SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Recall is a decentralized skill market for AI where communities fund, rank, and discover the AI solutions they need. Instead of corporations pushing one-size-fits-all AI, Recall flips the dynamic—communities signal demand, developers compete to deliver, and performance determines visibility.

Recall

RECALL CRYPTO is experiencing a surge in interest, with community members actively discussing its recent initial coin offering and potential for high volume gains. Conversations highlight both excitement and caution, with some users pointing to potential rug pull risks, while others express optimism. The coin is also being mentioned alongside other trending tokens like $HONK and $PUMP within the Solana ecosystem.

SU Group Holdings Ltd. engages in the provision of security-related engineering services, and security guarding and screening services. It operates through the Security-Related Engineering Services and Security Guarding and Screening Services segments. The company was founded by Ming Chan in 1998 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

SU Group Holdings Ltd. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

SU Group Holdings Ltd.

SUGP is trending as traders discuss its low float and potential for a short squeeze, drawing comparisons to other Hong Kong-based stocks. Community members are highlighting the company's regained NASDAQ compliance and a substantial contract that exceeds its market capitalization as potential catalysts. High cost to borrow is also fueling speculation.

Towns

Towns Crypto ($TOWNS) is trending as the community discusses its potential for a breakout, comparing it to other tokens like $RECALL and $AVNT. Traders are actively speculating on realistic price targets and debating whether to hold or sell, while also highlighting its Onchain Matrix structure.

Hyperliquid is a performant L1 optimized from the ground up. The vision is a fully onchain open financial system with user built applications interfacing with performant native components, all without compromising end user experience. The Hyperliquid L1 is performant enough to operate an entire ecosystem of permissionless financial applications – every order, cancel, trade, and liquidation happens transparently on-chain with block latency <1 second. The chain currently supports 100k orders / second. The Hyperliquid L1 uses a custom consensus algorithm called HyperBFT which is heavily inspired by Hotstuff and its successors. Both the algorithm and networking stack are optimized from the ground up to support the L1. The flagship native application is a fully onchain order book perpetuals exchange, the Hyperliquid DEX. Further developments include a native token standard, spot trading, permissionless liquidity, etc.

Hype

Hype is trending due to ongoing discussions around its potential, recent price movements, and comparisons to other decentralized exchanges. Community members are actively debating its future value and whether it can sustain its current trajectory. Some traders are also noting its technical setups for both long and short positions.

JERRY (JYAI) is a Matt Furie's artistic style; it features an AI-powered content creation hub that produces community-driven video series and art.  Jerry the Turtle, created by Matt Furie, is a character inspired by Furie’s artistic style. JERRY is also an AI-driven meme coin with an ambitious vision. The goal is to establish an AI-powered production house dedicated to creating a video series or episodes featuring characters from Matt Furie’s universe alongside those from Jerry’s world.  This unique blend of characters aims to produce the ultimate crypto-based series. Additionally, we are developing an app that will offer an exclusive, ad-free video series featuring characters from both Matt Furie’s creations and the Jerry Universe. Users will be able to download and share videos directly through the platform.  But that’s not all! A special Jerry Art Panel will showcase original Jerry characters, artwork, and fan creations—free to explore, download, and share with the community.

Jerry The Turtle By Matt Furie

Jerry The Turtle ($JYAI) is trending as community members anticipate listings on major exchanges like Kraken and KuCoin, with some claiming fees have already been paid. Bullish sentiment is fueled by comparisons to other successful meme coins like Pepe, Shiba Inu, and Dogwifhat, as well as a billboard advertisement and potential partnerships. The community emphasizes holding ('HODL') and buying dips, while highlighting its strong foundation and potential for significant growth.

Solana Co. is a neurotech company in the medical device industry that focuses on neurological wellness. The firm develops, licenses and acquires non-invasive platform technologies that amplify the brain’s ability to heal itself and reduce symptoms of neurological disease or trauma. It engages in the development of the investigational portable neuromodulation stimulator, that delivers neurostimulation via the tongue which has been shown in clinical studies to enhance the effectiveness of physical exercises in people with neurological symptoms from disease or trauma such as mild-to-moderate traumatic brain injury. The company was founded on March 13, 2014 and is headquartered in Newtown, PA.

Solana Co. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Solana Co

$HSDT is trending due to a planned $500M Solana-backed treasury, with the community actively discussing its potential as a public market $SOL play.  Traders are weighing whether this move signals a game-changer or a potential dilution trap, while also monitoring the stock's volatility and short squeeze possibilities.

