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Nifty Holds 25,000 Even As Ceasefire Jitters Cap Upside; Adani Stocks, OMCs, PSU Banks Rally
Despite early optimism, the Nifty formed a bearish reversal candle and closed below intraday highs. Analyst warns of resistance near 25,335 and advises caution on global cues.
(Photo by Indranil Aditya/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
Indian equity markets ended off the day’s high on Tuesday, with the Nifty ending above the psychological 25,000 mark.
Benchmarks began the day on a strong note after US President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, pushing the Nifty to its highest intraday levels of 25,300 this year. However, reports of a ceasefire breach, which Iran later denied, led to a sell-off in the afternoon session.
The monthly expiry session also weighed on investor sentiment. The Sensex ended 158 points higher to close at 82,055, while the Nifty 50 rose 103 points to finish at 25,075.
Broader markets outperformed, with the Nifty Midcap and Smallcap indices rising 0.7%. Sectorally, barring media and oil & gas, rest of the indices ended in the green, led by heavy buying in PSU banks and metals.
The retail investor sentiment surrounding the Nifty 50 turned ‘bullish’ earlier on Stocktwits.
Nifty sentiment and message volume on June 24 as of 4:30 pm IST. | source: Stocktwits
Adani Ports ended as the top Nifty gainer, closing nearly 3% higher. Adani Enterprises too gained over 1% after chairman Gautam Adani, in the AGM, projected a capital expenditure of $15–$20 billion annually over the next five years.
Crude oil prices easing below the $70/barrel mark sparked a rally across oil marketing companies, with HPCL, BPCL and IOC gaining between 2% to 3%. On the flip side, upstream oil companies like ONGC (-3%), Oil India (-5%) ended lower.
Oil-sensitive sectors, such as paints and aviation, also saw significant moves. Kansai Nerolac rose 2%, while Interglobe Aviation ended 3% higher.
Bajaj Consumer shares rallied 20%, driven by a leadership transition. The company has appointed Naveen Pandey as its new managing director.
Enviro Infra shares surged 10% after it received new orders worth ₹306 crore.
Vodafone Idea surged 5% on news reports that the government was mulling fresh relief measures. And Astec Lifesciences ended 7% higher after its board approved a rights issue worth 250 crore.
Swan Energy saw strong volumes, ending 4% higher. The company has formed a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) to tap into high-growth segments including defense, aerospace, and railways.
KPIT Technologies’ shares ended 6% lower following a mid-quarter update that flagged delays in deal closures, particularly in the US and Asia.
Defense stocks witnessed profit booking: GRSE fell 9%, BEML fell 7%, while BDL, Paras Defence and Astra Microsystems ended 5% lower.
SEBI-registered analyst Akhilesh Jat noted that the Nifty formed a bearish reversal candle with a long upper wick, indicating significant intraday selling pressure. He sees resistance at 25,335 and support at 24,730 for the index. Jat expects volatility to remain elevated and advised traders to exercise caution as the market remains highly sensitive to global geopolitical cues, especially from the Middle East.
From Euphoria to Panic: How the Iran-Israel Conflict Shook Dalal Street
The Indian equity market witnessed a highly volatile session on 24th June 2025, triggered by fast-paced geopolitical developments between Iran and Israel. The day started on a strong note after global markets reacted positively to a ceasefire announcement—shared by the US President on social media—which pushed Nifty past its 2025 calendar year high in early trade.
However, the optimism quickly faded.
Around 1 PM, reports emerged that Iran had launched a fresh attack on Israel, prompting Israel’s Defence Minister to grant the military a “free hand” for retaliation. This escalated investor concerns sharply, leading to a steep sell-off. The Nifty tanked over 300 points, while the $SENSEX slipped nearly 1000 points from the day's high—erasing all early gains.
Key Geopolitical Timeline:
13 Jun: Iran-Israel conflict begins
23 Jun (Morning): U.S. strikes Iran’s Fordow and two other nuclear sites. President Trump calls it a “very successful attack.”
