DXY US Dollar Index

Good news: the USD is starting to crack, finally. This will bring shiny metals back into play. Miners will also need oil to reverse to the south. $DXY $GLD.X $SLV.X

As $DXY has bottomed and looks set to enter a stage 2 mark-up, we have to consider how much exposure US banks have to foreign economies. They have multi-trillion dollars foreign claims portfolios and have actually decreased their exposure to Asian markets. BUT, this is what is reported. The real risk is the shadow banking exposure to Asia. Asian debt generates high yields and vastly outperforms your traditional fixed income market, like junk bonds. How are US banks exposed? They extend significant lines of credits to the global hedge funds and asset managers that move within the high yield Asian debt. If a stronger US Dollar causes European Markets to pull back, it will most certainly do the same for the Asian markets and, hence, be very detrimental to the lines of credit issued from US financial institutions to these shadow bankers. When Asia sneezes, the world catches the flu. Once $XLF starts to get the sniffles, brace yourselves.

Where the Big Money Is Moving | 20-23 Oct $DXY is quoting near 101.83, processing Treasury yields and dictating cross-asset capital flow. The immediate structural pivot sits at 101.96. Acceptance higher confirms accumulation, while rejection rotates liquidity back into risk. $SPX $NDX: Consolidating after distribution; awaiting absorption at the Monday open. $XAUUSD: Structurally heavy near the 4115 weekly low, absorbing dollar strength. $BTC.X: Bounced from 81200; requires a confirmed break above 82270 for continuation. Catalysts (EST): Wed: UK CPI Thu: US Jobless Claims Fri: US Flash PMIs Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.

Update: DXY Breakdown & Risk-On $DXY has surrendered its structural base, breaking the 101.704 weekly pool to trade near 101.622. Dollar capitulation has unleashed aggressive cross-asset absorption, confirming a directional risk-on expansion into the US session close. Updated Bias: - $SPX / $NDX: Long. Strong impulse through 7709, pulling toward the 7757 Friday high. - $XAUUSD: Long. Defended the 4111 floor and cleared 4136, targeting the 4147 Asian high. - $BTC.X: Long. Broken above 81886 and 82272 pivots to reach 83382, targeting discovery. Remaining (EST): Wed: UK CPI Thu: US Jobless Claims Fri: US Flash PMIs Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.

Update: Earnings Flow & Absorption Corporate earnings are overriding recent distribution, driving aggressive cross-asset absorption at key discount zones. As $DXY tests lower structural supports, institutional bids are actively defending session and weekly liquidity pools. Updated Bias: - $SPX / $NDX: Cautiously Long. Absorbing the 7678 low sweep, targeting the 7709 session high. - $XAUUSD: Long. Defending the 4111 weekly low, upside objective is the 4136 Europe high. - $BTC.X: Long. Strong absorption off the 81331 base, pulling toward the 81886 Europe high. Remaining: Wed: UK CPI Thu: US Jobless Claims Fri: US Flash PMIs Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.

$DXY bond yields are down, oil is down, war premium is lessening, rate hikes are almost certainly off the table for Oct, everything pointing lower for DXY

$DXY No chance the strength holds IMO. sure people are putting cash back to work for one day, but the yield on the 10 year is down, oil is down big. The fundamentals say dollar should be down more.

$DXY Chances of a December rate hike have already gone from 98% yesterday to 73% now. That's an enormous one day move. And it will go lower tomorrow. Slowed spending on AI removes inflationary pressure, so does AI trade reversal fallout. No hike in Dec, mark it.

$DXY nice recovery on the US Dollar this week. And there are people whose current strategy has the in the Thrift Savigs Plan (TSP) I-Fund. You know how this fares for that fund.

$DXY $DXY What’s the thought with oil tanking? If NFP comes in soft or Williams discusses wait and see. How far will the dollar index drop on Friday? Will it break 100.50? Will US06MY break below 4.25%

$DXY US has a lame duck president for the next 26 months with a divided government and a lot more checks and balances on the executive branch

$DXY $GLD $SLV.X - Gold dumping while USD hits support. Covered gold shorts, no position overnight. Too volatile.

$DXY $TLT $TMF getting some weekly consolidation snug on a decade long vwap... I still believe if it can hold these general lows 106-107 isn't unrealistic.

$DXY $DX_F bi-weekly chart: Anchored VWAP flip. Dollar strength is poised to continue climbing.

The chain reaction is starting to show up on the charts. 🔗 💵 The dollar: $DXY’s bounce looks close to done. A turn lower from here, or one final push higher to end cycle from August low before a pull back both point to the same outcome 🥉 Copper is already moving: up ~4.5% from last week’s low, and rising in a way that hints at more than a bounce. 🥇🥈 Gold and Silver: if the dollar turns, they’re the next in line. 📈 Indices: Nikkei is still bouncing as we expected. The question now is whether this is a pause before more downside, or the start of something bigger. One market sets up the next, and we mapped the full path in today’s Group 1 Live Session. The recording is up for members. $DXY $XAUUSD $HG_F $NKD_F #ElliottWave

The dollar has two paths from here, and both point to the end of its run. 💵 Path 1: $DXY turns lower now. Path 2: one more push to a new high first, which would complete the bigger cycle from the August low. Either way, a turn lower is coming, and that’s when the ripple effect starts: 🥇 Commodities bounce 🇦🇺🇳🇿🇨🇦 Commodity currencies push higher 💶 USD pairs follow Meanwhile, Nikkei is bouncing as we expected, and the bounce is starting to look like it could become something bigger. 👀 We broke down all of it in today’s Group 1 Live Session. The recording is now up for members. #DXY #Gold #Forex #Nikkei #ElliottWave

$DXY the usd continues to be in a breakout mode. As we know from 2021 we can really amp this move aggressively based on FED commentary. Strong dollar is a lower risk on environment for me

The dollar may be about to turn, and it could set off a chain reaction. 🔗 💵 $DXY is close to finishing a 3-wave bounce and should turn lower in at least 3 waves. 🥇 A weaker dollar should then give Gold and Silver room to bounce. 📉 Indices may still see one more push lower first, until $EUROSTOXX reaches the 5979–5889 area. One market sets up the next. That’s how we read correlations in today’s Live Analysis Session. The full recording is available in members area! #DXY #Gold #Silver #ElliottWave

The Dollar also opened to a significant gap to start the week. It may not seem so given Monday's candle sits within Friday's broader range, but the 0.23% gap up from Friday's close is the biggest jump since April 27th (a flight-to-safety jump on Straight of Hormuz news) $DXY

$DXY That an astonishing drop for the dollar in after hours. I’ve never seen such a huge after hours move in the dollar. $0.10 move either direction is a very significant move. Rate hikes are off.