Spyre Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which engages in the development of next-generation human enzyme therapeutics as disruptive solutions for rare and other high-burden diseases. Its product, Pegzilarginase, is in a Phase 3 pivotal trial for the treatment of Arginase 1 Deficiency. The company was founded by George Georgiou and David G. Lowe on December 16, 2013 and is headquartered in Waltham, MA.

Spyre Therapeutics Inc.

Aeglea BioTherapeutics Inc

SYRE (Spyre Therapeutics) is trending due to positive analyst coverage and promising clinical trial updates, driving investor optimism. Community discussions revolve around the company's potential leadership in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) treatment and the value of its pipeline, particularly extended half-life antibodies. Recent Phase 1 results and upcoming Phase 2 readouts are key catalysts, placing SYRE in an active pharmaceutical M&A area.

NextCure, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in discovering and developing immunomedicines to treat cancer and other immune-related diseases. Its novel FIND-IO discovery technology identifies targets based on immunomodulatory function and on which the company is building a proprietary pipeline of immunomedicines. The company was founded by Michael S. Richman and Lie Ping Chen in September 2015 and is headquartered in Beltsville, MD.

Nextcure Inc

NXTC is trending due to significant after-hours movement, fueled by new preclinical data related to brittle bone disease. The community is discussing the low float, potential for a squeeze, and upcoming catalysts, while some express concerns about management and past performance. This activity places NXTC within the volatile biotechnology sector, known for its potential for both high gains and significant losses.

Algorand is a scalable, secure, and decentralized digital currency and smart contract platform. Its protocol uses a variation of Proof-of-Stake (PoS) called Pure PoS (PPoS) to secure the network and reach consensus on block production. Developers can build decentralized applications (dApps) using familiar programming languages, including Python, which Algorand supports natively. Its infrastructure enables various use cases, including payment systems, digital identity solutions, supply-chain tracking, and financial services. The protocol's architecture allows for tokenization of assets and the development of smart contracts, while its technical specifications support both retail users seeking basic transaction capabilities and enterprises requiring more, complex, blockchain solutions.

Algorand

Algorand is trending as the community debates its potential amid market volatility and compares it to other altcoins. Discussions revolve around its long-term prospects, potential partnerships (such as with Google), and criticisms of its leadership, with some community members calling for changes. Sentiment is mixed, with some viewing dips as buying opportunities and others expressing concern over its performance relative to Bitcoin.

UNI is the governance token for Uniswap, an Automated Market Marker DEX on the Ethereum blockchain. The UNI token allows token holders to participate in the governance of the protocol. Key decisions such as usage of the treasury or future upgrades can be decided through a governance vote.

UniSwap

Uniswap (UNI) is trending as community members discuss its potential, with some highlighting its annualized fees and others noting recent pullbacks as buying opportunities. There is excitement around potential breakouts, as well as discussion around the broader DeFi space and Uniswap's role within it. Some users are watching key price levels for potential moves.

statis crypto Watchlist

Bitcoin

Ethereum

Solana

Ripple

Dogecoin

Cardano

statis IN Watchlist

Nifty 50

Nifty Bank

Reliance Industries Ltd.

Zomato Ltd.

Tata Consultancy Services

Tata Motors Ltd.

HDFC Bank Ltd.

ITC Ltd.

Adani Enterprises Ltd

Axis Bank Ltd

Bajaj Finance Ltd

statis US Watchlist

SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Apple Inc.

Tesla Inc

Microsoft Corporation

NVIDIA Corp

 Hey, I want to invite you to join Stocktwits. It’s the largest global community of active traders. You’ll get access to the real-time market insights, news, discussion and much more! You can sign up using my unique link below 
 


