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Shiba Inu (SHIB) is a decentralized, community-led cryptocurrency ecosystem built on the Ethereum blockchain. Originally launched as a meme-based project, it has evolved into a comprehensive financial ecosystem designed to offer a decentralized alternative to traditional banking. Its main value proposition lies in its transition from a social phenomenon into a functional utility network, supported by a vast global community known as the ShibArmy and a commitment to 100% community ownership with no central leadership.  The ecosystem features its own decentralized exchange, ShibaSwap, where users can trade, provide liquidity, and earn rewards. To address Ethereum’s high costs and slow speeds, the project utilizes Shibarium, a Layer 2 scaling solution that processes transactions faster and more affordably.  The project employs a unique three-token model to manage its economy and governance. SHIB serves as the primary currency for trading and payments, while LEASH offers scarcity-based incentives for dedicated supporters. BONE acts as the governance token, allowing holders to vote on proposals through the Doggy DAO and serving as the native gas token for the Shibarium network.

Shiba Inu

Shiba Inu is currently trending as the community debates its long-term viability and potential for a supply-driven breakout, with sentiment polarized between long-term holders advocating for accumulation and skeptics questioning its performance. Investors are actively discussing the impact of potential burn mechanisms and institutional interest, while some traders remain cautious amid broader market volatility and concerns over the project's historical price trends.

What is the project about? Vara Network is a substrate-based future proof smart contract platform that is fast, scalable, and makes it simple to create and deploy next-generation Web3.0 dApps Vara is the first standalone network in the Gear Protocol  Gear is a next-gen cloud infrastructure platform providing most intuitive and frictionless environment for web2 and web3 developers to build complex infrastructure solutions and disruptive dApps for any ecosystem  What makes your project unique? Vara is built upon three core concepts: The actor model, and persistent memory — two widely adopted primitives from massive computation and microservices architecture spaces  Wasm — a WebAssembly-based virtual machine that runs on all modern browsers. Proven to be faster than any alternative web2 virtual machines  Vara was created to serve as a wasm-native hub for innovative protocols that leverage parallel execution and asynchronous programming to deliver leading decentralized products in any segment  History of your project. Gear Protocol and the Vara Network were originally created by Nikolay Volf, one of the core developers of Polkadot. In 2021, he embarked on building an advanced layer 1 smart contract platform using Substrate, Polkadot's custom framework. His vision included creating a platform that enables fast and efficient execution of robust, feature-rich dApps while in a seamless development environment similar to that of Web 2.0 development. He did this by  harnessing the power of innovative technologies like Wasm, the Actor Model, and Persistent Memory. These technologies significantly enhance smart contract development and provide a seamless end-user experience and provide the foundation for the development of Vara Network.  1. Q2 2021 - Pre-Seed Round: In the second quarter of 2021, the Protocol secured its initial funding through a pre-seed round. This likely involved seeking investment from early-stage investors or venture capitalists to kickstart the development of the project.  2. Q4 2021 - Seed Round: In December 2021 raised $12 Million in Venture Round. Private investment round led by Blockchange Venture. In addition to Blockchange, other top venture capital funds participated in this round, including Three  Arrows Capital, Lemniscap, Distributed Global, LAO, Mechanism Capital, Bitscale, Spartan Group LLC, HashKey, DI Ventures, Elysium Venture Capital, Signum Capital and P2P Economy lead by Konstantin Lomashuk, along with a number of top executives of Web3 Foundation and Parity Technologies. Dr. Gavin Wood, Founder and ex-CEO of Parity Technologies and one of the key individual investors participating in this round.  3. 2022 - Intensive Scaling and Development, First Test Integrations: Throughout the year 2022, Vara was focused on two primary activities. First, the engagement in an extensive outreach process to build up the team. Second, the project advanced its technical development efforts and started working on integrating their technology with various test environments to ensure its functionality and viability.  4. Q4 2022 - Testnet Launch.   5. Q1 2023 - PoA Launch: In the first quarter of 2023, Vara achieved launch of its Proof of Authority (PoA) consensus network, which is a chain candidate for mainnet.  Current Status of Vara:  Presently, the project boasts a talented and diverse decentralized workforce, consisting of dozens of engineers and other community members  to drive the project's success.  One of the remarkable aspects of Vara is its substantial pipeline of initiatives with over 40 projects.  What’s next for your project? Current projects being researched and developed by the community:  - Intensive testing and improvement of the actor model features in the blockchain space  - Launch of the key stack of dApps in our parallel and asynchronous environment   - Development of innovative infrastructure solutions (e.g offchain zk actors including machine learning) independently and together with the segment leaders  What can your token be used for? VARA tokens maintain core utility features required for the network to operate: transaction fees staking and network security governance other: gas pools for gas reservation  Contributors to the Gear protocol are exploring the mechanics of how to distribute a portion of block rewards directly toward dApp developers