23 Jun (Evening): Iran fires missiles at a U.S. airbase in Qatar; crude oil prices fall amid signs of diplomatic progress
24 Jun (Morning): U.S. President announces ceasefire on social platform Truth (denied by Iran); markets rally strongly
24 Jun (Afternoon): Iran resumes attack; Israel’s Defence Minister to grant the military a “free hand” for retaliation; markets nosedive over 1% from highs
Later: Iran denies the strike, announces ceasefire, claiming to have "forced the enemy to accept defeat"
Technical Snapshot:
$NIFTY50.NSE formed a bearish reversal candle with a long upper wick, signaling heavy intraday selling
Resistance: 25,335
Support: 24,730
Volatility is likely to remain elevated; traders should exercise caution
Conclusion:
The market remains highly sensitive to global geopolitical cues, especially from the Middle East. With conflicting narratives from both Iran and Israel, the situation is fluid and unpredictable. Traders should focus on risk management, while investors may consider capital preservation strategies until clarity emerges.
Disclaimer:
This post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
“Registration granted by SEBI, and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.”
“The securities quoted, if any, are for illustration only and are not recommendatory.”
“Investments in securities market are subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.”
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Globally, European markets traded higher, and Dow Futures indicated a strong opening for Wall Street.
For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.
Swan Energy shares have rallied 6% on Tuesday and are among the top trending stocks on Stocktwits.
The company announced that it had formed a special purpose vehicle (SPV) along with Balu Forge to explore defence and nuclear capabilities. Swan will own 60% stake in this newly formed unit, making it their subsidiary.
After this peak, it went through a correction and has been steady since early 2025. He adds that the stock is trading in a tight range between ₹350 and ₹500. Swan Energy is on the analyst’s radar now because the current move indicates that the underlying trend remains intact, with solid support near ₹350.
Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 58.32, which shows room for growth. Chandel called this a “base-building phase,” which often precedes a strong upmove.
He noted that a close above ₹500 could lead to a fresh rally for Swan Energy. If that happens, it could potentially set the stage for an upmove towards its previous high near ₹800 and beyond.
What’s Driving This Bullishness?
Chandel believes that long consolidation often lead to strong breakouts. According to him, the stock’s RSI has stayed between 30 and 70, showing balanced sentiment, which is neither too extremely overbought nor oversold conditions. And a breakout above ₹500 with volumes would be a strong bullish indicator.
The previous uptrend shows the stock’s ability to rally when momentum builds, he added.
According to Chandel, the stock is in a classic accumulation range, where smart investors buy ahead of a big breakout. The longer Swan Energy stays in this range, the bigger the move when it breaks out.
He advises investors to wait for confirmation, a close above ₹500 with volume support, before taking action. Until then, he asked them to remain disciplined and add the stock to the watchlist.
$SWANENERGY.NSE : 𝗧𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 𝗥𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲. 𝗕𝗶𝗴 𝗠𝗼𝘃𝗲 𝗔𝗵𝗲𝗮𝗱?
𝗛𝗲𝗹𝗹𝗼 𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀,
Swan Energy had a significant uptrend from early 2023, reaching almost ₹800.00 by the end of 2024. After this peak, it went through a correction and has been steady since early 2025. It is currently trading in a range between ₹350.00 and ₹500.00.
Here’s why this matters now:
The trend is still intact, and the stock is just consolidating.
There is solid support near ₹350.00.
The RSI is at 58.32, which is good and shows room for growth.
This situation is what we call a “base-building phase.” Strong up moves often follow these solid base formations.
A close above ₹500.00 could lead to a fresh rally.
If this happens, it could start a new trend, aiming for the previous high near ₹800.00 and possibly beyond.
𝗪𝗵𝘆 𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗦𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗽 𝗟𝗼𝗼𝗸𝘀 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗺𝗶𝘀𝗶𝗻𝗴?
Long consolidation often leads to strong breakouts.
The RSI has stayed between 30 and 70, showing balanced sentiment, which is neither too extremely overbought nor oversold conditions.
A move above ₹500.00 with volume would be a strong bullish sign.
The previous uptrend shows the stock’s ability to rally when momentum builds.
This is not just a consolidation; it’s a classic accumulation range. Smart investors often buy in these areas before a big breakout. The longer the stock stays in this range, the larger the move could be when it breaks out.
Wait for confirmation. Don’t rush in. Let the stock close above ₹500.00 with volume support.
That’s when the real move begins.
Until then, be patient, stay disciplined, and keep it on your radar.
