No evidence of capitulation
$IEF 5.25% headed to 6% over time
$TLT 5.75% headed to 7% over time
1
23bobsmith23
Dan Niles says 10year headed to 6%
That means 20/30 year is headed to 6.50-6.75%
Super bad $IEF $TLT
1
sSwSs
$IEF — IEF's bearish technicals and mixed news sentiment contrasted with strong foreign demand for Treasuries.
Supportive points: RSI below oversold threshold indicating potential for rebound. Strong foreign demand for U.S. debt at Treasury auction.
Concerns raised: Trading below 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. Short-term momentum to the downside. Weak buying pressure indicated by MFI.
Recent analyses of the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) covered its current trading position relative to key moving averages and technical indicators, noting bearish momentum. News sentiment was mixed, highlighting both strong foreign demand at a recent Treasury auction and strategist concerns about an impending bond market downturn.
EquityClock
While the market continues to express concerns with the multi-decade high level of the cost of borrowing, momentum behind the rise in yields has been waning for the past week and a half. Theory suggests that we should at least see some kind of a reset of the recent parabolic climb in rates, but topping patterns of substance continue to allude the charts. Seasonally, the bond market is normally weak in October. $IEF $TLT $BONDS
ARMRreport
$IEF $TLT $HYG etc
U.S. 10-YEAR TREASURY AUCTION DRAWS STRONG DEMAND
The Treasury sold $39 billion of 9-year 10-month notes at a 5.300% high yield, with a 2.77 bid-to-cover ratio.
Indirect bidders took a strong 80.34%, direct bidders 17.12%, while primary dealers were left with just 2.54% — signaling solid end-investor demand.
StocktwitsNews
Hassett Says Longer Term Rates May Have Some Upside — Says Real Return On Capital Goes Up When Economy Is Booming
$IEF $TLT
https://stocktwits.com/news/equity/markets/hassett-says-longer-term-rates-may-have-some-upside-says-real-return-on-capital-goes-up-when-economy-is-booming/cZDjlEwRBKK
Borz92
$IEF bought.
positioning for potential appreciation if yields normalize lower, earning income in the meantime and taking less risk than 20+ year Treasuries.
trendtrader6
$IEF vs $LQD weekly. might be starting a ramp up. although near the peak of its long term spikes markets are in carnage of varying vol and depth, on the turn is where things tend to get very frothy intially. $SPY $QQQ $BND
dustlesspuma
🟢 $IEF 91C Oct 16
💰 $375,800 premium
💵 $0.59/contract
📊 32.3x Vol/OI
📍 Spot $90.77
💰 Large premium | 🔥 32.3x Vol/OI
🌊 Dark Flow | Options Flow