Vara Network

Vara Network is trending on Coinbase as investors debate its role as decentralized infrastructure, with discourse split between its institutional partnerships and RWA utility versus concerns regarding token dilution and supply unlocks. The community is actively tracking staking rewards and price volatility, with many traders speculating on a potential breakout while others remain cautious due to historical downtrends.

London-based Quant Network is set to revolutionise blockchain technology with the development of their blockchain operating system Overledger. The experienced team are determined to fulfil the original vision of the internet by creating an open trusted network for people, machines, and data to operate securely and safely.  Overledger -the first interoperable blockchain operating system that facilitates internet-scale development of decentralised, multi-chain applications. Overledger has the ability to unlock and distribute value and applications across current and future blockchains. It is an agnostic platform that connects the world's networks to blockchains and ensures you're not limited to any single a vendor or technology. Overledger is the only platform that facilitates the development of internet-scales development of decentralised, multi-chain applications.

Quant

Quant (QNT) is trending as the community debates its long-term utility in banking infrastructure, with investors closely watching for a potential breakout driven by enterprise adoption and anticipated staking developments. While some participants express frustration over prolonged consolidation, others are actively accumulating tokens, citing its limited supply and the potential for the Overledger platform to bridge legacy financial systems with decentralized finance.

Lumentum Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of optical and photonic products. It operates through the Cloud and Networking, and Industrial Tech segments. The Cloud and Networking segment refers to a portfolio of optical and photonic components, modules, and subsystems. The Industrial Tech segment includes solid-state lasers, kilowatt-class fiber lasers, ultrafast lasers, diode lasers, and gas lasers. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

Lumentum Holdings Inc

Lumentum Holdings is trending as investors react to volatility surrounding the optical networking sector, specifically following strategic commentary from major industry players like Broadcom regarding the future balance between copper and optical technologies. The community is actively debating the stock's valuation, recent inclusion in the S&P 500 index, and the long-term impact of major capital investments into the company's photonics infrastructure.

Vital Farms, Inc. packages, markets and distributes pasture-raised shell eggs, pasture-raised butter and other products. Its products are sold under the trade names Vital Farms, Alfresco Farms, Lucky Ladies and RedHill Farms, primarily to retail foodservice channels. The company was founded by Catherine Stewart, Matthew O'Hayer and Jason Jones in 2007 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

Vital Farms Inc

Vital Farms is attracting intense attention as investors debate whether the stock is wildly oversold following a significant pullback or if management has permanently damaged credibility by missing revenue and earnings projections. While some participants see a deep-value opportunity supported by a share buyback program and a potential long-term turnaround, others are heavily shorting the stock, citing poor communication and concerns that premium-priced eggs will struggle if consumers trade down in a tighter economy.

J.P. Morgan Exchange-Traded Fund Trust - JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF

JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF

JEPQ is drawing significant attention from investors seeking to navigate current market volatility through consistent monthly income and exposure to Nasdaq-100 growth. The community remains actively focused on comparing its performance and distribution consistency against peers like QQQI and SPYI, with many utilizing dollar-cost averaging strategies to build long-term dividend positions despite ongoing debates about NAV erosion and the tax implications of covered-call strategies.

RAGE GUY (RAGE) is a cryptocurrency inspired by the Rage Guy meme, one of the earliest and most recognizable characters from internet rage comics. The project captures the cultural legacy of early meme history and brings it onto the blockchain in tokenized form. It is designed as a community-driven digital asset that celebrates internet culture, nostalgia, and the role memes play in shaping online communities.