 has invited you to join Stocktwits

The U.S. dollar has weathered the government shutdown relatively well and has been broadly rising, with the greenback now rising for three consecutive sessions. In the Asian session, the currency rose 0.33% to 98.91, a level not seen since Aug.11, although it is still down 9% for the year-to-date period.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), an index that measures the value of the greenback against a basket of six currencies belonging to the country’s major trading partners, was up 0.33% to $98.91 early Wednesday. The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/UUP">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)</a> rose 0.43% in overnight trading, according to Yahoo Finance.The U.S. currency’s revival could be attributed to the decline in rate-cut chatter, as government data releases have been&nbsp;delayed, and some Federal Reserve speakers who made public appearances recently issued hawkish comments. Kansas City Fed’s Jeff Schmid emphasized on Monday the need to remain vigilant about inflation that has remained sticky. His views were echoed by Minneapolis Fed’s Neel Kashkari, who said any drastic rate cuts would stoke inflation.&nbsp;The greenback also received support from geopolitical developments that weighed down on some of its major counterparts. The Japanese yen has depreciated by approximately 3.5% against the dollar this week following the announcement that pro-stimulus leader Sanae Takaichi will be the new leader of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). While the Japanese stock market welcomed the election, the yen weakened to its lowest since February on concerns about fiscal extravagance.&nbsp;Meanwhile, the political impasse in France, following the resignation of Sébastien Lecornu after serving in office for less than a month, has hurt the euro, the common currency of the 27-nation EU bloc. Lecornu’s resignation was precipitated by his inability to push through austerity measures in parliament. French President Emmanuel Macron is now left with the responsibility of choosing another Prime Minister or dissolving parliament and holding new elections. On a positive note, Lecornu has reportedly accepted a request from Macron to work on a plan for the “stability of the country.”The political instability in Europe’s second-largest economy has sparked concerns about a broader eurozone-wide debt crisis. From a mid-September high of 1.1919 against the dollar, the euro has lost about 2.5% and currently trades around the 1.16 levels.The dollar's strength has come despite a rise in gold to a record high. FolioBeyond analyst Dean Smith said the gold breaching the $4,000 barrier meant that investors are no longer sure if they are willing to tie their "prosperity and economic future so closely with" U.S. dollar assets, according to a Bitget&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bitget.com/amp/news/detail/12560605004350">report.</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Read Next:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/nasdaq-s-and-p-500-futures-tick-higher-after-7-day-rally-snaps/ch6E5W0R3Lc">Nasdaq, S&amp;P 500 Futures Tick Higher After 7-Day Rally Snaps — Traders Eye Fed Signals As Shutdown Uncertainty Lingers</a>

US dollar banknotes in Fuyang City, Anhui Province, China, on June 29, 2025. 

Dollar Hovers Near 2-Month High Amid Government Shutdown: Euro, Yen Weakness Add Strength To Rally

Kansas City Fed’s Jeff Schmid emphasized on Monday the need to remain vigilant about inflation that has remained sticky.

Equity

Kansas City Fed’s Jeff Schmid emphasized on Monday the need to remain vigilant about inflation that has remained sticky.


The&nbsp; U.S. dollar is seen extending its gains early Thursday as the relief rally set off by the Federal Reserve’s decision to take the interest rate down by a quarter-point for the first time this year continues to play out.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which ended Wednesday’s session up about 0.25% at 96.87 after the Fed decision, has tacked on more gains in the overnight session. At last check, the DXY was up 0.34% at $97.20, which, however, marks a 10.4% drop for the year-to-date (YTD) period.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/UUP">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)</a>, an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the performance of the Deutsche Bank Long US Dollar Index (USDX) Futures Index, has lost 7.5% this year. In comparison,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a>, an ETF tracking the S&amp;P 500 Index, and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a> have gained 13.14% and 15.71%, respectively, for the year.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward the UUP ETF worsened to ‘bearish’ (40/100) from ‘neutral’ a day ago. The message volume on the stream was at ‘low’ levels.The U.S. dollar had fallen to a four-year low against the euro before the Fed decision.Wells Fargo Emerging Market Strategist Brendon McKenna said the pullback in Asian currencies against the dollar on Thursday is due to the Fed and Chair Powell remaining non-committal to additional rate cuts, according to a Bloomberg <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-17/dollar-boost-from-fed-to-weigh-on-asian-currencies-analysts-say">report</a>.“‘Risk management cut’ in particular, I interpreted as somewhat hawkish,” he said.The report also stated that TD Securities analysts remained cautious about the dollar's rebound. “We remain bearish on the U.S. dollar and see any technical U.S. dollar bounces as good opportunities to sell,” analysts at the firm said.&nbsp;The relatively resilient growth in the rest of the world, combined with the Fed's easing, could create an “active risk-on” environment, fueling gains in both risk- and rate-sensitive currencies, which are currently cheap — such as the Japanese yen and Australian dollar, they added.Rabobank strategist Jane Foley saw the uptick in the dollar as due to short-covering, according to a separate Bloomberg&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-18/dollar-rises-most-in-two-weeks-as-fed-seen-as-being-less-dovish?taid=68cbad8fcc3cde0001e305b1&amp;utm_campaign=trueanthem&amp;utm_content=business&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter">report.</a> “Since a lot of Fed easing was priced in ahead of yesterday’s meeting and given the market has been short dollars for some time, the tone thus triggered a little covering of dollar shorts,” she said.Credit Agricole strategist Valentin Marinov concurred with the view. “Currency investors are squaring their dollar shorts after the Fed failed to validate the uber dovish market expectations ahead of its September policy meeting,” he said.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Read Next:&nbsp; <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/goldman-sachs-sticks-to-forecast-for-4-fed-rate-cuts-after-fed-meeting/chDcVByR3G9">Goldman Sachs Sticks To Forecast For 4 Fed Rate Cuts After Powell Spooks Market With ‘Risk-Management Cut’ Comment</a>

