Investors Chew On New Opportunities

With the stock market looking to close out an epic fourth-quarter run and overall 2023, investors and traders continue to look for opportunities in beaten-down areas of the market. 🕵️‍♂️

One of the stocks popping up on traders’ radars today is online pet retailer Chewy. The last time we checked in on the stock was in September when the trend of investors ditching unprofitable companies pushed shares to new all-time lows.

However, it’s back on the table today for a better reason. 👀

The short-term catalyst for today’s 9% pop was Jeffries initiating coverage on the stock with a buy rating and $27 price target. The analyst said Chewy should benefit from increasing pet e-commerce penetration and premiumization of pet products.

Whether or not they’re right on the business was almost a side conversation today, as technical analysts focused on the stock reclaiming a key broken support level. The $21-$22 level has been a significant inflection point throughout the stock’s history. And some traders argue today’s move back above that level marks a significant turnaround in the stock’s momentum. ⏪

Technical analysts like to call this type of situation a “failed breakdown,” where sellers believe they’ve got clear control of the stock, but bulls battle back and reclaim a key level. That situation traps sellers who exited the stock (or shorted it) and creates a lot of forced buying, especially in cases like Chewy where the stock has significant short interest (currently about 18%). 😬

We’ll have to see if this turns out to be the bullish catalyst traders think it is. But for now, the dash for trash continues, and Chewy is the latest beneficiary. 🥳

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Below is a chart of the Renaissance IPO ETF ($IPO), which is up about 53% so far this year. But technical analysts and traders say that its recent breakout to roughly eighteen-month closing highs signals a critical trend change in prices. They argue that prices staying above the 35-37 range, which has previously served as an inflection point in the stock, would suggest momentum has shifted firmly to the upside. 🙃

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As you can see from the headline snippet above, Nvidia is now worth as much as the entire Chinese stock market. While several stocks already have achieved this feat, they’re bigger conglomerates with many businesses under one roof. But Nvidia is a chip designer and manufacturer with a more straightforward business model, making this that much crazier of an occurrence. 

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First, let’s start with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index. The chart below shows that the index had one of its best rolling 12-month total returns in decades, rising 55%. The actual total return index also hit new all-time monthly closing highs, reiterating that bulls took back the momentum this year in a big way. 🤩

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Some more of those signs of at least a short-term peak in sentiment appeared today, so let’s check them out. 👀

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