Rage Guy

The RAGE community is driving momentum by emphasizing its status as an original, culturally significant meme from the early 2000s, contrasting itself against newer, 'forced' alternatives. Supporters are actively engaging by using restored comic-making tools to generate content while maintaining a high-conviction, grassroots approach to building the project.

Pyth Network is a decentralised oracle network designed to provide real-time financial market data to decentralised applications (dApps) across multiple blockchains. It allows developer to secure smart contracts with reliable, low-latency market data from institutional sources, and build apps with high-fidelity oracle feeds designed for mission-critical systems.

Pyth Network

Pyth Network is trending as investors highlight its role as critical decentralized infrastructure, citing its institutional-grade data partnerships, U.S. government validation, and a revenue-sharing model that includes regular token buybacks. Community discourse heavily centers on the project's utility within the Real World Asset (RWA) sector and its potential to capture significant market share as demand for reliable, high-speed on-chain financial data grows.

Devon Energy Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties. It develops and operates Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, Heavy Oil, Barnett Shale, STACK, and Rockies Oil. The company was founded by J. Larry Nichols and John W. Nichols in 1971 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, OK.

Devon Energy Corp.

Devon Energy is currently the focus of investor speculation surrounding a potential acquisition, as the market looks for consolidation in the U.S. shale sector. Traders are closely monitoring the stock's consolidation patterns while weighing bullish sentiment on long-term data center energy demand against persistent headwinds from oil price volatility.

Under Armour, Inc. engages in the development, marketing, and distribution of branded performance apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and youth. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America, EMEA, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and Other. The company was founded by Kevin A. Plank in 1996 and is headquartered in Baltimore, MD.

Under Armour Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Under Armour Inc Class A

Under Armour is trending as investors react to high short interest, significant insider accumulation by entities like Fairfax Financial, and ongoing speculation regarding a potential buyout or privatization. The community is actively debating the company's turnaround prospects, management's effectiveness, and whether the stock's current valuation represents a deep value opportunity or a long-term trap.