In this photo illustration, hands are seen counting dollar bills. US President Donald Trump said Wednesday that he was pausing his new tariffs for 90 days except for China.

Dollar Firms Despite Fed Rate Cut: Analyst Sees Powell’s Remarks As ‘Hawkish,’ Advises Selling Any Technical Bounce 

The relatively resilient growth in the rest of the world versus the U.S. and the Fed easing could make for an “active risk-on” environment, fueling gains in both risk and rate-sensitive currencies, which are cheap, a strategist said.

The U.S. dollar continued to trade lower in overnight trading following a two-session retreat that began with the release of the monthly U.S. jobs data on Friday.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the greenback against a basket of currencies belonging to Washington’s major trading partners, edged down 0.06% to 97.36 late Monday. The index, which traded at 98.5 ahead of the non-farm payrolls report, has lost nearly 1% since then.The overnight low of 97.32 marks the lowest level since July 23, when it dipped to an intraday trough of 97.21.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/UUP">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)</a>, an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the performance of the Deutsche Bank Long US Dollar Index (USDX) Futures Index, has gained over 1% since it hit a 52-week low of $26.81 on July 1.In overnight trading, the UUP ETF was unchanged, while it has lost 7.17% year-to-date (YTD) compared to the 11.37% gain for the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a> and the 13.53% advance by the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a>.&nbsp;In a post on X, Gold bull and economist Peter Schiff&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/1965157327268708857">said</a>, “Get out of the U.S. dollar now, before it's too late. Got gold?” He based his call on a looming Fed rate cut. “Ever since Alan Greenspan rescued the stock market after the 1987 crash, the Fed has made a series of increasingly bad monetary policy mistakes,” he said.&nbsp;“But the mistake the Fed is about to make will likely be the worst yet.”On Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward the UUP ETF remained ‘bearish’ (32/100) by late Monday, but the message volume was at ‘extremely high’ levels.Last Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the economy added jobs at an anemic pace of 22,000 in August and the jobless rate climbed to the highest level since October 2021. The weak data sent rate cut bets soaring to 100%, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing that some futures traders even braced for a 50 basis point cut at the upcoming September 16-17 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.Forex traders are likely to keenly watch the BLS’ preliminary&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bls.gov/sae/notices/2025/preliminary-benchmark-announcement-2025.htm">estimate</a> for the March 2025 annual benchmark revision, which is scheduled to be announced at 10 a.m. ET on Tuesday. The revision is done to the data from the Establishment Survey.The data used for the revision comes from the Quarterly Census of Employment And Wages (QCEW), which provides comprehensive employment counts based on state unemployment insurance (UI) tax records for the preceding March.Economists at Wall Street firms such as Wells Fargo, Comerica and Pantheon expect the BLS’s preliminary benchmark revision for the year through March 2024 to show a nearly 800,000 downward adjustment, a Bloomberg report&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-08/another-us-jobs-markdown-sets-stage-for-fed-cut-bls-criticism">said.</a> This translates to a roughly 67,000 downward revision per month, on average.&nbsp;Other firms, such as Nomura, BofA, and Royal Bank of Scotland, have put the numbers closer to one million.&nbsp;Last year, the BLS reduced the previously reported job additions for the 12-month period that ended March 2024 by 818,000. President Donald Trump&nbsp;cited this as one of the reasons for firing former BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-says-biden-appointed-labor-statistics-chief-fired-over-biggest-miscalculation-in-50-years/chrX5R6RdRa">accusing</a> her of inflating the numbers to make the previous Biden administration’s economic performance appear more favorable.Another sharp downward revision would question the strength seen in the first four months of the year, when the economy added an average of 127,000 jobs. It was only since May that the number has looked bad, averaging 27,000 per month.Confirmation of a weak labor market is seen as the trigger that&nbsp;could prompt the Federal Reserve, under Jerome Powell, to announce its first rate cut this year. Morgan Stanley, which has a more conservative estimate for the annual revision (50,000 per month), said in a note released Friday that “It will be hard for markets or the Fed to ignore this signal in light of a moderating economy.”A Fed rate cut would weigh down on the dollar, given that it would decrease the appeal of investing in the U.S. and, in turn, reduce the demand for the dollar,&nbsp;which also faces pressure from lower bond yields. Lower growth and the Fed’s willingness to tolerate above-target inflation could push yields further lower, posing headwinds to the dollar.Morgan Stanley&nbsp;analyst James Lord reportedly said in a note on Friday that the firm wasn’t convinced the dollar weakness has run its course. “On the contrary, we think its decline is barely halfway through,” he added.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Read Next:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/rupert-murdoch-ends-succession-drama-as-lachlan-emerges-sole-heir-to-media-throne/chw0pocRdrx">Rupert Murdoch Ends Succession Drama As Lachlan Emerges Sole Heir To Media Throne: All Eyes On News Corp, Fox Stocks</a>

