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Broadcom Inc. is a global technology company, which designs, develops, and supplies semiconductors and infrastructure software solutions. It operates through the Semiconductor Solutions and Infrastructure Software segments. The Semiconductor Solutions segment refers to product lines and intellectual property licensing. The Infrastructure Software segment relates to mainframe, distributed and cyber security solutions, and the FC SAN business. The company was founded in 1961 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

Broadcom Inc

Broadcom's earnings and guidance beat is driving significant after-hours chatter, though some question if it's enough to justify the current valuation. Community members are closely watching the conference call for further insights, with some drawing parallels to recent market reactions to other AI-related stocks. Skepticism remains around the sustainability of AI partnerships and revenue, with some suggesting a potential pullback.

Altimmune, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which focuses on the development of novel peptide-based therapeutics for the treatment of obesity and liver diseases. The company's lead product candidate, pemvidutide, is a GLP-1/glucagon dual receptor agonist that is being developed for the treatment of obesity and NASH. In addition, Altimmune is developing HepTcell, an immunotherapeutic designed to achieve a functional cure for chronic hepatitis B. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, MD.

Altimmune Inc

ALT is trending amid mixed sentiment, with some community members expressing concerns about trial data and potential delays, using hashtags like #endpointfailures and #delays. Meanwhile, other investors remain bullish, emphasizing the potential of their drug and dismissing bearish arguments, while awaiting key data releases and FDA feedback. Discussions include the impact of PathAI approval and speculation around potential partnerships.

lululemon athletica, Inc. engages in the business of designing, distributing, and retailing technical athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories. It operates through the following segments: Company-Operated Stores, Direct to Consumer, and Other. The company was founded by Dennis James Wilson in 1998 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Lululemon Athletica inc.

Lululemon Athletica Inc

Lululemon is trending as investors react to earnings news and a surprise CEO departure, with community members debating whether the results justify the stock's surge. Bullish sentiment highlights a potential turnaround and strong China sales, while bears cite valuation concerns and leadership uncertainty. The stock's movement is also drawing comparisons to other retail companies and potential sector-wide recovery.

Mawson Infrastructure Group, Inc. engages in the provision of digital asset infrastructure services. The company was founded on February 10, 2012 and is headquartered in Midland, PA.

Mawson Infrastructure Group Inc

MIGI is trending due to a volatile trading day, driven by a recently announced $40M offering that sparked a sharp sell-off, overshadowing positive Q3 results. The community is debating the offering's impact, potential for a dead cat bounce, and whether it's a buying opportunity or a sign of further decline. Some traders are drawing parallels to other high-flying stocks, while others remain optimistic about MIGI's long-term prospects in the digital infrastructure space.

SoundHound AI, Inc. engages in the development, owning, and commercialization of voice, sound, and natural language artificial intelligence technologies and related activities. The company was founded on September 2, 2005 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

SoundHound AI Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

SoundHound AI Inc

SOUN is trending amid analyst upgrades and community speculation about upcoming catalysts, including a presentation at the Barclays Global Technology Conference. Community members are actively debating the potential for a short squeeze, while also discussing the company's fundamentals and competition in the AI sector. Recent news of partnerships and integrations is adding to the buzz, with bulls hoping for a sustained upward move.

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the provision of operation of membership warehouses through wholly owned subsidiaries. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Canada, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

Costco Wholesale Corp

Costco is trending as investors digest recent earnings and revenue figures, with community chatter focusing on membership growth, online sales traction, and potential special dividends. Despite positive aspects, concerns about valuation, tariffs, and the company's legal actions are also part of the conversation. Overall, the community is assessing whether Costco can maintain its premium valuation amid changing economic conditions and shifting consumer behavior.

RH operates as a holding company which operates the business through its subsidiary Restoration Hardware, Inc. It offers furniture, lighting, textiles, bath ware, decor, outdoor and garden, as well as baby and child products. The company operates an integrated business with multiple channels of distribution including galleries, source books and websites. The company was founded by Stephen J. Gordon in 1980 and is headquartered in Corte Madera, CA.

RH - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Restoration Hardware

RH (Restoration Hardware) is trending due to mixed reactions surrounding its earnings call and future guidance, with some questioning the CEO's commentary. The community is actively discussing the potential impact of tariffs and interest rate decisions on the luxury home furnishings sector. Bullish investors are anticipating a short squeeze, while bearish investors are pointing to a potential price drop.