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>EONR led losses, down 6%, followed by BATL at 3%, while USO and TPET slipped 0.5%; INDO was the only gainer, rising 0.5%.</li><li>Brent crude eased toward $107, and WTI traded near $94, retreating from recent highs after signals of restraint from the U.S. and Israel and potential Iranian supply relief.</li><li>Analysts and economists said supply risks remain despite the pullback, with inflation pressures and rising recession concerns still in focus.</li></ul>Oil stocks fell in premarket trading on Friday as crude prices pulled back on easing Middle East tensions and potential supply relief, with JPMorgan warning that sustained high prices could still hit demand and earnings.Shares of&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/EONR">EON Resources (EONR)</a> fell 6%, followed by&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BATL">Battalion Oil (BATL)</a>, which is down 3%. The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/USO">United States Oil Fund (USO)</a> slipped 0.5%, while&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TPET">Trio Petroleum (TPET)</a> also declined 0.5%.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/INDO">Indonesia Energy (INDO)</a> bucked the trend, rising 0.5%.Brent crude slipped toward $107 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate traded near $94, easing from recent highs.<h2 class="st-heading-2">JPMorgan Warns Of Demand Hit At $110 Oil</h2>JPMorgan said markets may be underestimating the risk of a “negative transmission mechanism” from elevated oil prices, where prolonged disruptions weigh on GDP, demand and corporate revenues. The bank said if crude holds near $110, S&amp;P 500 earnings estimates could fall by 2% to 5%, adding that investors are assigning “a low probability” to a demand hit by assuming a quick resolution and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, Investing&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://in.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/jpmorgan-cuts-sp-500-target-flags-oil-shock-and-complacency-5298616">noted</a>.The warning comes as crude oil pulled back after U.S. and Israeli leaders signaled restraint following attacks on energy infrastructure. U.S. President Donald Trump said he is “not putting troops anywhere,” while Israel indicated it would refrain from further strikes on Iranian energy assets. European nations, Japan and Canada also signaled efforts to ensure safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.Oil faced additional pressure after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the U.S. could lift sanctions on Iranian oil already at sea, raising prospects of added supply.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Analysts Warn Supply Shock Still In Play</h2>Analysts said the decline in crude does little to resolve underlying tightness. Saxo Bank’s Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/Ole_S_Hansen/status/2034881993066823806">warned on X</a> that “only a ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz are likely to prevent another tight supply-driven rally.” Hansen also said policy signals, including confirmation the U.S. is not considering an export ban, have helped narrow the WTI-Brent discount, though prices remain highly sensitive to developments around Hormuz.Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs said attacks on energy assets pose “significant risks for not just near-term oil exports from the region, but longer-term oil production capacity.”Swissquote strategist Ipek Ozkardeskaya said rising energy prices are pushing inflation higher while weighing on growth, adding that rate hikes are “only partially effective” in addressing supply-driven shocks.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Economists Flag Rising Recession Risks From Oil</h2>Economists echoed similar concerns on the macro outlook. A Wall Street Journal&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.wsj.com/economy/economist-survey-inflation-unemployment-3c3003b7">survey</a> showed expectations for higher inflation, with the impact on growth dependent on how long the oil shock persists. Some estimates suggest sustained elevated prices could significantly raise recession risks.Bernard Baumohl of the Economic Outlook Group said the U.S. economy has remained resilient but warned that “surging oil prices” and geopolitical tensions should not be taken lightly.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did Stocktwits Users React?</h2>On Stocktwits, retail sentiment was largely ‘bearish’ across stocks and ETFs including USO, TPET and BATL, with message volume remaining ‘low’ to ‘high’ across the group. INDO saw ‘neutral’ sentiment with ‘low’ activity, while EONR stood out with ‘extremely bullish’ sentiment accompanied by ‘extremely high’ message volume.Over the past year, BATL surged over 1,000%, EONR doubled, USO gained 62% and INDO rose 48%, while TPET declined 23%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A person fishes with offshore oil and gas platform Esther in the distance on January 5, 2025 in Seal Beach, California.

Energy Stocks Slide Premarket As Oil Retreats From Highs — JPMorgan Warns $110 Oil Could Slam S&P 500 Earnings

Oil stocks declined in premarket trading as crude prices pulled back on easing Middle East tensions and prospects of additional supply.

Equity

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>&nbsp;Escalating Middle East tensions sent oil and gas prices sharply higher.</li><li>LNG stocks surged on supply disruption fears, while AI and chip names saw weak investor sentiment.</li><li>Traders will monitor jobless claims, housing data, and a fresh wave of earnings for direction.</li></ul>U.S. stock futures edged lower early Thursday amid escalating military conflict in the Middle East. Global markets were shaken by Iranian and Israeli attacks on key gas hubs, including a damaged LNG export facility in Qatar. Following these strikes on Middle East energy assets, President Donald Trump urged for a de-escalation of the conflict.Brent crude prices surged to $115 per barrel, with energy stocks such as&nbsp;Battalion Oil (BATL) and Trio Petroleum (TPET) rising over 7%, while Indonesia Energy (INDO) and EON Resources (EONR) each rose 2%.&nbsp;Gas prices were also sharply higher, with U.S. LNG stocks such as NEXT and VG rising 4%. As of 4:00 a.m. ET on Thursday, S&amp;P and Dow futures fell 0.1% each, and Nasdaq futures and Russell 2000 futures were down 0.3%.Retail sentiment toward the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY)</a>, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S&amp;P 500 Index, remained ‘extremely bearish, and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)</a> ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, has remained ‘bearish’ amid high trading volume.&nbsp;Trending Stocks To Watch Micron Technology (MU):&nbsp;Stock fell 5% in early pre-market trade despite strong results due to high capital expenditure concerns. The chipmaker&nbsp;expects construction related capex to increase by over $10B in FY27.Tesla (TSLA): Elon Musk confirmed that the newly merged SpaceX AI and Tesla will continue high-volume Nvidia chip orders, even as the EV maker prepares its in-house "AI5" chip for Optimus and Robotaxis.Red Cat Holdings (RCAT):&nbsp;The stock slid another 7% in early trade on Thursday on an earnings miss, despite citing global drone demand as a long-term tailwind.SoFi Technologies (SOFI): Stock remained under pressure following scrutiny tied to a short seller report.Align Technology (ALGN):&nbsp;Stock rose 4% premarket after activist firm Elliott Investment Management reportedly built a significant stake in the company.&nbsp;Figma (FIG):&nbsp;Stock was under mild pressure in early pre-market trade after Google’s AI tool, Stitch, introduced advanced design capabilities.Other tickers trending on&nbsp;Stocktwits&nbsp;at the time of writing included Intuitive Machines Inc (LUNR), Sandisk Corp (SNDK), and Swarmer Inc (SWMR).&nbsp;Other Catalysts To WatchOn the economic front, investors will be tracking&nbsp;the latest weekly jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index and&nbsp;new home sales data.&nbsp;On earnings radar, watch out for quarterly reports from Carnival Cruises (CCL), Lithium Americas (LAC), Bit Digital (BTBT), Sellas Life Sciences (SLS),&nbsp; Firefly Aerospace (FLY), and Gemini Space Station (GEMI), among others.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Slip, LNG Strikes Rattle Energy Markets: Why MU, TSLA, BATL, SOFI, ALGN Are Keeping Traders Engaged Today

