Brief Equities Bottom-Up: Trent: Time to Pivot! Upgrade to ADD and more
In this briefing: Trent: Time to Pivot! Upgrade to ADD ITC Ltd - Near Term Tax Hike Challenges; Rating Revised to HOLD Car Trade Tech: Driving PAT Growth Via Massive Operating Leverage Abbisko Cayman (2256 HK): Pimicotinib Approval A Big Positive, Pipeline Offers Promise DNOW: A More Diversified Distribution Platform Enhances Financial Strength 1. Trent: Time to Pivot! Upgrade to ADD In our June-25 deep-dive on Trent, we highlighted (1) signs of fatigue in Westside and (2) Zudio’s peak efficiency, which kept us at bay from being constructive on an otherwise top-class franchise Post a near 50% price correction (from peak to trough), it may perhaps be time to pivot as risk-reward turns favourable However, we first test the inputs to operational KPIs (SSSG and store expansion) – (1) ~54% of the Zudio network has been added in the past 18 months, a lion’s share of these will be included in SSSG computation FY27 onwards, (2) 60% of incremental store adds (73 stores added) from FY25 to Oct-25 have come in under-retailed catchments of North and East (N and E) – another SSSG-friendly move, (3) Westside’s >50% jump in memberships in FY25 may also provide a healthy SSSG lever, going forward, and (4) store expansion may still have legs (170-180 stores annually), given that 139 out of Zudio’s 225 district presence are catchments where number of stores are ≤ 5 and its store share (within value fashion peers) in these catchments is >15%, indicating the lack of an alternative.