DXY US Dollar Index

Good news: the USD is starting to crack, finally. This will bring shiny metals back into play. Miners will also need oil to reverse to the south. $DXY $GLD.X $SLV.X

🌐 Macro Update: Friday relief bounce as $DXY slips to 101.70. Fed's Warsh gave no rate guidance, cutting October hike odds to 14% despite the hot inflation prints earlier this week. ▪️ Indices: Futures are firmer on a tech rebound, but watch the NY open closely. Upside momentum will face heavy resistance while the 10Y yield sits elevated at 5.09%. ▪️ $XAUUSD : Bidding in the 4,147-4,189 range on a softer USD and escalating Middle East strikes. The primary magnet remains the 21-DMA at 4,200. ▪️ Crypto: $BTC.X and $ETH.X are rebounding alongside general risk appetite, though new MSCI screening rules present a structural headwind for institutional proxies. 🗓 Economic Calendar: - Today (Oct 16): Import Prices at 8:30 AM EST (12:30 UTC), Industrial Prod. at 9:15 AM EST (13:15 UTC). - Tomorrow (Oct 17): No macro data scheduled. 🔴 Key Macro Driver: US Treasury Survey at 12:00 PM EST (16:00 UTC) and carrying geopolitical weekend risks.

🚨 Dollar Index rises 0.5% to 102.49. US stock futures turn lower, with Dow Jones and S&P 500 futures slipping into negative territory. Markets are facing renewed pressure as the dollar strengthens. $DXY $SPY $QQQ $TLT $NIFTY50.NSE

$DXY Every time Trump is in front of a microphone, he says that the best way to reduce the US Debt is through inflation (ie devaluing the US Dollar). I don't know why people continue to think they are "hiding" in dollars, when one of his largest policy goals is to devalue the Dollar

$DXY Dollar Index shows 5 swing up from January 27, 2026 suggesting further upside is possible towards 100% extension towards 106.3. Short term resistance lies at 102.4 - 103.3 for a 3 waves pullback before it resumes higher again #elliottwave

$DXY is in the area of no trades. The big resistance is 104 and so far this looks like bearish flag

$DXY $XAUUSD $SPY I hadn't shared this yet because I've been waiting to see if DXY could get there, but it is now touching a descending Res line that started in Oct 2023! If this breaks, it opens the door to ~103.6-104, and if that breaks it could head to 106-107 next. I have been saying for a while I would expect a dollar rally from this channel Sup area rather than a crash. IF the uptrend continues, the dollar debasement trade is going to get crushed. NFA

The Dollar ($DXY) advanced 2% in September and is near a well-trodden range support. While a break doesn't have to occur, the risk (probability and potency) that it does is elevated. The 16-mth (4 quarter) range the DXY has carved out is extreme - second smallest in 50 years

$DXY money is getting very expensive. $SPY 10y has already confirmed stagflation but $DJT jawbones crude and wti with emergency panic to EU to release their reserves is debasement hedge. $VIX world economy $BTC.X something systematic is broken.

$DXY $SPY U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) / Weekly Chart: DXY has reclaimed the key $99.0 - $99.1 resistance zone and achieved acceptance above the psychological $100 level, supported by improving weekly momentum. Price is now testing a significant multi-year resistance band near $101.2 - $101.5, where several prior closes and resistance levels converge. While the technical backdrop has improved since the January capitulation low, the market has yet to decisively clear this overhead supply zone. A sustained move above $101.5, accompanied by continued momentum improvement, would strengthen the case for a more durable dollar uptrend and "could" become a more meaningful intermarket factor across equities, commodities, credit, and other risk-sensitive assets - particularly if the rate accelerates. The dollar has largely repaired its technical structure; The next key test is whether that repair can evolve into a confirmed breakout above the $101.2 - $101.5 resistance band.

The cost of many everyday items would have declined last year and early this year without President Donald Trump’s tariffs, according to the New York Federal Reserve. The cost of 67 categories of goods was 2.9 percentage points higher as of February thanks to tariffs, according to a paper from a team of researchers at the central bank’s New York arm. Without the levies, the team found that prices for the products they studied would have pulled back by almost 1%. $DXY

$DXY $BTC.X Relative Strength: Bitcoin vs U.S. Dollar Index (Weekly) BTCUSD/DXY appears to be in a trend-repair and relative-strength recovery phase following a failed breakdown below the 655 - 690 support zone. Momentum has improved meaningfully, with absolute RSI reclaiming 50 and trend momentum beginning to turn higher. The next important technical hurdle appears near 840, where prior resistance resides. A sustained move above that level, accompanied by improving momentum and a trend RSI reclaiming the 50 level, would strengthen the case that Bitcoin is reasserting relative leadership versus the U.S. Dollar. From an intermarket perspective, such a breakout would be particularly noteworthy if it occurs alongside a firm or strengthening DXY, as it would suggest Bitcoin is attracting sponsorship despite a stronger Dollar backdrop.

$DXY still holding up and Gold is reflecting that. $BTC.X here looks vulnerable. Retail bulls, commence your emotional and profanity laced responses below.

Something to watch: the $DXY USD index is up at a key S/R flip. Commercial hedgers have been increasing shorts this week. If it holds and reverses, we should see a nice run in metals, crypto, and forex pairs. Would also help smaller growth names.

$DXY $SPY Dollar vs Ticker Basket Washout depth q levels Seems like we need the Dollar to drop to accelerate us out of being washed out.

Dollar Index $DXY going for its highest close in 18 months and breaking the long base....

$DXY weekly: dipped into the bullish imbalance and hasn't closed below the mid point. Nice bounce from there.

$DXY That an astonishing drop for the dollar in after hours. I’ve never seen such a huge after hours move in the dollar. $0.10 move either direction is a very significant move. Rate hikes are off.

$DXY $XAUUSD $SPY It broke the red downtrend line. If it can work off that OB condition and confirm old Res as new Sup, it really opens the door to 110+ over the course of multiple months. 👀 Think of what that would mean for equities, precious metals, etc. NFA

$DXY Big money is buying bonds now (note Blackrock - world's largest money manager said yesterday they were going back to bonds after 3 years of avoiding them). yields are already moderating as big money flows from stocks to bonds.