Data from Stocktwits indicated that retail sentiment remains bearish on SPY and QQQ. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Brent crude jumped as much as 7% to above $115 a barrel, WTI hovered near $97, and European natural gas surged up to 35%.</li><li>Saudi Arabia warned of potential military retaliation after missile attacks, while Iran vowed further strikes on oil and gas infrastructure.</li><li>Markets point to rising volatility, with short interest in USO up sharply, even as analysts warn physical supply shortages are outpacing market pricing.</li></ul>Oil stocks surged in premarket trading on Thursday after crude prices spiked on fresh attacks targeting key Middle East energy infrastructure, deepening fears of a prolonged global supply shock.Shares of Battalion Oil (BATL) climbed 8%, Trio Petroleum (TPET) added 7%, while ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF (BOIL), Indonesia Energy (INDO) and EON Resources (EONR) each rose 2%. In contrast, United States Oil Fund (USO) fell 2%.Brent crude jumped as much as 7% to top $115 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate traded near $97. European natural gas prices surged as much as 35%.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Oil Surges As Gulf Energy Sites Come Under Attack</h2>The oil rally follows a sharp escalation in the Middle East, with Iran targeting key energy facilities after earlier strikes on its South Pars gas field. Missile attacks hit a major LNG site in Qatar, causing “extensive damage,” while additional strikes impacted petrochemical assets in Iran and forced gas operations in Abu Dhabi to halt after debris from intercepted missiles fell on facilities.Saudi Arabia signaled potential military retaliation after being targeted by Iranian ballistic missiles, with Foreign Minister Prince Faisal bin Farhan saying trust with Tehran has been shattered and that the kingdom “reserves the right to take military actions if deemed necessary.”Iran has vowed further strikes on oil and gas infrastructure across the Gulf, as the conflict disrupts shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and cuts regional output, pushing oil up about 50% since the war began and widening the Brent-WTI gap to around $17.<h2 class="st-heading-2">‘Acute Tightness’: Analysts Warn Of Supply Crunch</h2>Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank,&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/Ole_S_Hansen/status/2034527173537673414">said on X</a> that the latest escalation has “direct implications for global energy supply,” highlighting “acute tightness” in the market.He added that West Texas Intermediate continues to trade below $100, with the discount to Brent widening to around $16.5, reflecting “regional dislocations” as well as rising speculation that the U.S. may consider measures such as an export ban or other interventions to curb domestic fuel prices.The impact is spreading across fuel markets, with natural gas prices in Europe and Asia extending gains after damage to LNG infrastructure. Patrick De Haan, petroleum analyst at GasBuddy,&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2034448630967411174">said on X</a> that diesel prices are rising at a pace exceeding previous cycles. “The current surge is now outpacing 2022 on a sustained basis,” he said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Bearish Bets Rise Despite Oil Rally</h2>Market positioning is also pointing to heightened volatility. The Kobeissi Letter&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2034356715806720396">said on X</a> that short interest in U.S. oil funds has surged even as prices rise, with bearish bets on the USO increasing about 50% over the past month.“This means traders are increasingly betting against rising oil prices, even as the rally continues,” the note said, warning it creates “a setup that often leads to extreme volatility.”<h2 class="st-heading-2">Physical Oil Shortages Outpace Market Pricing</h2>Jeff Currie, chief strategy officer at Carlyle Energy Pathways, said current oil prices may not fully reflect real-world supply constraints. “The paper markets… they’ve entirely disconnected from the physical markets,” Currie said, noting crude delivered into Asia has traded between $130 and $170 per barrel.He called the situation a “molecular contagion,” with shortages spreading across global supply chains. “You can’t print molecules,” Currie said, emphasizing that financial tools cannot resolve physical supply disruptions. He added that the current supply shock is comparable to the demand shock seen during the pandemic.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did Stocktwits Users React?</h2>On Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward BOIL, USO, INDO, TPET, and BATL was ‘bearish’, with message volume ranging from ‘normal’ and ‘high’ to ‘low’. In contrast, sentiment toward EONR was ‘extremely bullish’ amid ‘extremely high’ message volume.So far this year, BOIL is down 78% and TPET has fallen 20%, while USO has gained 68%, INDO is up 51%, BATL has surged 900% and EONR is up over 100%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

On Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward BOIL, USO, INDO, TPET, and BATL was ‘bearish.’ (Photo credit: Getty Images)

BATL, TPET Stocks Surge Pre-Market, Oil Breaks $115 On Gulf Attacks: Analysts Flag Real Supply Shock As Shorts Pile In

The rally was driven by escalating attacks on energy facilities across the Gulf, including damage in Qatar, Iran and Abu Dhabi.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Iraq’s move to resume exports via Turkey, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, eased immediate supply fears.</li><li>However, U.S. strikes near Hormuz and Iran’s retaliation threats continue to cloud the outlook.</li><li>Analysts said oil is likely to stay above $100 in the near term, warning that supply disruptions could evolve into longer-lasting shortages.</li></ul>Oil stocks fell in premarket trading on Wednesday, tracking a pullback in crude prices after a fresh geopolitical twist eased some immediate supply fears even as broader risks remained elevated.Shares of&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/USO">United States Oil Fund (USO)</a> slipped 2%,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/INDO">Indonesia Energy (INDO)</a> fell 6%,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BATL">Battalion Oil (BATL)</a> plunged 21%,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TPET">Trio Petroleum (TPET)</a> shed 16% and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/EONR">EON Resources (EONR)</a> lost declined 18% in premarket trading after crude retreated, with Brent slipping below $101 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate hovering near $92.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Oil Slips As Iraq Bypasses Strait Of Hormuz</h2>The drop in oil came after Iraq signed an agreement with Kurdistan to resume exports via a pipeline to Turkey’s Mediterranean port of Ceyhan, creating a route that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz, a key global chokepoint.The restart of Iraqi flows through Turkey offered partial relief to markets rattled by disruptions in the Gulf. At the same time, the U.S. intensified efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, saying it had struck Iranian anti-ship missile sites near the waterway.The moves come amid escalating tensions in the region following Iran’s confirmation of the death of Ali Larijani, the country’s security chief, which triggered threats of retaliation and added uncertainty to global energy markets. Meanwhile, Iraq’s output has fallen to about 1.4 million barrels per day, roughly a third of pre-disruption levels.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Analysts See Oil Holding Above $100</h2>Despite the near-term pullback, analysts say the broader trend for oil prices remains firmly supported by geopolitical risks. OCBC said crude is likely to stay above $100 per barrel in the near term, citing little de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict and continued constraints on flows through the Strait of Hormuz, Investing&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/oil-prices-to-remain-above-100bbl-amid-little-iran-deescalation-ocbc-4567385">noted</a>.The firm expects Brent to average around $100 through mid-2026, higher than earlier forecasts near $70, before easing toward $70 by early 2027 as disruptions gradually unwind. “Persistent shipping paralysis is forcing Gulf producers into output shut-ins, raising the risk that temporary disruptions evolve into longer-lasting supply losses,” OCBC said. Even with mitigating measures such as alternative pipelines and strategic reserve releases, the bank warned that markets could still face a sizable supply gap if disruptions persist.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Rising Fuel Costs Add To Inflation Concerns</h2>Phillip Nova said crude markets are being driven by “headline-driven volatility, steep intraday fluctuations, and a foundation of disrupted supplies,” as well as bottlenecks across key export routes. The brokerage added that intermittent loading delays at Gulf terminals could further tighten near-term availability, keeping prices sensitive to geopolitical developments.The broader impact of higher energy prices is already feeding into inflation concerns. U.S. diesel prices have surged past $5 per gallon, raising transportation and supply chain costs that central banks will likely track. Federal Reserve officials are set to meet on Wednesday to decide on interest rates, with no immediate change expected.Economist Robin Brooks&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/robin_j_brooks/status/2033889456336363626">said on X</a> that the current price shock has pushed Brent roughly 42% higher compared to pre-war levels, though he noted markets are not yet pricing in panic scenarios seen in past crises.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did Stocktwits Users React?</h2>On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for USO and INDO was ‘bullish’, with message volume ‘high’ for USO and ‘low’ for INDO, while BATL and TPET saw ‘bearish’ sentiment amid ‘low’ message volume. EONR stood out with ‘extremely bullish’ sentiment on ‘extremely high’ message volume.Over the past year, USO is up 63%, INDO rose 41%, BATL has surged 860% and EONR has gained 111%, while TPET is down 28%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Oil Stocks Slide Premarket After Iraq Bypasses Hormuz — But Analysts Say $100 Crude Is Here To Stay

