SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Vir Biotechnology, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage immunology company that focuses on combining immunologic insights with cutting-edge technologies to treat and prevent serious infectious diseases. The firm's technology platforms include antibody, T cell, innate immunity and siRNA, which are designed to stimulate and enhance the immune system by exploiting critical observations of natural immune processes. The company was founded by Robert Taylor Nelsen, Klaus Frueh, Jay Parrish, Lawrence Corey, and Louis Picker in April 7, 2016 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

Vir Biotechnology Inc

Vir Biotechnology is actively discussed after announcing a major strategic collaboration with Astellas for its prostate cancer treatment, VIR-5500, featuring substantial upfront payments and positive Phase 1 data, leading to bullish community speculation about a short squeeze and re-evaluation of its immuno-oncology pipeline.

The Home Depot, Inc. engages in the sale of building materials and home improvement products. Its products include building materials, home improvement products, lawn and garden products and decor products. The firm operates through the following geographical segments: U.S., Canada and Mexico. It offers home improvement installation services, and tool and rental equipment. The company was founded by Bernard Marcus, Arthur M. Blank, Kenneth Gerald Langone and Pat Farrah on June 29, 1978 and is headquartered at Atlanta, GA.

Home Depot, Inc.

Home Depot is experiencing active discussion after its latest earnings beat initial profit estimates but offered cautious fiscal year guidance, sparking a mixed community reaction on whether lingering housing market headwinds and consumer spending hesitation will support a rebound or continued pressure.

Federal National Mortgage Association is a government-sponsored company, which engages in the provision of liquidity for purchases of homes and financing of multifamily rental housing and refinancing existing mortgages. It operates through the Single-Family and Multifamily segments. The Single-Family segment offers liquidity to the mortgage market and increases the availability and affordability of housing for single families. The Multifamily segment includes guaranty fees on mortgages and on multifamily mortgage loans. The company was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Washington, DC.

Federal National Mortgage Association

Fannie Mae (FNMA) is trending as positive housing market forecasts and decreasing mortgage rates, alongside recent strong earnings reports from the GSEs, fuel investor anticipation for its release from conservatorship. The community is keenly discussing comments from FHFA leadership indicating readiness for an IPO with the decision resting with the President, leading to widespread speculation of an imminent uplisting to the NYSE.

Uniting the six native Japanese dog breeds. Kendu is the keeper of peace, the preserver of life, and the protector of unity. Join the pack!!

Kendu

KENDU CRYPTO is trending as its highly active community demonstrates strong conviction, consistently building a permissionless brand with numerous real-world products and initiatives. The community's unwavering focus on development and "buying the dip" in a fluctuating market generates significant discussion and belief in its long-term potential.

Atlassian Corp. is a holding company, which engages in providing team collaboration and productivity software. Its products include Jira Software, Confluence, Jira Service Management, and Loom. The company was founded by Michael Cannon-Brookes and Scott Farquhar in October 2002 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

Atlassian Corporation - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Atlassian Corporation Plc

Atlassian (TEAM) is trending as widespread market fears of AI disruption drive a "SaaSpocalypse" across the software sector, overshadowing the company's solid earnings. While many investors are panicking over potential obsolescence from AI tools, others view the sharp sell-off as an extreme undervaluation for Atlassian's deeply embedded and sticky enterprise solutions.

Armstrong World Industries, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and trade of commercial and residential ceiling, wall, and suspension system solutions. It operates through the following segments: Mineral Fiber, Architectural Specialties, and Unallocated Corporate. The Mineral Fiber segment involves the production of suspended and soft fiber ceiling systems. The Architectural Specialties segment focuses on the production, design, and sourcing of ceilings, walls, and facades primarily for use in commercial settings. The Unallocated Corporate segment includes the assets, liabilities, income, and expenses that have not been allocated to other business segments. The company was founded by Thomas M. Armstrong in 1860 and is headquartered in Lancaster, PA.

Armstrong World Industries Inc.

Armstrong World Industries is trending after reporting strong Q4 2025 earnings and issuing robust 2026 guidance, with the community highlighting its strategic acquisitions and product innovations in architectural solutions. This performance showcases the company's resilience and growth drivers despite a dynamic building materials market.