Rivian Automotive, Inc. engages in the design, development, and manufacture of category-defining electric vehicles and accessories. It operates through following segments: Automotive, Software and Services. The company was founded by Robert J. Scaringe in June 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, CA.

Rivian Automotive Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Rivian Automotive Inc

Rivian is trending as it prepares to unveil its AI and autonomy advancements, with the community eager to learn about the company's technology roadmap; discussions include expectations for hands-free driving and potential competition with Tesla. Amidst excitement for the event, some investors express concerns over capital expenditure on AI and question the timing of lidar integration, while others remain bullish, anticipating a transformative presentation.

SSgA Active Trust - SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

SPY is trending as the market eyes new all-time highs, fueled by anticipation around Broadcom's earnings and the potential impact on AI-driven stocks. Community chatter reflects a battle between bulls and bears, with debates over market manipulation and the sustainability of the current rally. Some traders are expressing concerns about overvaluation and potential corrections, while others remain optimistic, pointing to the Fed's actions and overall market momentum.

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The four-week moving average for jobless claims, which smooths weekly volatility, rose by 2,000 to 216,750.</li><li>Continuing claims, which refer to the number of people claiming unemployment benefits beyond the first week, hovered in the 1.84 million range for the week ended November 29, decreasing by 99,000 over the previous week.</li><li>The largest increase in claims came from Pennsylvania at 2,208, followed by Wisconsin at 1,092, whereas the largest decrease in claims was from California at 19,844 and Texas at 7,836.</li></ul>Weekly jobless claims rose higher than expected after registering a drop during the Thanksgiving week.According to data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday, jobless claims rose by 44,000 to 236,000 in the week ended December 6. This was lower than a Dow Jones estimate of 223,000, as&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar">cited</a> by MarketWatch.The four-week moving average for jobless claims, which smooths weekly volatility, rose by 2,000 to 216,750.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Continuing Claims Fall</h2>Continuing claims, which refer to the number of people claiming unemployment benefits beyond the first week, hovered in the 1.84 million range for the week ended November 29, decreasing by 99,000 over the previous week.The largest increase in claims came from Pennsylvania at 2,208, followed by Wisconsin at 1,092, whereas the largest decrease in claims was from California at 19,844 and Texas at 7,836.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Unemployment Expectations Rise</h2>According to a preliminary survey by the University of Michigan, a majority of the respondents expect unemployment to rise in 2026. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday stated that the labor market appears to be “gradually cooling,” while addressing a press conference following the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate cut announcement.This comes amid an unexpected decline in private payrolls in November, as small businesses pulled back sharply. According to an&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/adp-data-private-payrolls-november-decline/cLIXA6aRE1i">ADP jobs report</a> released last week, small businesses reported a net decrease of 120,000 employees, while mid-sized and large businesses added 90,000 employees on a net basis.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Thursday morning’s trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.44%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 1.2%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) rose 0.83%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bullish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was up by 0.21% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/oracle-shares-falls-on-q2-revenue-miss-orcl-stock-price-target-cut/cLIxBccREn3">Oracle Stock Is Tanking After Q2 Report – Analyst Points Out Timing Mismatch Between AI Buildout Expenses, Revenue Conversion</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Construction workers remove the mural at Black Lives Matter Plaza. (Photo by Caroline Gutman for The Washington Post via Getty Images)

Jobless Claims Rise Higher Than Expected After Big Drop During Thanksgiving Week

According to data released by the U.S. Department of Labor on Thursday, jobless claims rose by 44,000 to 236,000 in the week ended December 6.