‘Get Out Of US Dollar Before It’s Too Late,’ Says Peter Schiff As Greenback Wallows Near 7-Week Low: Spotlight Shifts To BLS Annual Revision

Confirmation of a weak labor market is seen as the trigger that can push the Federal Reserve under Jerome Powell to announce its first cut this year. 

Peter Schiff Warns as US Dollar Hits 7-Week Low; Spotlight on BLS Annual Revision

Confirmation of a weak labor market is seen as the trigger that can push the Federal Reserve under Jerome Powell to announce its first cut this year. 


Billionaire investor Ray Dalio warned on Thursday that a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve, despite elevated inflation, could deepen risks of stagflation.“I fear that short-term rates and the dollar will go down, especially relative to gold, long-term interest rates will rise a bit, so the yield curve will become steeper, and stocks will do relatively poorly despite the easing,” Dalio wrote during&nbsp;a Reddit AMA responding to a question about the impact of a Fed rate cut in&nbsp;September. He added that such a shift would signal investors wanting to rotate out of debt into alternative stores of wealth. Dailo said that the move would also indicate that the Fed is “in a bind” and that the risk of stagflation was rising.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DXY">U.S. Dollar Index</a> (DXY) has declined by more than 2% so far this year and by nearly 10% over the past 12 months.&nbsp;On Thursday afternoon, DXY was trading up 0.2% with retail sentiment on Stocktwits trending in ‘bullish’ territory over the past day.&nbsp;Meanwhile, the&nbsp;<a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/GLD">SPDR Gold Shares ETF</a> (GLD) has gained 33% this year and more than 40% over the past 12 months. GLD edged 0.5% lower by Thursday afternoon, after hitting a record high of $329.45 in the previous session.The broader equities market was trading in the green with the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY) up 0.55%, the&nbsp;<a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF</a> (DIA) gaining 0.74%, and the Nasdaq-100 tracking&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust</a> (QQQ) moving 0.62% higher. However, retail sentiment around QQQ on Stocktwits dipped to ‘extremely bearish’ from ‘bearish’ territory over the past day. Answering a separate question on strategist Peter Zeihan’s view that China faces an inevitable collapse within the next decade, Dalio stated he wouldn't bet on it any more than he would bet on the United States' collapse over the next decade. “I think it's not smart to place that bet because they both have big strengths and big weaknesses. What I would bet on is these two powers having lots of big conflicts that I pray don't take the form of a military war, though I am confident they will continue to take the form of trade, economic, technological, capital, and geopolitical influence wars,” he said.Get updates to this developing story <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/ray-dalio-warns-fed-rate-cut-in-september-could-trigger-stagflation-risk/chwdgimRdpP">directly on Stocktwits.</a>Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/blink-charging-to-accept-crypto-payments-across-network-eyes-year-end-rollout/chwdJoDRdYM">Blink Charging To Accept Crypto Payments Across Network, Eyes Year-End Rollout</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Ray Dalio speaks onstage during the 2025 TIME100 Summit at Jazz at Lincoln Center on April 23, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Jemal Countess/Getty Images for TIME)

Ray Dalio Warns Fed Rate Cut In September Could Trigger Stagflation Risk

The billionaire investor predicts a weaker dollar, a steeper yield curve, and stocks doing relatively poorly despite the easing.