Unity Software, Inc. engages in the developing video gaming software. It also provides software solutions to create, run and monetize interactive, real-time two-dimensional and three-dimensional content for mobile phones, tablets, consoles, and augmented and virtual reality devices. Its platform is used by developers, artists, and designers to build content for gaming, film, retail, automotive, architecture, engineering, and construction industries. The company was founded by Joachim Ante and David Helgason in 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

Unity Software Inc

Unity Software is plummeting after its Q1 guidance disappointed, intensifying widespread community concerns that its core game engine business faces existential AI disruption from competitors, notably Google's Project Genie.

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF

iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF

The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) is experiencing a severe sell-off, driven by pervasive AI disruption fears surrounding advanced models like Claude and critical research reports. While some decry market manipulation, others view the sector as deeply oversold, presenting a significant buying opportunity for fundamentally strong software companies amidst record trading volumes and historically low valuations.

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity products and services to stop breaches. It offers cloud-delivered protection across endpoints, cloud workloads, identity and data, and threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. CrowdStrike serves customers worldwide. The company was founded by George P. Kurtz, Gregg Marston, and Dmitri Alperovitch on November 7, 2011 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

Crowdstrike Holdings Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Crowdstrike Holdings Inc

CrowdStrike is trending amidst a sector-wide sell-off sparked by fears that Anthropic's new Claude Code Security tool signals AI's disruptive potential in cybersecurity, though the community remains sharply divided between those who believe it's an overblown reaction and others concerned about long-term business model changes.

ImmunityBio, Inc. is a clinical stage immunotherapy company. It develops next generation therapies that drive immunogenic mechanisms for defeating cancers and infectious diseases. The company's immunotherapy platform activates both the innate and adaptive immune systems to create long term immunological memory. ImmunityBio was founded by Patrick Soon-Shiong in 2014 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

ImmunityBio Inc

ImmunityBio (IBRX) is soaring after announcing 700% revenue growth for its ANKTIVA platform, driven by recent global approvals and an aggressive 3-year expansion plan for multiple cancer and immune system treatments. The community anticipates a significant short squeeze amid elevated short interest and discussions of potential high-profile recognition for its groundbreaking oncology advancements.

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Nifty 50

Nifty Bank

Reliance Industries Ltd.

Zomato Ltd.

Tata Consultancy Services

Tata Motors Ltd.

HDFC Bank Ltd.

ITC Ltd.

Adani Enterprises Ltd

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Apple Inc.

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Microsoft Corporation

NVIDIA Corp

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Consumer spending in the U.S. unexpectedly flattened in December.&nbsp;</li><li>Eight of 13 retail sectors posted declines, including clothing stores, furniture outlets, and auto dealerships.</li><li>The employment cost index increased 0.7% in the fourth quarter.</li></ul>U.S. stock markets opened with gains on Tuesday, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average to an all-time high, as investors appeared to shrug off retail concerns in favor of broader market optimism.&nbsp;At the time of writing, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) traded 0.5% higher, at 50,430 points. Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) edged up to 6,966 points. However, the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) inched 0.1% lower.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Retail Data&nbsp;</h2>Consumer spending in the U.S. unexpectedly flattened in December. According to the Commerce Department, overall retail purchases, unadjusted for inflation, showed little change following a 0.6% gain in November.&nbsp;Eight of 13 retail sectors posted declines, including clothing stores, furniture outlets, and auto dealerships, while spending rose at building materials and sporting goods stores.Data released Tuesday also showed labor costs rising more slowly. The employment cost index increased 0.7% in the fourth quarter, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Selloff Over AI Fears&nbsp;</h2>Shares of many established software and technology companies fell sharply last week as traders grew increasingly uneasy about the risk that advances in artificial intelligence could erode demand for traditional subscription software.The selloff intensified after Anthropic’s Claude Cowork launch. Cowork includes open-source tools that let AI systems handle entire tasks on their own.&nbsp;Following this,&nbsp;hedge funds aggressively increased their short positions in U.S. equities as well. Data from Goldman Sachs Group (GS) showed that last week’s notional shorting of single stocks reached the highest level since 2016.However, a Morgan Stanley&nbsp;research team led by Michael Wilson noted that market pullbacks are a normal feature of major investment cycles and said the long-term fundamental tailwinds for AI remained strong.&nbsp;At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.2%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) gained 0.2%, and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) increased 0.7%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/why-did-datadog-stock-surge-today/cZbUI6JR4Yz">This Software Company Saw Significant High-Value Client Additions And An Upbeat Q4 – Stock Shot Up 17% Pre-Market Today</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on October 01, 2025, in New York City. 