Equity

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The FSOC was established by Title I of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act in 2010, following the 2008 financial crisis.</li><li>Bessent’s letter coincides with an FSOC meeting scheduled for Thursday, where the council’s 2025 annual report is slated to be presented and voted on.</li><li>Earlier in October, Bessent criticized the Dodd-Frank legislation, stating that while it was designed to end “Too Big To Fail,” it ended up creating “Too Small To Succeed.”</li></ul>Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is reportedly gearing up to propose looser regulation by the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC).According to a CNBC&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/11/bessent-to-propose-major-overhaul-of-regulatory-body-created-from-financial-crisis.html">report</a>, Bessent will propose a new approach for the FSOC in a bid to allow the monitoring body to adopt a freer process when it comes to the regulation and oversight of institutions under its mandate.Bessent is expected to state in his letter that “the Council will work with and support member agencies in considering whether aspects of the U.S. financial regulatory framework impose undue burdens and negatively impact economic growth, thereby undermining financial stability,” according to the report.The FSOC was established by Title I of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act in 2010, following the 2008 financial crisis.<h2 class="st-heading-2">AI To Improve Resilience</h2>The report also added that Bessent is forming a working group to explore ways in which artificial intelligence technology can be used to improve the resilience of the United States’ financial system. In addition to this, the Treasury Secretary will also task the group with monitoring potential risks to the financial stability of the U.S. arising from the adoption of AI.Bessent’s letter coincides with an FSOC meeting scheduled for Thursday, where the council’s 2025 annual report is slated to be presented and voted on.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Bessent’s Criticism</h2>Earlier in October, Bessent&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/scott-bessent-blasts-dodd-frank-rules/ch67swXR3Kw">criticized</a> the Dodd-Frank legislation, stating that while it was designed to end “Too Big To Fail,” it ended up creating “Too Small To Succeed.”The legislation was sponsored by Sen. Christopher J. Dodd (D-Conn.) and Rep. Barney Frank (D-Mass.).Fed Governor Michael Barr&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/fed-barr-trump-bank-deregulation-community-banks-exposed-to-fallout/ch6EZBhR3iV">previously</a> expressed concerns with the central bank’s deregulation proposal on capital standards, which regulators appointed by President Donald Trump have supported.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Thursday morning’s trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.59%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.82%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) rose 0.96%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bullish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was up by 0.2% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/oracle-shares-falls-on-q2-revenue-miss-orcl-stock-price-target-cut/cLIxBccREn3">Oracle Stock Is Tanking After Q2 Report – Analyst Points Out Timing Mismatch Between AI Buildout Expenses, Revenue Conversion</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent visits "Kudlow" at Fox Business Network Studios on August 12, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Noam Galai/Getty Images)

Bessent To Propose Looser Regulation By Financial Stability Monitoring Body Created After 2008 Financial Crisis: Report

According to a CNBC report, Bessent will propose a new approach for the FSOC in a bid to allow the monitoring body to adopt a freer process when it comes to the regulation and oversight of institutions under its mandate.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The Fed cut rates by 25 bps to 3.5%–3.75%, its third reduction of 2025, citing softer job gains and still-elevated inflation.</li><li>Three officials dissented as projections kept only one cut in 2026 and upgraded 2026 growth while lowering the inflation outlook.</li><li>The Fed will start reserve-management purchases on Dec. 12, with about $40 billion in Treasury bill buying expected to stay elevated into April.</li></ul>The Federal Reserve on Wednesday cut the key borrowing rate by 25 basis points, bringing down the federal funds rate to the 3.5% to 3.75% range, in line with expectations.The move marks the third reduction in 2025, following similar quarter-point cuts in September and October.“Job gains have slowed this year, and the unemployment rate has edged up through September. More recent indicators are consistent with these developments. Inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and remains somewhat elevated,” the Fed said in a statement.The Fed’s “dot plot” projections indicate just one rate cut in 2026, unchanged from its previous forecast.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Moderating Economic Activity</h2>The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) said available indicators suggest economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace. Policymakers noted that uncertainty around the outlook remains elevated and said downside risks to employment have increased in recent months.The committee reaffirmed its goal of achieving maximum employment and 2% inflation over the longer run. Officials said future rate decisions will depend on incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. They emphasized readiness to adjust policy if developments threaten progress toward its goals.The Fed added that reserve balances have declined to “ample levels” and that it will begin purchasing shorter-term Treasury securities as needed to maintain an adequate supply of reserves.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Three Dissents</h2>The decision passed with support from nine policymakers, including Fed Chair Jerome&nbsp; Powell and Vice Chair John C. Williams, while three officials voted against the action. Stephen Miran dissented in favor of a 50-basis-point cut, and Austan Goolsbee and Jeffrey Schmid preferred leaving the target range unchanged.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Economic Projections For 2026</h2>Officials upgraded their 2026 median growth projection to 2.3%, from 1.8% in September, and lifted their 2027 and 2028 forecasts by 10 basis points. The longer-run estimate remained unchanged at 1.8%.The unemployment rate is now projected at 4.4% in 2026, unchanged from the September forecast. Policymakers now see PCE inflation at 2.4% in 2026, down from the previous projection of 2.6%.The Fed said the New York Desk will begin reserve-management purchases on Dec. 12, following a roughly $40 billion Treasury bill scheduled for release on Dec. 11, with the pace expected to remain elevated into April to offset anticipated increases in non-reserve liabilities before declining to more typical levels.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Major Index ETFs Advance</h2>Meanwhile, U.S. equities rose in Wednesday’s afternoon trade. At the time of writing, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY) was up 0.3%, the Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) gained 0.09%, and the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) rose 0.7%.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward SPY was 'bullish' with 'normal' message volume, sentiment for QQQ was 'bearish' amid 'low' activity, while sentiment for DIA was 'neutral' with 'normal' participation.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The seal of the Federal Reserve is pictured before Fed Chairman Jerome Powell conducted a news conference after a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday, July 30, 2025.(Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