$NIFTY50.NSE $SWANENERGY.NSE
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Data on Stocktwits shows that retail sentiment is ‘bullish’ on this counter.
Swan Energy sentiment and message volume on June 24 as of 3:00 pm IST. | source: Stocktwits
Swan Energy shares have fallen 37% year-to-date (YTD).
For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.
Shares of Lockheed Martin (LMT), Raytheon Technologies (RTX), Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC), and L3harris Technologies (LHX) edged lower in premarket trading on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said that Iran and Israel have agreed to a ceasefire.
Since Israel’s first volley of drones and missiles hit Iranian nuclear facilities in the early hours of June 12, Lockheed stock has gained about 3.6%, and RTX, Northrop Grumman, and L3Harris have gained 1.8%, 2.3% and 2.8%, respectively, till Monday.
Trump said the two countries have agreed to a "complete and total" deal on Monday, hours after thanking Tehran for prior information on its attack on the U.S. military base.
He said that Iran will initiate he ceasefire immediately, followed by Israel after 12 hours. If both countries maintain peace, the war will officially end after a day. However, reports from Israel suggested that the government had detected missile launches from Israel, which the Iranian army has denied.
Most defense stocks had risen early on Monday’s trading after the U.S. struck Iranian nuclear facilities on Saturday, backing Israel’s actions against Tehran, which the two countries said were done to prevent the country from developing atomic weapons. The three sites, Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan, suffered severe damage.
According to reports, the U.S. used 125 U.S. aircraft, including fourth- and fifth-generation fighter jets from Boeing and Lockheed, as well as Northrop Grumman’s B-2 stealth bombers, which dropped 14 massive 30,000-pound GBU-57 bunker-busting bombs.
The Pentagon plans to spend about $1 trillion during the fiscal year. However, the U.S. military is focusing more on drones and other automated weapons, creating pressure on makers of fighter aircraft such as Lockheed Martin.
Lockheed is also among two companies positioning themselves to win a significant share of Trump’s Golden Dome missile defense initiative, a proposed $175 billion U.S. project to create a satellite network to detect and possibly intercept incoming threats, according to Reuters.
Will S&P 500 End 2025 In The Green? Most Stocktwits Users Think So — Even With Global Turbulence
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 Index, rallied nearly a percent on Monday before settling at $600.15, off its all-time high of 613.23.
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on June 18, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)
The stock market has remained resilient despite the geopolitical tensions and macro uncertainty that President Donald Trump’s tariff policy engendered.
The S&P 500 Index, a measure of broader market performance, has gained over 2.4% this year. It is slowly and steadily edging toward its Feb. 19 all-time highs of 6,147.43, having closed Monday’s session at 6,025.17.
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the S&P 500 Index, rallied nearly a percent on Monday before settling at $600.15, off its all-time high of 613.23.
Despite the pushbacks, Stocktwits users are largely bullish about the trajectory of the SPY. A poll among platform users that asked, “Will the S&P 500 finish positive this year?” found that more than three-fourths of the respondents (77%) predicted a positive close. About one-fourth (23%) were bearish, as they saw the ETF ending lower for the year.
The poll received responses from nearly 20,000 users.
Tech stocks have outperformed the broader market, as reflected by a 4.3% gain for the tech-focused Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) ETF.
With the half-year mark nearly in, the market is left to contend with several risk events. The tariff pause Trump announced is set to end early next month. A lack of resolution could bring recession talks back on the table and the specter of renewed inflationary pressure.
The ongoing geopolitical tension in the Middle East is also a headwind, given its potential to increase oil prices. This, in turn, will stoke inflationary pressure, which hovered above 9% in the summer of 2022 but has since been contained following a series of rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.
These uncertainties have prevented the Fed, under Chair Jerome Powell, from lowering the Fed funds rate despite political pressure to do so.
In a report released Sunday, Morgan Stanley’s Chief Equity Strategist Mike Wilson said that the effect of the geopolitical tensions is only transient. He also flagged corporate earnings momentum and positive operating leverage as stock tailwinds.
For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.
KPIT Tech Chart Signals Weakness: SEBI RA Recommends Buy Only Above ₹1,451 Breakout
Analysts recommend watching ₹1,308 as a crucial support level.