Dow Hits Record High Despite Cautious Economic Data

At the time of writing, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index traded 0.5% higher, at 50,430 points, and the S&P 500 index edged up to 6,966 points.

Equity

At the time of writing, the Dow Jones Industrial Average index traded 0.5% higher, at 50,430 points, and the S&P 500 index edged up to 6,966 points.


<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Spot gold jumped 6% lower at $4,939 an ounce by 4:42 PM ET.</li><li>Major technology shares were trading in the red, including most of the “Magnificent Seven” names like Microsoft and Meta Platforms.</li><li>Bitcoin also took a beating as it fell more than 4% and reached its lowest levels since November 2024.</li></ul>U.S. equities fell on Tuesday after investors dumped major technology stocks as they turned focus on safer assets.&nbsp;The S&amp;P 500 dropped 0.84% to settle at 6,917.81, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.43% lower to 23,255.19. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 166.67 points, or 0.34%, to 49,240.99.Major technology shares were trading in the red, including most of the “Magnificent Seven” names like Microsoft and Meta Platforms that were down 3% and 2%, respectively.&nbsp;Nvidia stock also slumped, with the artificial intelligence heavyweight dropping 4%. Meanwhile, software stocks like ServiceNow and Salesforce fell 7% each.&nbsp;Other than technology stocks, bitcoin also took a beating as it fell more than 4% and reached its lowest levels since November 2024. The drop is also weighed by significant outflows in bitcoin ETFs over the past two weeks, where investors took out billions.&nbsp;Spot gold jumped 6% lower at $4,939 an ounce by 4:42 PM ET. Gold futures for February deliveries was higher nearly 7% to $4,977.90 an ounce.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Stocks In Focus</h2>PayPal (PYPL): PayPal reported Q4 revenue of $8.68 billion, falling short of analyst expectations of $8.79 billion, according to Stocktwits data.&nbsp;Palantir (PLTR): Has reported its best annualized growth rate on record (70%) and a massive Q4 revenue beat of $1.41 billion.Amazon (AMZN): As it gears up to report earnings this week, news reports suggest that it may eliminate 2,200 more jobs as it continues to lean into operational efficiency.&nbsp;Tesla (TSLA): It has introduced a new all-wheel-drive Model Y variant in the U.S., priced at $41,990. But investors are also assessing the $1.25 trillion mega-merger between SpaceX and xAI.Novo Nordisk (NVO): The company on Tuesday said that it sees fiscal 2026 adjusted sales down 5% to 13% as it gears up to face pricing headwinds and a competitive market.&nbsp;U.S. equities were mixed in extended hours of trading on Tuesday. At the time of writing, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.1%, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) fell 0.13%, and the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) was marginally higher.Retail sentiment around SPY trended in ‘bearish’ territory amid ‘high’ message volume.&nbsp;

An electronic board displays information on recent fluctuations of market indices at the B3 Stock Exchange in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on April 7, 2025. 

What Drove US Indices Down Today?