Fed Delivers Widely Anticipated Rate Cut Of 25 Basis Points

The Federal Open Market Committee said available indicators suggest economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The Employment Cost Index rose 0.8% in the September 2025 quarter on a seasonally-adjusted basis, compared to a rise of 0.9% in the previous quarter.</li><li>Employment costs rose 3.5% for the 12 months ended in September 2025, compared to 3.9% for the same period last year.</li><li>The cooling wage growth comes amid a weakening job market, with small businesses showing a decline of 120,000 employees in November, according to data from payroll processing firm ADP.</li></ul>The pace of U.S. labor costs cooled in the third quarter as per the latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released on Wednesday.The Employment Cost Index (ECI), which measures the change in employers' costs for compensation including wages, salaries, and benefits, rose 0.8%&nbsp;on a seasonally-adjusted basis for the three months ended September 2025, compared to a 0.9% growth in the previous quarter, as per the report.&nbsp;On an annual basis, the ECI jumped 3.5% for the 12 months ended in September, compared to 3.9% for the same period last year, without seasonal adjustment.&nbsp;The ECI report comes amid a softness in the labor market. The report, usually released in October, has been delayed over five weeks amid the longest federal government shutdown in U.S. history.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Macroeconomic Backdrop&nbsp;</h2>The ECI, released every quarter, is important for markets to gauge multiple key metrics such as labor market strength and wage inflation. A slower wage growth is one of the lagging indicators for cooling inflation and lowered consumer spending.Last week, data released by payroll processing firm ADP&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/adp-data-private-payrolls-november-decline/cLIXA6aRE1i">showed</a> that job creation in the private sector for the latter part of 2025 had plateaued, while pay growth declined. The report additionally noted that small businesses saw a decline of 120,000 employees in November.The ECI report comes ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate announcement scheduled for later on Wednesday. Markets will also be looking out for comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell to indicate the overall state of the economy.At the time of writing, data from the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a> showed an 89.9% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Are Markets Reacting?</h2>U.S. equities were in the red in Wednesday’s opening trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.02%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) fell 0.13%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) gained 0.07%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘neutral’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was up by 0.04% at the time of writing.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

