Reserve to move toward a rate hike rather than a rate cut.Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, reportedly <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/ed-yardeni-warns-bond-vigilantes-may-force-fed-into-july-rate-hike/cZXu7jQRemU">said</a> he believes the Fed is “likely” to raise key borrowing rates by a quarter of a percentage point as soon as July. Market commentary service The Kobeissi Letter also said that interest rate futures are increasingly signaling that the Fed’s next policy move could be a rate increase rather than a cut. The firm added that markets see the odds of the Fed lowering interest rates before July 2027 to be minimal.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were down in Monday’s overnight trading. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a>, which tracks the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index, was down 0.34% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a>, which mirrors the Nasdaq 100, fell 0.54%, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)</a> declined 0.21%.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/tlt">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)</a> was also down 0.14% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/uthy">Rbb Fund Inc. US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF (UTHY)</a> was up 0.13%.Retail sentiment around SPY on Stocktwits was in the ‘extremely bullish’ territory and for TLT, it was in the ‘bearish’ territory.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The illustration shows the US flag, cash dollar banknotes and stock market indicators. Top US firms announced record buybacks this year. (Source: Getty Images)

Treasury Yields Are Back Near 2007 Highs, Raising Fresh Market Fears – And Analysts Warn Bond Selloff Isn’t Done Yet

Padhraic Garvey, head of global rates and debt strategy at ING, expects the 10-year Treasury yield to head to 4.75% in the next round. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Technology stocks declined sharply on Monday, led by key memory chip names.&nbsp;</li><li>The S&amp;P 500 futures, Dow Jones futures, and Nasdaq 100 futures declined in the overnight session.&nbsp;</li><li>While crude oil futures declined amid the President's remarks, they remained above $100 a barrel.</li></ul>U.S. stock futures were trading lower in Monday’s overnight session as a massive selloff in technology stocks eclipsed hopes for a U.S.-Iran deal after President Donald Trump said he would “hold off” on a planned military attack on Iran.The S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.31%, Dow Jones futures fell 0.22% and Nasdaq 100 futures declined 0.55% as of 12.20 a.m ET. While crude oil futures declined amid the President's remarks, they remained above $100 a barrel.Among ETFs tracking benchmark indexes, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a>, <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a>, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA)</a> edged lower. Retail sentiment was ‘extremely bullish’ for SPY and QQQ on Stocktwits, while it was in the ‘neutral’ territory for DIA at the time of writing.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did US Markets Fare?</h2>On Monday, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closed down 0.07% and 0.51% lower, respectively, while the Dow Jones index was up 0.32% at close.<div><figure class="table"><table class="ck-table-resized"><colgroup><col><col><col></colgroup><tbody><tr><td>Index</td><td>Move</td><td>Close</td></tr><tr><td>Dow Jones Industrial Average</td><td>0.32%</td><td>49,686.12</td></tr><tr><td>S&amp;P 500</td><td>-0.07%</td><td>7,403.05</td></tr><tr><td>Nasdaq Composite</td><td>-0.51%</td><td>26,090.73</td></tr></tbody></table></figure></div><h2 class="st-heading-2">US Market Drivers</h2>Markets are once again looking to the Middle East, with hopes for a peace deal between the U.S. and Iran reignited after Trump said in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116597121700043134">post</a> on Truth Social that he had paused a planned strike on Iran amid “serious negotiations.”“I have been asked by the Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia, Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud, and the President of the United Arab Emirates, Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, to hold off on our planned Military attack of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which was scheduled for tomorrow, in that serious negotiations are now taking place, and that, in their opinion, as Great Leaders and Allies, a Deal will be made, which will be very acceptable to the United States of America, as well as all Countries in the Middle East, and beyond,” he said.Trump reiterated that the deal would include “NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS FOR IRAN” and that the U.S. Military would stand by for “a full, large scale assault of Iran, on a moment’s notice,” if an acceptable deal was not reached.Meanwhile, technology stocks declined sharply on Monday, led by key <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/mu-stx-wdc-sndk-stocks-sink-as-samsung-strike-ripples-rattle-red-hot-ai-memory-chip-trade/cZXuOCCReZc">memory chip names</a>. Seagate Technology shares fell nearly 7% after CEO Dave Mosley said at a JPMorgan conference that building new factories “would just take too long,” further adding to broader supply-chain concerns that were already under pressure. Other stocks, including Micron, SanDisk, Western Digital, and other AI-adjacent stocks also declined.On the economic front, markets will be looking out for April’s pending home sales reading on Tuesday, and the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s May FOMC meeting, scheduled for release on Wednesday.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trending Stocks To Watch</h2>Dominion Energy (D): Shares of the energy company shot onto the retail radar after an announcement that NextEra Energy (NEE) would acquire the company in an all-stock deal worth nearly $67 billion. D stock closed up nearly 10% higher on Monday and continued to <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/dominion-stock-clocks-best-day-in-6-years-this-analyst-sees-further-upside-after-nextera-merger/cZXuBAZRemC">climb</a> in the overnight session.NextEra Energy (NEE): The Florida-based company also garnered attention amid the deal, which will create one of the world's largest electric utility companies. The stock, however, closed more than 4% lower, although it was edging higher in after-market hours.Duos Technologies Group Inc. (DUOT): The small-cap tech company fell more than 5% on Monday after its first-quarter <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/duot-stock-q1-earnings-miss-report-ceo-says-50-million-doallar-target-still-within-reach-for-2026/cZXrVwnRemf">results</a> missed Wall Street expectations.Nike Inc. (NKE): The shoe retailer jumped onto the retail radar after the company’s shares slid to a 5<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/nke-nclh-gis-stocks-hit-52-week-lows-today-why-are-these-consumer-firms-crashing/cZXuO3lReZR">2-week low</a> on Monday. Nike stock has declined more than 32% this year amid pressured growth in China and shrinking profit margins.T1 Energy Inc. (TE): The solar and battery manufacturer’s shares surged more than 23% on Monday and continued to climb higher in the overnight session after hedge fund Situational Awareness LP reported a new <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/te-stock-jumps-14-today-this-hedge-fund-bought-10-m-shares-of-t1-energy-in-q1/cZXr1mtRelx">stake</a> in the company.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Broader Market Trends</h2>Oil futures declined in the overnight session heading into Tuesday. Brent crude futures expiring in July were down about 2.03%, trading at around $109.82 a barrel, while WTI crude futures expiring in June were 1.22% lower, at $107.44 a barrel at the time of writing.Meanwhile, treasury yields on the benchmark 10-year were at 4.603%.Asian markets were trading mixed on Tuesday, with the KOSPI, and Nikkei 225 down at the time of writing, while the SSE Composite and Hang Seng indexes were climbing. Australian stocks were also trading higher.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Shares of QVCGA slide premarket  | Representative image: Getty Images

