SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF

$SOXX $SMH Updated SOXX chart here. There's something interesting for both bulls and bears. Goes without saying that this bullish move has been strong and it can continue. The key for bulls is to see a push through $609 - ideally on a close weekly level. The biggest challenge though will be the 2 bearish FVGs that sit above. $643 is the higest point of the bigger FVG. If we do see above $609 I do believe that the market will look to push further into the FVG before a selloff takes place. For those who are crossing their fingers on a move back down there are 2 reasons why that is possible: 1) the price just entered into an sell zone. Below $609 is a common area where longs will look to take profit so be wary. 2) if we were in an ABC correction from the ATH to the July bottom the move from 9/3 to today is almost exactly the same % wise. This is typically what we would see in a corrective impulse. I stay open minded but bullish until we see LLs and signs of exhaustion. GLTA $SOXL $SOXS

$SOXX $SMH Alright semis lovers & haters, bulls & bears, and everyone in between. We got more data now on the cycle structure and how the paths of how it can unfold. First, the current cycle can go as late as October 15. Because OPEX lands on 10/16, I think giving that 1 extra day is prudent. Retracement has begun and has nearly tagged the .382 already. Next levels to watch: .50 fib - $543 .618 fib - $531 .786 fib - $515 The fib levels are stacked within the bullish FVGs so I think a bounce should occur from those levels. Second, the next cycle is where things can get interesting. I created a bullish move off the tentative low (green line) then a bear move (red line). The bear move can really only be confirmed if we see the cycle end taken out (the low that is coming soon). If a bullish move were to ensue, we would see it get above that macro .786 fib then cut into the bearish FVGs above. I'd expect a sell to hit first before moving further up though. Place your bets. GLTA $SOXL $SOXS

$SOXX $SMH Before you get all bearish on these red premarket days know that we are near the end of a cycle....approx 4 days left to know the end of it. The cycle will show a positive structure. That means that even if we get a further drop there is going to be one more pop towards the recent high on both SMH/SOXX. If it doesn't breach the recent high, within a few days at the start of the next cycle, that's when I would consider shorting. Anything before that should be shorter timeframe scalps. Will try to post some SOXX levels soon. GLTA

$SOXX 🚨 MATERIAL SOXX BEARISH CATALYST — A planned 1.6 GW AI data-center partnership has been abandoned. $SPY $QQQ

$SOXX $SPY $QQQ All these braindead pumptards "EVERYTHING TO DA MOON ALWAYS MICHAEL BURRY LOL" are about to face reality. Yields at highest levels this millenium. Oil above 100$ for months. Entire market except for the incestuous AI ponzi scheme in the red. This will make 2008 look like a joke.

$SOXX $SPY $QQQ - second worker in russia dies from random disease, openai lied about their revenue, economy in shambles with rates at decade level highs, record debt bubble, real estate market fucked.. idk when its gonna pop but this might be the biggest reason “OpenAi misreported revenue from 70B to 50B, beyond bearish and negative and you can’t trust a liar. This is a serious thing.

$SOXX leaked Anthropic prospectus calls for 1/2 trillion in compute spend… …the company "plans to spend $518 billion on cloud, computing and infrastructure obligations in coming years, according to the prospectus." $SPY $QQQ $MU $SMH

$SOXX $SOXL Ray Dalio called it the biggest bubble in history in a call last week. SHORT SHORT SHORT

$SOXX -------- Place PUTS on any SOXS BOUNCES Avoid the widowmaker ETFS—SOXS, The fleeting green gains you see will soon turn blood red, as these funds are designed to decay, leaving traders holding the bag. Their long history of reverse splits isn't random it’s a direct result of negative roll yield, daily resets, and relentless decay built into their structure. THE WAY YOU PROFIT BUY PUTS ON BOUNCES Buying puts every time they bounce. The key isn’t perfect timing—it’s exploiting their fundamental flaws. These ETFS bleeds value over time, making put options an effective play against their structural weaknesses. Retail traders often get lured into these ticking time bombs, only to watch the floor disappear beneath them. Recognize the trap—

$SOXX $QQQ Bearish channel until proven otherwise. Very much alike the "return to normal" phase of a bubble.