US Employment Costs Cool In Third Quarter, Reflecting Job Market Weakness

The Employment Cost Index rose 0.8% in the quarter ended September 2025 compared to 0.9% in the previous quarter.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Data from Kalshi shows a 96% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points, while nearly 4% expect the central bank to maintain the current levels.</li><li>Participants on Polymarket were slightly more optimistic, with data showing that 97% of bets favored a 25 bps cut.</li><li>Schwab Center for Financial Research stated in a recent note that aside from the rate decision, the focus will be on how many policymakers voice dissenting opinions.</li></ul>The Federal Reserve is all set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, and bettors on prediction markets are placing hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of bets to guess what the central bank will do.Bettors on Kalshi and Polymarket have placed bets worth nearly $393 million to predict the outcome of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) December meeting, which is set to conclude on Wednesday.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Prediction Markets Showing?</h2>Data from Kalshi shows a 96% probability that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points, while nearly 4% expect the central bank to maintain a status quo. Participants on Polymarket were slightly more optimistic, with data showing that 97% of bets favored a 25 bps cut.<figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:1096/586;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Fed_rate_kalshi_jpg_1acca769ca.webp" alt="Kalshi prediction market bets on Fed rate cut probabilities" width="1096" height="586"><figcaption>Kalshi prediction market bets on Fed rate cut probabilities | Kalshi</figcaption></figure><figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:1168/607;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Fed_rate_polymarket_jpg_3cad17be4b.webp" alt="Polymarket prediction market bets on Fed rate cut probabilities" width="1168" height="607"><figcaption>Polymarket prediction market bets on Fed rate cut probabilities | Polymarket</figcaption></figure>According to data from the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, there is an 87.6% probability of a 25 bps rate cut on Wednesday.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Room For Further Cuts</h2>If the Fed cuts rates by 25 bps on Wednesday, that leaves little room for further cuts, analysts at Schwab Center for Financial Research pointed out in a note on Wednesday.“The September projection, which isn't expected to change today, is just 25 basis points below where rates would be if the Fed cuts this afternoon, leaving investors little in the way of ‘energy dots’ from the Fed to whet equity market appetites,” the firm stated.It added that aside from the rate decision, the focus will be on how many policymakers voice dissenting opinions, and what Fed Chair Jerome Powell says about the rate path going forward.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Wednesday morning’s trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.09%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.22%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) rose 0.5%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘neutral’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was up by 0.14% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-economy-a-plus-plus-plus-plus-plus-krugman-why-dont-people-see-it/cLIH2RlREVP">Paul Krugman Questions Trump’s ‘A+++++’ Economy Claim: ‘Why Don’t People See It?’</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The Federal Reserve logo is seen on the William McChesney Martin Jr Building

Will The Fed Cut Rates Today? Here's What Bettors On Kalshi And Polymarket Think

According to data from the CME FedWatch tool, there is an 87.6% probability of a 25 bps rate cut on Wednesday.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>In the run-up to the FOMC’s December meeting, several economists and Trump administration officials, including President Donald Trump, have weighed in on what the central bank’s monetary policy decision should be.</li><li>In an interview with Politico, President Trump said support for interest rate cuts would be a filter in nominating the successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell.</li><li>Last week, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said that it is a “good time” for the Fed to cut rates cautiously.</li></ul>The Federal Reserve is all set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday. While investors expect a 25-basis-point rate cut, the markets will keep an eye on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary.In the run-up to the FOMC’s December meeting, several economists and Trump administration officials, including the U.S. President himself, have weighed in on what the central bank’s monetary policy decision should be.With D-Day finally here, here’s a recap of what President Trump and others have said so far:<h2 class="st-heading-2">Mohamed El-Erian</h2>Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, noted that the recent volatility in the Fed rate cut expectations is a result of multiple factors, including a “lame duck Chair.”In an opinion&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ft.com/content/17ec3d64-ee48-43ba-bad5-6682f3962915">piece</a> for The Financial Times on Tuesday, El-Erian added that the long-term impact of the choice for the next Fed Chair would be “far more consequential” than the immediate impact on markets.“Crucially, the new Chair will set the tone for much-needed reforms to strengthen the Fed's effectiveness. This is key to maintaining its political autonomy and maximizing its contributions to long-term economic well-being,” he said in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/elerianm/status/1998521853904925075">post</a> on X.<figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:731/346;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/El_Erian_post_jpg_4b92cab7fa.webp" alt="Mohamed El-Erian's post on X" width="731" height="346"><figcaption>Mohamed El-Erian's post on X | @elerianm/X</figcaption></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">President Donald Trump’s Remarks</h2>In an interview&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2025/12/09/the-politico-trump-interview-00682438">with</a> Politico, President Trump said support for interest rate cuts would be a filter in nominating the successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell.According to the report, President Trump said that support for immediately slashing rates would be a litmus test for his choice of the Fed Chair nominee.&nbsp;He also continued with his attacks against Powell, calling him “not a smart person.” The President has&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-fed-rate-cut-this-week-too-late-powell-bigger-than-he-had-in-mind/chwwONNRdUh">called</a> him “Too Late” in the past, while asking him to slash interest rates.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Kevin Hassett’s Take</h2>Last week, the National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said that it is a “good time” for the Fed to cut rates cautiously. On Tuesday, he signaled his openness to deeper rate cuts if the economic data supported it.The NEC Director is currently among the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/kevin-hassett-happy-to-serve-next-fed-chair-trump-prediction-markets/cLI7QX6REiX">frontrunners</a> to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires in May next year.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">NY Fed’s John Williams</h2>John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, stated last month that while it is important to bring inflation back to the Fed’s long-term goal of 2%, it is necessary to do so without creating undue risks to the goal of maximum employment.He stated that the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy is “modestly restrictive” and that he sees some room for further adjustment following the 25 bps rate cuts in September and October.Williams also noted that some of the current inflation could be attributed to President Trump’s tariffs.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Jeremy Siegel</h2>Jeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, on Tuesday, noted that while he expects the Fed to cut rates by 25 bps, it could be a hawkish easing.“The statement will likely emphasize a willingness to pause in January if the labor data remain firm, and we could see three or four dissents,” he said, explaining why he thinks it would be a hawkish decision.Regarding the dissents, Siegel expects Fed Governor Stephen Miran to continue to push for a 50 bps cut, while there could be two to three hawks calling for no cut at all.According to data from the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, there is an 89.9% probability of a 25 bps rate cut on Wednesday.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Wednesday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.06%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.11%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) fell 0.05%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘neutral’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was down by 0.14% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/kevin-hassett-good-time-for-fed-rate-cut-cautiously/cLIS4R0REka">Kevin Hassett Reportedly Says 'It's A Good Time' For Fed To Reduce Rates Cautiously</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration, The Federal Reserve System logo displayed on a smartphone. 