Rising fuel costs, with U.S. diesel above $5 per gallon, are adding to inflation concerns ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting on Wednesday.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Brent rose past $103, and WTI neared $97 as attacks on infrastructure and Hormuz shipping bottlenecks tightened supply.</li><li>Analysts said higher oil prices reinforce a “higher for longer” Fed outlook, lifting inflation risks and delaying rate cuts.</li><li>Moody’s economist Mark Zandi warned rising oil could push recession odds higher, though Morningstar still sees limited long-term upside.</li></ul>Oil climbed back above $100, but most energy stocks traded lower before the bell on Tuesday, highlighting a mixed reaction across the sector as analysts flagged renewed risks to inflation and the Federal Reserve’s policy path.The move follows a rebound in crude prices after a brief pullback, with Brent climbing above $103 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate trading near $97 per barrel.Shares of Trio Petroleum (TPET) were down nearly 1%, Indonesia Energy (INDO) slipped 0.3%, and EON Resources (EONR) fell about 5%, while United States Oil Fund (USO) bucked the trend, jumping over 5%.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Oil Gains On Shipping Disruptions</h2>Oil rebounded in recent sessions as Iran continued attacks on energy infrastructure, with operations halted at the UAE’s Shah gas field, an Iraqi oil site hit, and crude loadings from Fujairah disrupted again. The conflict, now in its third week, has pushed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz close to a standstill, tightening global supply and impacting Asian demand.Brent climbed back above $103 after a brief drop, while WTI hovered near $97. The U.S. signaled it could expand strikes on Iranian oil assets, even as it continues to allow some crude flows through Hormuz. Meanwhile, the UAE and Kuwait have cut output, and Saudi Arabia is ramping up alternative export routes, underscoring the growing strain on supply chains.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Crude Rally Clouds Fed Rate Cut Outlook</h2>Analysts said the oil spike is feeding directly into the macro narrative around interest rates. Research firm StoneX said the surge in oil prices reinforces a “higher for longer” outlook for the Federal Reserve, adding that the longer the Strait of Hormuz stays technically hostile, the greater the chance that oil prices stay higher for longer, Dow Jones noted.He noted that such a scenario could delay rate cuts and keep the U.S. dollar supported as markets reassess the Fed’s policy trajectory.&nbsp;Meanwhile, Phillip Nova said oil holding near $100 per barrel is already feeding into inflation, pointing to U.S. diesel prices crossing $5 per gallon. “The burn from elevated oil prices is being felt,” she said, adding that even emergency reserve releases have failed to ease supply disruptions. The brokerage added that the war-driven risk premium in oil remains intact, with markets now focused on the duration of the conflict and the extent of damage to energy infrastructure.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Recession Warning Gets Louder</h2>Moody’s economist Mark Zandi&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/Markzandi/status/2033597296563167659">warned on X</a> that the surge in oil prices could push the economy closer to a downturn. He said recession probability was already near 49% before the conflict and could rise further, noting that “every recession since WWII, save the pandemic recession, has been preceded by a spike in oil prices.”Zandi added that if oil remains elevated for weeks rather than months, “a recession will be difficult to avoid,” as higher energy costs hit consumers quickly.However, not all analysts see sustained upside. Morningstar maintained its $65 per barrel mid-cycle forecast for Brent, assigning a low probability of raising it from the possible destruction of Iran's oil infrastructure. However, the firm acknowledged that prolonged supply bottlenecks could trigger demand destruction and broader economic stress. It said U.S. shale producers, Canadian crude and refiners could benefit, while companies with Middle East exposure may face headwinds.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did Stocktwits Users React?</h2>On Stocktwits, sentiment was ‘bullish’ for USO amid ‘extremely high’ volume and INDO amid ‘low’ volume, while TPET saw ‘bearish’ sentiment amid ‘normal’ activity and BATL remained ‘bearish’ amid ‘low’ volume. EONR stood out with ‘extremely bullish’ sentiment amid ‘extremely high’ message volume.Over the past year, USO has risen 59%, INDO gained 61%, BATL surged over 1,200% and EONR climbed 200%, while TPET declined 8%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The Brent crude oil price chart is displayed on a smartphone screen placed on a reflective surface onto which an Iranian flag is projected. (Photo by Samuel Boivin/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Crude Oil Rally Fails To Lift Energy Stocks: Analysts Warn Oil Spike Could Delay Rate Cuts, Lift Recession Odds