The dollar has recouped most of its losses seen since last Friday when the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) retreated below the 98 level to a one-month low.Friday’s weakness stemmed from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's suggestion in his Jackson Hole address that a rate cut could be forthcoming at the September meeting.&nbsp;DXY was down 0.04% at $98.39 early Tuesday after it ended 0.73% higher at $98.43 on Monday. The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/UUP">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)</a>, meanwhile, advanced 0.80%.&nbsp;The UUP is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that provides a cost-effective and convenient way to track the value of the U.S. dollar relative to a basket of the six major world currencies:&nbsp; the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc.The dollar is likely to be choppy this week as forex traders sift through key data that has implications for the near-term interest rates. A falling interest rate environment is negative for the dollar as it reduces U.S. investment appeal among foreign investors and, in turn, tempers demand for the greenback.The weekly jobless claims data, the advance second-quarter GDP data, and the July personal income and spending report, which comprises the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge — the price consumption expenditure index — are among the data that can cause a flutter in the currency market.&nbsp;The dollar has also been facing pressure amid moves among BRICS and a few other nations to diversify their currency reserves away from the dollar and use alternative currencies for trade purposes. President Donald Trump’s tariffs have exacerbated this move.&nbsp;After starting the year at 108.53, the DXY pulled back sharply, coinciding with the announcement of Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs. Although the index recovered slightly from the lows, it came under renewed selling pressure amid the tariff uncertainty.It fell as low as 96.38 on July 1 but has mainly been seeing a consolidation move under 100.&nbsp;<img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/DXY_5_YEAR_CHART_png_3fe78e6a4e.webp" alt="DXY5-YEAR CHART.png">Source: KoyfinFor the year, the DXY has lost 9.4% and the UUP ETF about 6.36%In a report released in early August, Morgan Stanley said it expects the U.S. dollar to lose another 10% by the end of 2026. The firm noted that the greenback fell about 11% in the first half of the year, marking the largest decline in more than 50 years and ending a 15-year bull cycle.“We're likely at the intermission rather than the finale,” says David Adams, head of G10 FX Strategy at Morgan Stanley. “The second act for the dollar’s weakening should come over the next 12 months, as U.S. interest rates and growth converge with those of the rest of the world.”The firm also cautioned about forex hedging by overseas investors holding dollar-denominated assets, which could further pressure the greenback.JPMorgan analyst Mary Park Durham is bracing for a “prolonged dollar decline, similar to the 2002-2008 period, given its high starting value.” In a note released on Aug. 14, the analyst said despite the potential for further weakness, the dollar's reserve currency status remains intact due to its trustworthiness and the lack of a viable alternative, among other reasons.&nbsp;“While its share of foreign currency reserves, currently at 58%, may continue to gradually decline as some central banks diversify into assets like gold, it is far from being replaced,” she added.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Read Next:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/salesforce-hackers-reportedly-target-farmers-insurance-in-data-breach/chsHli1RdS8">Salesforce Hackers Reportedly Target Farmers Insurance In Data Breach Affecting Over 1M Customers</a>

US dollar banknotes, Yichang City, Hubei Province, China on August 10, 2025. 

 Dollar Weakens Again As Traders Bet Fed Rate Cuts Will Bite: Here Are Key Catalysts To Watch

The dollar has also been facing pressure amid moves among BRICS and a few other nations to diversify their currency reserves away from the dollar and use alternative currencies for trade purposes.