Fed Rate Decision: As The D-Day Arrives, Here's A Look At Some Key Narratives So Far

According to data from the CME FedWatch tool, there is an 89.9% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut on Wednesday.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research, stated that the Fed is likely to cut rates this week.</li><li>However, she added that it would not be a surprise if the Fed’s commentary on the cut took a hawkish tone, similar to the October FOMC meeting.</li><li>SCFR’s Nathan Peterson stated that whether a Santa Claus rally in stocks is thwarted or not will depend on the velocity of the rise in long-term U.S. Treasury yields.</li></ul>Ahead of the Federal Reserve’s December rate announcement scheduled for Wednesday, U.S. Treasury yields were holding steady on Monday morning.At the time of writing, the 10-year, 30-year, and 2-year Treasury yields were up by a basis point each. While the 10-year Treasury yield hovered at 4.15%, the 30-year yield was 4.8%, and the 2-year yield was 3.57%.The 30-year Treasury yield has now risen to a three-month high. Treasury prices and yields are inversely related – a rise in prices is accompanied by a fall in yields, and vice versa."If long-term Treasury yields continue to rise, will that thwart a Santa Claus rally for stocks?" asked Nathan Peterson, director of derivatives research and strategy, SCFR.He added that this will depend on the velocity of the rise of Treasury yields, if it happens. “I feel like the trajectory of stocks this week will likely be tied at least in part to the trajectory of long-term Treasury yields,” Peterson said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Fed Rate Cut Chances?</h2>According to data from the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, there is a 87.4% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut this week.“The Fed doesn't tend to go against market odds when they're that extreme in one direction or another,” said Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist, Schwab Center for Financial Research (SCFR), referring to odds of a cut this week.However, she added that it would not be a surprise if the Fed’s commentary on the cut took a hawkish tone, similar to the October FOMC meeting, when Fed Chair Jerome Powell shot down expectations of further rate cuts.This comes amid signs of a cooling labor market. According to data released by payroll processing firm ADP last week, U.S. companies&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/adp-data-private-payrolls-november-decline/cLIXA6aRE1i">unexpectedly cut</a> 32,000 jobs in November amid an uncertain macroeconomic environment.<h2 class="st-heading-2">When Is The FOMC Meeting?</h2>The FOMC’s two-day meeting is scheduled for December 9 and 10.The Fed is also increasingly divided on a December cut. While Fed Governor Stephen Miran called for a “minimum” of&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/fed-miran-25-bps-rate-cut-december-minimum/cLPcFxIRE2j">25 basis point cut</a> in December, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson cautioned that the central bank should “proceed slowly” in light of an evolving balance of risks.Meanwhile, U.S. equities gained in Monday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.13%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) gained 0.25%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) rose 0.07%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was down by 0.12% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/kevin-hassett-good-time-for-fed-rate-cut-cautiously/cLIS4R0REka">Kevin Hassett Reportedly Says 'It's A Good Time' For Fed To Reduce Rates Cautiously</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