In this photo illustration a KPIT Technologies Limited logo seen displayed on a smartphone. (Photo Illustration by Igor Golovniov/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
KPIT Technologies' shares fell over 5% on Tuesday, following a mid-quarter update that flagged delays in deal closures, particularly in the US and Asia.
The company also indicated weaker other income due to forex losses and the absence of one-off gains seen in Q4FY25, which could impact Q1FY26 performance. The management added that the overall business environment continues to be uncertain amid rising geopolitical tensions and concerns on the tariff front.
SEBI-registered firm A&Y Market Research observed that KPIT Technologies’ stock faced strong resistance at ₹1,412-₹1,451 levels, with increased selling volumes and a lack of buyer interest. The current trend remained bearish, with a sharp sell-off after hitting the resistance.
They pegged immediate support at ₹1,308 (a crucial level to watch), which if breached could see further downside to ₹1,211 and ₹1,157. For investors, a buying opportunity could arise on a breakout above the resistance zone of ₹1,412-₹1,451. Until then, the trend remains bearish.
A&Y Market Research adds that if the stock breaks out, potential target levels lie at ₹1,550, ₹1,650, and ₹1,740 with a suggested stop loss at ₹1,370.
$KPITTECH.NSE
KPIT Technologies' stock recently declined by around 5–6%, trading between ₹1,315 and ₹1,330, following a mid-quarter update that flagged delays in deal closures, particularly in the US and Asia. The company also indicated weaker other income due to forex losses and the absence of one-off gains seen in Q4FY25, which could impact Q1FY26 performance.
In June 2025, KPIT announced the acquisition of 100% of Caresoft's Global Engineering Solutions (GES) business. The deal is expected to close by Q2FY26 and is projected to add approximately 4% to FY26 revenue. This acquisition also marks KPIT’s entry into the Chinese market and strengthens its presence in the Trucks and Off-highway segment.
On the global expansion front, KPIT opened a new technology centre in Gothenburg, Sweden, enhancing its R&D capabilities in Europe. Additionally, it launched a software engineering centre in Sfax, Tunisia, aimed at expanding its digital delivery capacity across North Africa.
Price Analysis 📉
- Resistance Zone: Price faced strong resistance at 1412 - 1451, with increasing selling volume and lack of buyer interest.
- Current Trend: Bearish, with price falling strongly after hitting resistance.
- Key Support Levels:
- Immediate support at 1308 (crucial level to watch).
- Further supports at 1211 and 1157 if 1308 breaks.
- Buying Opportunity: Consider buying above a breakout of 1412 - 1451; until then, the trend looks bearish.
Targets after break : 1550, 1650,1740
SL : 1370
Let's keep an eye on the support levels and price action!
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In June 2025, KPIT announced its foray into the Chinese market by acquiring Caresoft's Global Engineering Solutions (GES) business. The deal is expected to close by Q2FY26 and is expected to add approximately 4% to FY26 revenue. This acquisition will strengthen its presence in the Trucks and Off-highway segment.
On the global expansion front, KPIT opened a new technology centre in Sweden to enhance its R&D capabilities in Europe. They have also launched a software engineering centre in Tunisia to expand their digital delivery capacity across North Africa.
Meanwhile, brokerage firm Kotak Institutional Equities maintained a ‘Sell’ rating with a target price of ₹1,000, indicating a 28% downside.
Data on Stocktwits shows that retail sentiment is 'neutral' on this counter amidst ‘high’ message volumes.
KPIT Tech sentiment and message volume on June 24 as of 2:00 pm IST. | source: Stocktwits
KPIT Technologies shares have fallen 10% year-to-date (YTD).
For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.
The Power of Breakout 📈 — 4 Stocks, 4 Explosive Moves 💥
See how a clean breakout setup led to massive upside in these 4 stocks 👇
A Thread.
Dis: Not buy/sell recommendation. For educational purpose only.
$NIFTY50.NSE
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The stock’s market price on Monday was ₹5,047, up 24% from the breakout point. He noted a successful retest and volume surge.
Tech Mahindra broke out above ₹1,300. Mehta said on Monday, it traded at ₹1,679, reflecting a 29% rise, with gains of 39% to its all-time high of ₹1,807.
He also pointed out a breakout from long-term resistance, adding that ₹1,230–₹1,207 zone held as a support.
For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.
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