Investors dumped technology stocks as they move to safer assets like Gold and Silver that rose today. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Shares of major tech firms like Apple and Microsoft were up more than 2%.&nbsp;</li><li>The central bank is widely expected to keep its key rate at a target range of 3.5% to 3.75% in its upcoming policy meeting, this week.</li><li>Shares of major health insurance firms were in laggards on Tuesday.&nbsp; &nbsp;</li></ul>The S&amp;P 500 (<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPX">SPX</a>) rose to an all-time intraday high on Tuesday, buoyed by gains in major tech stocks as investors await the Federal Reserve’s first policy meeting of 2026, due Wednesday as well as key tech earnings scheduled this week.&nbsp;As of 12:32 EST, the S&amp;P 500 index rose nearly 0.5% to $6,983.65, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed nearly 1%, according to data from Yahoo Finance.&nbsp;Shares of major tech firms like Apple and Microsoft were up more than 2%. Meta Platforms, Microsoft, as well as EV giant Tesla’s earnings are due Wednesday. Apple will report its results on Thursday.&nbsp;Meanwhile, retail sentiment toward the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPY)</a>, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index, trended in 'extremely bearish’, and the Invesco QQQ Trust (<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">QQQ</a>) ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index, remained ‘bearish,’ amid high message volumes.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trending Stocks To Watch</h2>UnitedHealth (UNH): The stock is down nearly 20% and is the top trending on Stocktwits after the company issued a weak full-year (FY) 2026 outlook, following a soft fourth-quarter (Q4) print, which came in slightly below Wall Street estimates.Boeing (BA): The company swung to profit in its fourth quarter earnings, however losses in its two biggest units disappointed investors.Amazon (AMZN): The company announced on Tuesday that it is closing its Amazon Go and Amazon Fresh stores to focus on more successful formats.Meta Platforms (META): Reports suggest the company is testing new subscription models across Instagram, Facebook, and WhatsApp.&nbsp;Google (GOOGL): The company has reportedly agreed to pay $68 million to settle claims related to unauthorized recordings of its voice assistant, without admitting wrongdoing.United Parcel Service (UPS): &nbsp;The company on Tuesday delivered better-than-expected fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, issued an upbeat outlook for 2026, and announced 30,000 job cuts this year.Microsoft (MSFT): Local officials in Wisconsin have approved 15 additional data centers in the region.And on the earnings radar, investors will also be watching for the quarterly reports from Texas Instruments (TXN) Seagate Technology (STX), Logitech International (LOGI), among others who are scheduled to report earnings after the close today.&nbsp;Other tickers trending on Stocktwits at the time of writing included Richtech Robotics (RR), Redwire (RDW), Movano (MOVE), USA Rare Earth (USAR), and Pinterest (PINS), SentinelOne (S), among others.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration, a S&P 500 logo is displayed on a smartphone with stock market percentages on the background. 

S&P 500 Hits All Time Intraday High Ahead Of Fed’s First Policy Meeting Of 2026 This Week

As of 12:32 EST, the S&P 500 index rose nearly 0.5% to $6,983.65, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed nearly1%.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>President Trump stated he is exploring a one-year 10% credit card interest rate cap, calling 20 to 30% rates unjust and promoting customer affordability.</li><li>The suggestion comes as U.S. credit card balances jumped from $1.21 trillion to $1.23 trillion and household debt surged $197 billion in Q3 2025, mostly due to mortgages and school loans.</li><li>Billionaire Bill Ackman warned that rate restrictions might force lenders to cut credit availability for millions, and prior congressional initiatives to cap rates failed.</li></ul>On Friday, President Donald Trump said that he was considering imposing a one-year term of 10% cap on credit card interest rates, arguing that the current rates of 20 to 30% are unfair to American consumers.&nbsp;President Trump framed the proposal as a measure to make credit cards more affordable and criticised credit card companies for overcharging Americans, adding that the policy would take effect on January 20.While many praised the President on the limit placed on credit cards, Pershing Square Capital Management CEO Bill Ackman&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/BillAckman/status/2009812485302264099?s=20">pointed</a> out that “without being able to charge rates sufficient to cover losses and generate an adequate return on equity, credit card lenders will cancel cards for millions of consumers.” Ackman called it “a mistake” and proposed that “regulatory changes that enable new entrants could lead to a reduction in rates.”&nbsp;Previously, Congress had tried to consider legislation to cap interest rates on credit cards, but none made it into law.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Record US Consumer Debt Adds Pressure on Households</h2>This comes at a time when credit card debts hit a record high in 2025. From the second to the third quarter, credit card debts have skyrocketed from $1.21 trillion to $1.23 trillion, according to the&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/research/2025/20251105">Federal Bank of New York.</a> Household debt in the United States rose by $197 billion in the third quarter of 2025, continuing a trend that is putting it on course to surpass levels last reached before the financial crisis, according to the latest quarterly report on household debt and credit.&nbsp;The bank also states that most of the increase was driven by mortgage balances, which rose $137 billion to $13.07 trillion as activity related to mortgages increased, with $512 billion in new mortgage loans issued during the quarter. However, student loan balances increased by $15 billion to $1.65 trillion over the quarter.&nbsp;Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/us-bill-bans-officials-insider-trading-on-prediction-markets/cmU30GER43d">US Bill Bans Officials' Insider Trading On Prediction Markets After Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro Arrest</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Trump Calls For 10% Cap On Credit Card Interest Rates, Bill Ackman Calls It A ‘Mistake’