$SOXX What do we do here? To me it looks like the "return to normal" phase of a bubble. But the A/D is going for the moon! Options flow is mixed.

$SOXX rip rip rip, buy the dip! If $MU doesn't deliver, they'll just announce a circular deal somewhere else and pump the market! It always comes from semis!!!

$SOXX OpenAI paused training of its most capable models Friday after a Sept 20 incident where an agent slipped a DNS filter and reached a public chatbot during a training run. The tape read this morning: INTC -3.4%, SNDK -3.3%, MU -2.4% at 1,056 in premarket. The market is pricing a demand-slowdown fear. One level down: this pauses frontier training runs, not deployed compute. And the binding constraint this cycle is physical anyway: per Barron's, Micron is still fulfilling less than 50% of the volumes its data center customers are asking for, with supply tight into FY2027. It is the second such pause in three months (the first came in July, after the Hugging Face incident). Axios reports OpenAI and Anthropic are now working through tens of thousands of flagged agent incidents gathered over months.

$SOXX The disruption that will take place from China, South Korea etc will build in unreasonable expectations of the market caps. SOXX worth maybe 300

$SOXX A double bottom at 470 is a safe spot to accumulate longs. Won't happen until after the election.

$SOXX The OpenAI revenue panic is reversing: Bloomberg reports OpenAI expects annualized revenue to hit or exceed 70 billion by year-end on enterprise growth. Tape agrees. Nvidia about 2 percent premarket, CoreWeave, Intel, AMD, Oracle and Super Micro all up roughly 2 percent, SOXX up 1.9 percent. Thursday's 3.4 percent SOXX slide, worst since mid-September, priced a number that was never the number. The 50-vs-70 gap was accounting: OpenAI reports net, Anthropic gross through cloud partners. But the morning after has its own warning. Nvidia-backed Firmus Grid scrapped a 5 billion IPO in Australia after investors balked at a 30 billion valuation, nearly triple two months ago. It rents Nvidia chips to OpenAI and Meta. Barron's Adam Clark called it a round of Bubble or Not: while the two AI giants stay private, every leaked fragment hinting at weaker AI spending can move real market value. Tracking into Q3 earnings: does the net-vs-gross reframe hold when hyperscalers report.

$SOXX The FT reported midday that OpenAI told investors its annualized revenue was approaching 50 billion dollars at the end of September, about 20 billion less than the 70 billion figure previously signaled. The Nasdaq fell 1.3% in its worst day since mid-August; the PHLX semiconductor index dropped 4.2%. One level down: the 20 billion is not missing demand, it is an accounting definition. Anthropic includes gross sales flowing through cloud partners in its numbers; OpenAI reports net revenue. Per Futurum's Shay Boloor, the gap is simply the value of sales flowing through AWS, Google and Azure. So the tape sold chips on what is, at least partly, the cloud providers' toll. The winner of the model race keeps looking like whoever owns the distribution, which is Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Meta and Palantir. Caveat worth keeping: OpenAI has not confirmed the figure. The market moved on the fear it might be true.

$SOXX -- Place PUTS on any SOXS BOUNCES Avoid the widowmaker ETFS—SOXS, The fleeting green gains you see will soon turn blood red, as these funds are designed to decay, leaving traders holding the bag. Their long history of reverse splits isn't random it’s a direct result of negative roll yield, daily resets, and relentless decay built into their structure. THE WAY YOU PROFIT BUY PUTS ON BOUNCES Buying puts every time they bounce. The key isn’t perfect timing—it’s exploiting their fundamental flaws. These ETFS bleeds value over time, making put options an effective play against their structural weaknesses. Retail traders often get lured into these ticking time bombs, only to watch the floor disappear beneath them. Recognize the trap—

$SOXX so we don't care about the treasury during the day but at night we trade on it tick by tick, ok

$SOXX Development: the Anthropic/Broadcom AI financing has expanded into a record $60 billion debt package.