With Fed Rate Announcement Scheduled For Wednesday, Here’s How US Treasury Yields Are Behaving

According to data from the CME FedWatch tool, there is an 87.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this week.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Consumer spending, adjusted for inflation, was unchanged in September, following a 0.2% increase in August.</li><li>Personal income rose 0.4% in September, similar to the increase in August.</li><li>Personal savings stood at $1.09 trillion in September, while the personal saving rate was 4.7%, inching up from 4.6% in August.</li></ul>The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation,&nbsp;rose to 2.8% in September on an annual basis.According to data from the Commerce Department, core PCE, which excludes food and energy, was at&nbsp;2.8% on an annual basis. It rose 0.2% over the previous month.While PCE came in lower than expectations, core PCE was in line with analyst forecasts, according to a Dow Jones estimate&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar">compiled</a> by MarketWatch.<h2 class="st-heading-2">State Of Personal Incomes, Outlays</h2>Consumer spending, adjusted for inflation, was unchanged in September, following a 0.2% increase in August. Personal income rose 0.4% in September, similar to the increase in August.In absolute terms, personal income increased $94.5 billion in September, while disposable personal income rose $75.9 billion. Personal consumption expenditures increased $65.1 billion, while personal outlays increased $70.7 billion during the month.Personal savings stood at $1.09 trillion in September, while the personal saving rate was 4.7%, inching up from 4.6% in August.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Consumer Sentiment Improves</h2>The monthly Index of Consumer Sentiment released by the University of Michigan on Friday showed an uptick in December, beating Wall Street expectations.Consumer sentiment rose to 53.3 in December from 51 in November. “Overall, while views of current conditions were little changed, expectations improved, led by a 13% rise in expected personal finances, with improvements visible across age, income, education, and political affiliation,” the report stated.Meanwhile, U.S. equities gained in Friday’s opening trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.5%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) gained 0.78%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) rose 0.4%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was down 0.08% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/pce-data-fed-preferred-inflation-gauge-december-fed-rate-cut-chances/cLIS2suREkG">Ahead Of PCE Data Release, Here's What CME FedWatch Is Indicating About December Fed Rate Cut Chances</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A woman shops at a supermarket on April 30, 2025 in Arlington, Virginia. (Photo by Sha Hanting/China News Service/VCG via Getty Images)

PCE Report: Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Hit 2.8% In September