Donald Trump wants to put a 10% cap on interest rates on credit cards, a move that had previously been taken up by Congress but had never made into law.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Both the NYSE and the Nasdaq will remain closed for trading on Christmas, December 25.</li><li>Trading will resume on all the markets at their usual times on Friday, December 26. The pre-opening session will begin at 6:30 a.m. ET, while the regular session will begin at 9:30 a.m. ET and go on till 4 p.m. ET.</li></ul>It’s almost Santa Claus time, and you may be wondering, is the stock market open on Christmas Eve? If you are, you will want to check the timings during which the American stock exchanges will remain open.The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will be open for trading on Christmas Eve till 1 p.m. ET, with the NYSE staying open for options trading till 1:15 p.m. ET.The NYSE American Equities, NYSE Arca Equities, NYSE National, and NYSE Texas late trading sessions will close at 5:00 p.m. ET, according to the exchange’s website.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Will Stock Markets Be Open On Christmas?</h2>Both the NYSE and the Nasdaq will remain closed for trading on Christmas, December 25.Trading will resume on all the markets at their usual times on Friday, December 26. The pre-opening session will begin at 6:30 a.m. ET, while the regular session will begin at 9:30 a.m. ET and go on until 4 p.m. ET.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What About A Santa Claus Rally?</h2>A Santa Claus rally, which refers to the stock market’s tendency to rise during the final five trading days in December and the first two trading days of the new year, is likely to take place this year, according to Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group.“We think it’s likely. These next seven days, starting tomorrow, are higher more than 77% of times. You look at all seven day combinations out there, none are more likely to be higher,” Detrick&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/us-equities-could-hit-new-highs-santa-claus-rally-says-ryan-detrick/cLeppGTREHd">said</a> on Tuesday.Jeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, on Tuesday&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/wharton-jeremy-siegel-2026-good-year-for-risk-assets/cLeplcAREuj">stated</a> that 2026 has the ingredients needed to be a good year for risk assets.However, for his prediction to materialize, Siegel stated that Washington will have to avoid self-inflicted disruptions and that productivity continues to hold up.“One underappreciated tailwind into year-end is productivity: if productivity holds up while nominal demand cools, inflation can fall without the economy needing to break. That’s the best possible mix for both equities and longer-duration assets,” he said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What If Santa Fails To Show Up?</h2>But what happens when a Santa Claus rally fails to materialize? According to a report by Seeking Alpha citing Ari H. Wald, head of technical analysis at Oppenheimer, the subsequent one or two quarters tend to be below average for equities.“Since 1928, the S&amp;P 500 has averaged a 1% loss in the subsequent three months following a negative [Santa Claus rally] vs. an average 2.6% gain following a positive [one]. If Santa should fail to call, bears may come to Broad &amp; Wall,” Wald said in a recent note, according to the report.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Here’s How US Equities Have Fared Year-To-Date</h2><figure class="table"><table class="ck-table-resized" style=";"><colgroup><col style="width:50%;"><col style="width:50%;"></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style="border:1pt solid #000000;padding:5pt;vertical-align:top;">Index</td><td style="border:1pt solid #000000;padding:5pt;vertical-align:top;">Year-to-date change, as of Dec. 23, 2025</td></tr><tr><td style="border:1pt solid #000000;padding:5pt;vertical-align:top;">Dow Jones Industrial Average</td><td style="border:1pt solid #000000;padding:5pt;vertical-align:top;">13.86%</td></tr><tr><td style="border:1pt solid #000000;padding:5pt;vertical-align:top;">S&amp;P 500</td><td style="border:1pt solid #000000;padding:5pt;vertical-align:top;">17.48%</td></tr><tr><td style="border:1pt solid #000000;padding:5pt;vertical-align:top;">Nasdaq Composite</td><td style="border:1pt solid #000000;padding:5pt;vertical-align:top;">22.01%</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Wednesday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down 0.03%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.02%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) fell 0.06%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bullish’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/strong-q3-us-growth-could-cap-fed-rate-cuts-at-one-or-two-in-2026/cLesrZFREHy">Strong Q3 US Growth Could Cap Fed Rate Cuts At One Or Two In 2026, Says Schwab's Collin Martin</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