Economist Steve Hanke on Friday warned that faith in the U.S. dollar is eroding because of President Donald Trump’s economic policies and weaponization of the greenback.Hanke issued the warning in a&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/steve_hanke/status/1953864785881125218">post</a> on X, citing the findings of Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager survey, which showed that fund managers are the most bearish on the U.S. dollar in 20 years.“TRUMP'S ECON POLICY = REGIME UNCERTAINTY,” Hanke warned in his post.<figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:584/734;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Steve_Hanke_post_jpg_645df9f3c5.webp" alt="Steve Hanke's post on X" width="584" height="734"><figcaption>Steve Hanke's post on X | @steve_hanke/X</figcaption></figure>Hanke’s caution comes at a time when the dollar has been on a downward trajectory in 2025. The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies of the United States’ major trading partners, is down 10% year-to-date.Analysts at Morgan Stanley&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.morganstanley.com/insights/articles/us-dollar-declines">observed</a> that this is the biggest decline in the U.S. dollar in the last 50 years, bringing an end to its 15-year bull cycle. They expect the greenback to decline another 10% by the end of 2026.“The second act for the dollar’s weakening should come over the next 12 months, as U.S. interest rates and growth converge with those of the rest of the world,” said David Adams, head of G10 FX Strategy at Morgan Stanley.Analysts at JPMorgan&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://privatebank.jpmorgan.com/eur/en/insights/markets-and-investing/is-this-the-downfall-of-the-us-dollar">said</a> the dollar has now demonstrated its safe-haven status in 2025, with the greenback declining on the same days as U.S. stocks have closed in the red. This brings the “confidence premium” of U.S. assets into question, the firm noted, adding that President Trump’s tariff threats and his public challenges to the Federal Reserve and its chair, Jerome Powell, are leading to trust concerns.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/USDU">WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund</a> (USDU) has declined over 5% year-to-date (YTD). The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/UUP">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund</a> (UUP) has declined 7% YTD, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/UDN">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund</a> (UDN) has surged nearly 12%.Stocktwits data showed the investor sentiment around the three ETFs was in the ‘neutral’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/stocks-making-the-biggest-moves-today-august-8/chrnjNGRd4a">Trade Desk, SoundHound, Firefly, BitMine, Freddie Mac: Stocks Making The Biggest Moves Today</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration, several $1 bills are seen displayed showing their front sides. 

Economist Steve Hanke Warns Faith In Dollar Is Eroding, Blames It On Trump’s Weaponization Of The Greenback

Hanke cited the findings of Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager survey, which showed that fund managers are the most bearish on the U.S. dollar in 20 years.

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, said on Tuesday that it’s possible that the U.S. dollar may revert to the gold standard.“History shows us that the same cycles repeat time and time again. One such cycle is related to currency devaluation,” Dalio said in a&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/RayDalio/status/1952729342124962303">post</a> on X. “Once people start to lose trust in the fiat system, we see a specific cause and effect reaction occur.”A fiat currency is issued by a government and is not backed by a physical commodity like gold or silver. The U.S. and much of the world switched to fiat from the gold standard back in the 1970s. At the time, the country was facing fiscal issues due to large federal deficits resulting from the Vietnam War. According to Dalio, a switch-back may be on the cards.U.S. debt&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/5/20/the-us-has-36-trillion-in-debt-what-does-that-mean-and-who-owns-it">stands at</a> $36.2 trillion as of mid-2025, which is around 122% of the country’s annual GDP, and it has been rising rapidly.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/DXY">U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)</a> had gained 0.25% in morning trade on Tuesday, but it has dropped nearly 8.8% this year and 4.1% over the past 12 months. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around DXY remained in ‘neutral’ territory over the past day, down from ‘extremely bullish’ a month ago.&nbsp;Dalio anticipates that governments are likely to print more money and use that money to pay off their current debt. However, since the increase in money supply would devalue the currency, nobody would want to hold onto it anymore. “Governments go back and link money to gold,” he wrote, adding that this would be the final step of the cycle.<figure class="image"><a href="https://x.com/RayDalio/status/1952729342124962303?t=_eEEpIZrI-3KseJIHabAKg&amp;s=31" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"><img style="aspect-ratio:1079/1284;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/IMG_20250805_194606_jpg_f4e18ae484.webp" alt="IMG_20250805_194606.jpg" width="1079" height="1284"></a><figcaption>Source: @RayDalio/X</figcaption></figure>Dalio had&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/ray-dalio-says-moodys-credit-warning-does-not-capture-full-us-risk/ch0cxS7Rb8O">warned</a> in July that the Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating was only the tip of the iceberg. “They don’t include the greater risk that countries in debt will print money to pay their debts, thus causing holders of the bonds to suffer losses from the decreased value of the money they’re getting,” he said.Read also: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-warns-eu-of-35-tariff-confirms-india-hike-within-24-hours/chrLqunRd2a">Trump Warns EU Of 35% Tariff, Confirms India Hike Within 24 Hours</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Ray Dalio Warns Of Fiat Trust Breakdown, Says Gold Standard Return Is Possible

According to Dalio, once people start to lose trust in the fiat system, a specific cause-and-effect reaction could occur that would result in linking money back to gold.