S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Futures Edge Lower As Tech Selloff Overshadows Iran Deal Hopes: D, NEE, DUOT, NKE, TE, Stocks In Focus

U.S. President Donald Trump said in a post on Truth Social that he had paused a planned strike on Iran amid “serious negotiations.”

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Data from the CME FedWatch tool indicates nearly a 45% probability that the Fed will hike interest rates by the end of the year.</li><li>Market commentary service, The Kobeissi Letter said in a post last week, that interest rate futures now see a base case of the next Fed move being a rate hike.</li><li>U.S. inflation rose to 3.8% in April, the highest level since May 2023, and markets expect it to rise further.</li></ul>Markets have flipped the script on the Federal Reserve, with investors now increasingly betting that the central bank will move toward a rate hike instead of a rate cut amid ‘higher-for-longer’ inflation worries and surging Treasury yields.Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, has reportedly said that he believes the Fed is “likely” to increase key borrowing rates by a quarter of a percentage point as soon as July, with incoming Chair Kevin Warsh potentially forced to push for higher levels to establish credibility.“Warsh is set to chair the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, but who’s actually in the monetary-policy driver’s seat? We’d argue that it’s the Bond Vigilantes,” Yardeni wrote on Monday, according to a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/18/the-fed-will-have-to-raise-interest-rates-in-july-to-appease-bond-vigilantes-yardeni-says.html">report</a> from CNBC.When it comes to the sentiment of policymakers, Yardeni said, “Warsh is going to be the odd man out. But he is the new Fed chair, and the bond market is reacting badly to his dovish stance.”The comments come amid surging Treasury yields in the U.S. and across the world as inflation pressures mount due to the ongoing war between the U.S. and Iran. Last week, the 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.12%, the highest in nearly 19 years. Meanwhile, Treasury yields on the benchmark 10-year bonds was at 4.595% and on 20-year Treasury was at 5.145% at the time of writing, nearing 2007-levels.Economist Steve Hanke noted that rising oil prices driven by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, coupled with massive fiscal deficits, have been sending yields higher across the world, adding that “bond vigilantes are riding again,” in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/steve_hanke/status/2056125039884349577">post</a> on X.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Iran War Stokes Inflation Concerns</h2>U.S. inflation rose to 3.8% in April, the highest level since May 2023, and markets expect it to rise further. The Kobeissi Letter said in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2056387956907126958?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet">post</a> on X that the U.S. consumer price index inflation is on track to exceed +5.0% as early as this year.“Over the last 6 months, CPI inflation has averaged +0.4% on a MoM basis, with March and April readings as high as +0.9% and +0.6%, respectively. If this trend continues, this puts YoY inflation on pace to surge to +5.2% by the November midterms,” the market commentator said on Monday.The Kobeissi Letter noted that it would lead to the highest level since Feb. 2023 and more than double the levels of Feb. 2026. A slowdown in inflation rise to about +0.3% would still result in the inflation rate increasing year-over-year at more than 4.4%, the highest since April 2023. “Inflation is back in full swing,” it said.Economist Steve Hanke echoed the sentiment, saying that the U.S. inflation “genie is out of the bottle” in a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/steve_hanke/status/2056508378872983618">post</a> on X. &nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Fed Rate Hike: Market Stance</h2>While President Donald Trump nominee Warsh has said that the Fed could afford to lower key interest rates, the odds for a rate hike have been rising, with more market participants betting on it.Data from the CME FedWatch <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a> indicates nearly a 45% probability that the Fed will hike interest rates by the end of the year. While the probability of a hike by July is at about 5.5%, this has risen from 0.9% a month ago.“Interest rate futures now see a BASE CASE of the next Fed move being a rate HIKE. In fact, the odds of the Fed cutting interest rates before July 2027 are a mere 1%,” The Kobeissi Letter said in a post last week. &nbsp;“As inflation hits its highest level since 2023, the Fed is left with no option,” it added.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were down in Monday’s overnight trading. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/spy">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a>, which tracks the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index, was down 0.10% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a>, which mirrors the Nasdaq 100, fell 0.22%. On the other hand, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT)</a> was up 0.06%.Retail sentiment around SPY on Stocktwits was in the ‘extremely bullish’ territory and for TLT, it was in the ‘bearish’ territory.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The Federal Reserve logo is visible on the William McChesney Martin Jr. Building on December 9, 2025 in Washington, DC.

Ed Yardeni Warns Bond Vigilantes May Force Fed Into July Rate Hike As Yields Near 2007 Highs

The President of Yardeni Research has reportedly said that he believes the Fed is likely to increase key borrowing rates by a quarter of a percentage point as soon as July. 

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