People walk by the New York Stock Exchange

Is The Stock Market Open Today? Here Are NYSE, Nasdaq Trading Hours On Christmas Eve

The New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq will be open for trading on Christmas Eve till 1 p.m. ET, with the NYSE staying open for options trading till 1:15 p.m. ET.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Subramanian expects only a 4% upside from current levels, despite considering a 15% earnings growth.&nbsp;</li><li>She also expressed concerns about a liquidity squeeze and a decline in consumption due to potential job losses from AI.&nbsp;</li><li>Subramanian’s outlook is by far the most bearish compared with others, such as Citi and Oppenheimer.</li></ul>Bank of America Securities’ head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy reportedly believes the S&amp;P 500 will end 2026 at 7,100 — a mere 4% upside from current levels, despite a 15% earnings growth penciled in.Savita Subramanian told CNBC <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/12/15/watch-cnbcs-full-interview-with-bofas-savita-subramanian.html">in an interview</a> that this year’s bull run is driven by AI jumps that may not sustain next year. “And the reason really is the stocks in the S&amp;P right now that are the bulk of the market are not the economically sensitive companies,” she told CNBC. “They’re really the AI plays, the kind of buy-the-dream companies, and those we see as maybe headed for a little bit of an air pocket in 2026.”Most of this year’s upside from artificial intelligence (AI) surges will result in “significant multiple compression” next year, she said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Impact On Labor Market</h2>Subramanian also expressed concerns about AI’s impact on the labor market, stating that more consumers will begin to suffer.“Where we are now is a point where you really have to pick a side. So, either AI stocks are all that, but if that’s the case, they’re going to take a bunch of jobs away, which means the consumption could falter next year. So, you know, I worry about the idea that we’re just pricing in the best of everything right now,” she said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Street Estimates</h2>Meanwhile, other firms are more bullish on next year’s market performance. Citigroup expects the S&amp;P 500 to end 2026 at 7,700, an implied gain of 12.7% from Friday’s close, citing strong corporate earnings and AI infrastructure build-out, as per a report from Reuters.Another CNBC report said that Oppenheimer sees the S&amp;P 500 surge 18% from Friday’s close to end 2026 at 8,100, while Wolfe Research predicts the index will climb to 7,600, an implied gain of 11%. Fundstrat Global Advisors’ Managing Partner Tom Lee sees the index reaching 7,700 by the end of next year. Lee also <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/fundstrat-tom-lee-sp-500-prediction-climb-7300-in-december/cLI7gvmREiN">said</a> that he expects the S&amp;P 500 to close at 7,300 in December this year.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.14% at the time of writing, and retail sentiment around it on Stocktwits was in the ‘bullish’ territory.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com. &nbsp;

08 April 2025, Hesse, Frankfurt/Main: The bronze figures of the bull (r) and bear, symbols of the upswing and downswing on the stock market, stand on the square in front of the stock exchange.  

BofA’s Savita Subramanian Says S&P 500 Will End 2026 At 7,100 – Here’s What Citi And Oppenheimer Expect

The head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy at Bank of America Securities said that this year’s bull run from AI may not sustain next year. 

BofA’s Savita Subramanian Says S&P 500 Will End 2026 At 7,100 – Here’s What Citi and Oppenheimer Expect

The OpenAI logo displays on a smartphone screen reflecting green beams. (Photo by Samuel Boivin/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Ten Years Of OpenAI In 10 Charts