On an annual basis, core PCE stood at 2.8% in September, in line with expectations.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Hassett’s comments come amid growing expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut next week.</li><li>According to data from the CME FedWatch tool, there is a 87.2% probability of a 25 bps cut.</li><li>Morgan Stanley on Friday joined JPMorgan and Bank of America, expecting a rate cut next week and reversing its previous stance that the Fed would pause following the cuts in September and October.</li></ul>National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett reportedly said on Friday that now is a “good time” for the Federal Reserve to cut rates cautiously, days ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.During an interview&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.foxbusiness.com/video/6386034948112">with</a> Fox Business, Hassett stated that he expects the Fed to cut rates next week. “It’s a good time for the Fed to cautiously reduce rates again,” he said.The NEC Director is currently among the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/kevin-hassett-happy-to-serve-next-fed-chair-trump-prediction-markets/cLI7QX6REiX">frontrunners</a> to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires in May next year.&nbsp;Hassett’s comments come amid growing expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut next week. According to data from the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, there is a 87.2% probability of a quarter-point cut.Morgan Stanley on Friday&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/default/5/morgan-stanley-now-predicts-25-bps-rate-cut-in-december-meeting/cLISdOAREkE">joined</a> JPMorgan and Bank of America in expecting a rate cut next week, reversing its previous stance that the Fed would pause following the cuts in&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/default/equity/fed-cuts-rates-by-25-basis-points-september-fomc-meeting/chDGxvqRd6u">September</a> and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/fed-cuts-rates-by-25-basis-points-october-fomc-meeting/cLGZvdHR3DR">October</a>.<h2 class="st-heading-2">US Economy’s Prospects</h2>Hassett stated in the interview that while the U.S. government shutdown had a bigger negative impact on the economy than expected, he projected a “bigger rebound in the first quarter.”He also added that, because of the “big increase” in productivity from AI, the U.S. could see a 4% productivity increase in 2026. As for AI’s impact on jobs, Hassett said that the technology is “like you got a coach with you every step of the way.”<h2 class="st-heading-2">Residency Requirement For Fed Presidents</h2>Hassett also backed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s calls for regional Fed Presidents to have lived in their respective districts for at least three years.“The reason we have all these regional Feds is that we want to make sure that we have a federalist system,” he said in the interview, supporting the idea of these regions having a voice at the table.“The unfortunate thing about the current design of the Federal Reserve is that the only folks who always get a vote on interest rates are the people who live in Washington and the people who live in New York,” Hassett added, while noting that this requirement would not result in the replacement of anyone currently at the Fed.Meanwhile, U.S. equities gained in Friday morning’s trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.35%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) gained 0.5%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) rose 0.32%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was down by 0.13% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/pce-data-fed-preferred-inflation-gauge-december-fed-rate-cut-chances/cLIS2suREkG">Ahead Of PCE Data Release, Here's What CME FedWatch Is Indicating About December Fed Rate Cut Chances</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett speaks to reporters after attending a meeting at the U.S. Capitol Building on April 28, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

Kevin Hassett Reportedly Says 'It's A Good Time' For Fed To Reduce Rates Cautiously

The NEC Director is currently among the frontrunners to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires in May next year.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>According to a Dow Jones estimate, September PCE is expected to rise 0.3% for the headline number, while the core PCE is expected to rise 0.2% for the period.</li><li>On an annual basis, headline PCE is expected to be unchanged at 2.9% in September, while core inflation is expected to be at 2.8%.</li><li>The FOMC’s two-day meeting is scheduled for December 9 and 10.</li></ul>The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, is all set to be released later in the day, ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) meeting scheduled for next week.According to a Dow Jones estimate&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar">cited</a> by MarketWatch, September PCE is expected to rise 0.3% for the headline number, while the core PCE is expected to rise 0.2% for the period. On an annual basis, headline PCE is expected to be unchanged at 2.9% in September, while core inflation is likely to be at 2.8%.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Fed Rate Cut Chances?</h2>According to data from the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, there is a 87.2% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut next week.This comes amid signs of a cooling labor market. According to data released by payroll processing firm ADP, U.S. companies&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/adp-data-private-payrolls-november-decline/cLIXA6aRE1i">unexpectedly cut</a> 32,000 jobs in November amid an uncertain macroeconomic environment.Small businesses registered a sharp pullback during the month, with a net decline of 120,000 employees, while mid-sized and large businesses added 90,000 employees on a net basis.<h2 class="st-heading-2">When Is The FOMC Meeting?</h2>The FOMC’s two-day meeting is scheduled for December 9 and 10. Notably, while Fed Governor Stephen Miran called for a “minimum” of&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/fed-miran-25-bps-rate-cut-december-minimum/cLPcFxIRE2j">25 basis points cut</a> in December, Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson cautioned that the central bank should “proceed slowly” in light of an evolving balance of risks.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Friday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.11%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.13%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) fell 0.17%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits regarding the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was down by 0.04% at the time of writing.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/elon-musk-x-fined-by-eu-for-violating-content-moderation-law/cLISTvmREjz">Musk’s X Reportedly Hit With €120M EU Fine For Content Breaches, Hours After JD Vance Cautioned Against It</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Ahead Of PCE Data Release, Here's What CME FedWatch Is Indicating About December Fed Rate Cut Chances

According to data from the CME FedWatch tool, there is an 87.2% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next week.

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Bullish: S&P grinds higher

Choppy but up: buy dips

Sideways: fade the move

Bearish: this rally falls off

The Federal Reserve just announced a 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut at its December 10, 2025 meeting.​ Share your outlook on how the latest Federal Reserve interest rate cut will impact stocks and the S&P 500 over the next month.

How do you think today’s Fed rate cut impacts stocks over the next month?

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