BCA’s ’MacroQuant Model’ is flashing amber, but not yet red

Investing.com -- BCA Research’s MacroQuant model is signaling rising risks for equity investors, though the firm stopped short of calling for an imminent bear market. 

The upward momentum in&nbsp;the U.S. dollar, which reached its highest level since mid-June in the previous session, has moderated early Wednesday as forex traders look ahead to&nbsp;the upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting.The Dollar Index climbed to 99.14 intraday on Tuesday, marking its highest level since June 11, before giving back some of the gains. Yet it ended 2.5% higher at 98.91. This marked the fourth straight session of gains for the index, which measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of the top 10 currencies.According to a Reuters&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/dollar-edges-down-snapping-four-days-gains-before-fed-meeting-2025-07-30/">report,</a> the dollar is poised to record its first month of gains in July.&nbsp;The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/UUP">Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP)</a>, an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the Deutsche Bank U.S. Dollar Long Future Index, edged down 0.07% in Wednesday’s early premarket session. The ETF is down approximately 6.3% year-to-date.The next significant catalyst for the greenback is likely to be Wednesday’s Fed decision. Given a pause decision is factored in, the tone of the post-meeting policy statement of the central bank could have a bearing on the dollar’s move.A dovish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC statement) and/or Chair Jerome Powell leaving the door open for a September rate cut could exert downward pressure on the dollar.The Bank of Japan is also expected to announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday, which will likely impact the USD-JPY dynamics.&nbsp;Also on the radar of currency traders are a few key U.S. data&nbsp;points due later this week, including the July non-farm payrolls report and the June personal consumption expenditure data, released as part of the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s personal income and spending report.&nbsp;Among currency pairs, the dollar was firmer against commodity currencies such as the Australian and Canadian dollars, but eased against most other major currencies.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Read Next:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/meta-q2-2025-earnings-on-deck-can-zuckerberg-justify-meta-s-ai-bet/choQvvsR5zW">Meta Q2 Earnings On Deck: Can Zuckerberg Justify Massive AI Bet To Wall Street?</a>

US Dollar Rally Loses Steam As Forex Traders Turn Cautious Ahead Of Fed Rate Decision

The Dollar Index climbed to 99.14 intraday on Tuesday, marking its highest level since June 11, before giving back some of the gains. 

President Donald Trump on Friday sent mixed signals about the dollar, expressing his preference for a strong currency while also outlining the negative consequences that it can lead to.Addressing reporters at the White House while leaving for a trip to Scotland, President Trump said a strong dollar “sounds good,” but it prevents the United States from selling anything, according to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-25/trump-says-prefers-strong-dollar-but-you-can-t-sell-anything">report</a>.“When we have a strong dollar, one thing happens: it sounds good, but you don’t do any tourism. You can’t sell factories, you can’t sell trucks, you can’t sell anything,” he said, explaining why a strong dollar might not always be the best thing for the United States.The President added that a strong dollar is beneficial in keeping inflation low, but that’s about it.“We have no inflation. We’ve wiped out inflation,” he added.Trump also stated that while he will never say he likes a “low currency,” a weak dollar makes the United States a lot more money.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DXY">U.S. Dollar Index</a> has declined by almost 10% year-to-date, with Stocktwits data indicating that retail investor sentiment is in the ‘bearish’ territory.Meanwhile, U.S. equities gained in Friday morning trade.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which mirrors the S&amp;P 500 index, was up 0.22% at the time of writing, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust</a> (QQQ), which mirrors the Nasdaq, rose 0.16%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘neutral’ territory.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-considers-rebate-checks-for-americans-from-tariff-revenues/chob32YR5wJ">Trump Considers Sending Rebate Checks For Americans From Tariff Revenues: Report</a>

U.S. President Donald Trump answers questions while departing the White House on July 11, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Trump Says He Prefers A Strong Dollar, But Adds It’s Good Just To Keep Inflation Low: Report

Addressing reporters at the White House while leaving for a trip to Scotland, President Trump said a strong dollar sounds good, but it prevents the United States from selling anything.

Will Netflix ($NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? 
 
*Powered by Polymarket

Stocktwits

Netflix Inc

) beat quarterly earnings? 
 
*Powered by Polymarket

DXY
US Dollar Index

Feed

News

Sentiment

Fundamentals

Info

Poll

Latest DXY News

DXYUS Dollar Index