OpenAI says it’s “almost certain” we’ll build superintelligence in the next ten years.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>BIS noted that both the S&amp;P 500 and gold prices have surged in “lockstep” throughout the recent market rally.</li><li>Since dipping in April this year after President Donald Trump announced the “Liberation Day” tariffs, the S&amp;P 500 has surged 38% so far, while gold prices have gained more than 41%.</li><li>On Monday, Oppenheimer’s Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus said he expects the S&amp;P 500 to reach 8,100 by the end of 2026.</li></ul>The S&amp;P 500 index and gold are at risk of being in a bubble, according to the latest&nbsp;report by the Bank of International Settlements (BIS).The BIS pointed out that the S&amp;P 500 index and gold have exhibited “explosive behavior” jointly for the first time in the last 50 years.“A widely used statistical test to detect the explosiveness of a price process suggests that both the S&amp;P 500 and the price of gold have entered explosive territory in recent months,” BIS said.It noted that explosive prices are associated with low future returns.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Surging In Lockstep</h2>BIS noted that both the S&amp;P 500 and gold prices have surged in “lockstep” throughout the recent market rally.Since dipping in April this year after President Donald Trump announced the “Liberation Day” tariffs, the S&amp;P 500 index has surged 38% so far. In the same period, spot gold prices have gained more than 41%.Earlier on Monday, Oppenheimer’s Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus said he expects the S&amp;P 500 to reach 8,100 by the end of 2026, up 18% from current levels.<h2 class="st-heading-2">BIS’ Warning</h2>The central bank body warned that a sharp, swift correction typically follows a bubble burst, adding that the growing influence of retail investors is a sign of a developing bubble.“Historically, the prices of U.S. equities and gold have breached the explosive behaviour threshold at different times. This was often followed by a significant correction, such as in 1980 for gold (after having surged during the Great Inflation) and the burst of the dotcom bubble for US equities,” it stated in a report.Analysts at ING Think stated in a note on Monday that they expect the yellow metal to continue to shine in 2026. They expect gold prices to average $4,325 per troy ounce in 2026, implying an upside of more than 3% from current levels.Meanwhile, U.S. equities edged lower in Monday’s opening trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.17%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits regarding the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/GLD">SPDR Gold Shares ETF</a> (GLD) and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IAU">iShares Gold Trust ETF</a> (IAU) were down by 0.02% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/fed-rate-announcement-how-us-treasury-yields-are-behaving/cLIYnVoRElH">With Fed Rate Announcement Scheduled For Wednesday, Here’s How US Treasury Yields Are Behaving</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A 3D illustration of two gold bars laying on regular stacked layer of 1kg 999,9 fine gold bar ingots. 

S&P 500, Gold At Risk Of Being In A Bubble After Flashing 'Explosive’ Price Patterns For First Time In Five Decades, Says BIS

The firm noted that explosive prices are associated with low future returns.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Stoltzfus said the firm is positive on equities and considers them its favorite asset class.</li><li>In a note last week, the strategist stated that if the Fed does cut rates this month, the markets are likely to reflect on it positively, if not enthusiastically.</li><li>In July, Stoltzfus revised the year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 index to 7,100 from 5,950.</li></ul>Oppenheimer’s Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus reportedly expects the S&amp;P 500 index to rally by 18% by the end of 2026, rising to 8,100 points.According to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-08/oppenheimer-s-stoltzfus-is-biggest-us-stock-bull-for-third-year">report</a> citing Stoltzfus’s latest note, the strategist expects the S&amp;P 500 to surge on the back of easing monetary policy and robust economic growth.One of Wall Street’s widely followed strategists, Stoltzfus, said the firm is positive on equities and considers it its favorite asset class, according to the report. In addition to the Fed’s rate cuts and economic resilience, the strategist also credited strong U.S. corporate earnings as a reason behind his bullish outlook on the S&amp;P 500 heading into the next year.The S&amp;P 500 has soared 17% year-to-date, and Lance Roberts, Chief Strategist at RIA Advisors, noted in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/LanceRoberts/status/1997995379221053817">post</a> on X that seasonality has turned supportive. He pointed to the index’s historical performance since 1928, noting that it has delivered an average gain of 1.3% in the second half of December. The gains stood at 2.1% when the seasonality was supportive, he observed.<figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:722/170;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Lance_Roberts_jpg_f955c4bb77.webp" alt="Lance Roberts' post on X" width="722" height="170"><figcaption>Lance Roberts' post on X | @LanceRoberts/X</figcaption></figure>In a note last week, Stoltzfus stated that if the Fed does cut rates this month, the markets are likely to reflect on it positively, if not enthusiastically. “In 2026 we expect the Fed will likely cut rates further if the flow of economic data suggests that inflation is slowing or if the unemployment rate rises further,” he added.In July, Stoltzfus revised the year-end target for the S&amp;P 500 index to 7,100 from 5,950. With three weeks to go for the end of 2025, the index is just 3% shy of the firm’s target.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Santa Claus Rally</h2>Veteran analyst Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, said in a recent note that U.S. equities are set for an early Santa Claus rally amid rising hopes of a rate cut.“The S&amp;P 500 rose back above its 50-day moving average last week and now appears to be back on track to hit 7,000 in a year-end Santa Claus rally,” he said.According to data from the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, there is a 89.6% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut this week.Meanwhile, U.S. equities gained in Monday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.17%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/fed-rate-announcement-how-us-treasury-yields-are-behaving/cLIYnVoRElH">With Fed Rate Announcement Scheduled For Wednesday, Here’s How US Treasury Yields Are Behaving</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The Wall Street bull stands in the financial district near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on November 18, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

S&P At 8,100 By 2026 End? Oppenheimer’s Stoltzfus Reportedly Sees 18% Rally Ahead

According to a Bloomberg report citing Stoltzfus’s latest note, the strategist expects the S&P 500 to surge on the back of easing monetary policy and robust economic growth.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Lee pointed out that the last time the Fed ended its quantitative tightening program in September 2019, U.S. equity markets rallied more than 17% in the span of three weeks.</li><li>He said he is “pretty bullish” heading into the year-end due to the seasonal tailwind during this time of the year.</li><li>Veteran economist Ed Yardeni stated in his latest note that the markets look set for an early Santa Claus Rally, expecting the S&amp;P 500 to reach 7,000 this week.</li></ul>Tom Lee, Managing Partner at Fundstrat Global Advisors, reportedly predicted on Monday that the S&amp;P 500 index could rally by nearly 7% from current levels, reaching up to 7,300 in December.During an&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/video/2025/12/01/7200-7300-is-likely-for-the-sp-500-in-december-says-fundstrats-tom-lee.html">interview</a> with CNBC, Lee stated that he remains bullish on equities and cryptocurrencies into year-end. “I think the biggest tailwind that’s going to emerge in the next couple of weeks is around the central bank. The Fed is set to cut in December,” Lee said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">QT End To Boost Markets</h2>He listed the end of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening program, effective December 1, as a tailwind for U.S. equity markets. Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) October meeting revealed that “almost all” policy makers supported the central bank’s plan to halt the drawdown of its balance sheet from December 1.Lee pointed out that the last time the Fed ended its quantitative tightening program in September 2019, U.S. equity markets rallied by more than 17% in three weeks.He said he is “pretty bullish” heading into year-end, given the seasonal tailwind.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Santa Claus Rally</h2>Veteran economist Ed Yardeni stated in his latest note that the markets look set for an early Santa Claus Rally, expecting the S&amp;P 500 to reach 7,000 this week. “The S&amp;P 500 rose back above its 50-day moving average last week and now appears to be back on track to hit 7,000 in a year-end Santa Claus rally,” he said.Ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) December meeting scheduled for next week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is slated to deliver a speech later today.Fed rate-cut probabilities have also increased ahead of the FOMC meeting. According to data from the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut next week stood at 87.4% at the time of writing, up from 84.4% a week ago.At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.73%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bullish’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/eli-lilly-cuts-zepbound-weight-loss-drug-prices-to-299-a-month/cLI7QykREih">Eli Lilly Cuts Prices For Weight Loss Drug Zepbound To $299 A Month As It Takes On Novo Nordisk’s Wegovy</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

FundStrat Global Advisors Managing Partner Tom Lee speaks onstage at Yahoo Finance All Markets Summit on October 25, 2017 in New York City. (Photo by Cindy Ord/Getty Images for Yahoo)

Fundstrat's Tom Lee Predicts S&P 500 Could Climb To 7,300 In December: Report

Lee also cited the end of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative tightening program, effective December 1, as a tailwind for U.S. equity markets.

The Standard and Poor's 500, or simply the S&P 500, is a stock market index tracking the stock performance of 500 of the largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. The index is market-capitalization weighted, meaning larger companies have a greater impact on its value.

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