USO bucked the trend with gains in premarket trading even as most oil stocks slipped despite oil climbing above $100.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Brent jumped nearly 2% and WTI rose 1.6% after U.S. strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island raised fears of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.</li><li>Institutional oil bets have surged, with hedge fund Brent long positions reaching their highest since February 2020.</li><li>Fuel costs are already rising, with GasBuddy’s Patrick De Haan saying Americans are spending $300 million more on gasoline than a month ago.</li></ul>Oil stocks jumped in overnight trading on Sunday as crude climbed above $100 a barrel&nbsp;yet again, hedge funds piled into bullish oil bets, and analysts warned that Americans are already spending $300 million more on gasoline than a month ago.Shares of&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/INDO">Indonesia Energy (INDO)</a> rose about 2%,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BATL">Battalion Oil (BATL)</a> climbed roughly 6%, while&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TPET">Trio Petroleum (TPET)</a> and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/EONR">EON Resources (EONR)</a> each gained around 3% in overnight trading. Meanwhile, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/USO">United States Oil Fund (USO)</a> rose slightly.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Brent, WTI Rise On Iran Tensions</h2>Oil prices jumped as escalating tensions in the Middle East raised fears of further supply disruptions. Brent crude futures jumped nearly 2% to $105.15 a barrel after settling $2.68 higher on Friday, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.6% to $100.32 a barrel after gaining nearly $3 in the previous session.The rally comes after U.S. strikes late last week on Iran’s key export hub at Kharg Island heightened fears of further supply disruptions heading into Monday’s trading, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route that carries about 20% of the world’s oil.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Hedge Funds Ramp Up Bullish Oil Bets</h2>Institutional positioning in crude has surged. The Kobeissi Letter&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2033240134116622472">said on X</a> that hedge fund long positions in Brent crude futures jumped 65,438 contracts to 351,032 in the week ending March 10, the highest level since February 2020.The Kobeissi Letter said long positioning has surged 966% since December, the largest increase in at least six years. Bullish bets on WTI crude have also climbed to an eight-month high, based on data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.Commodity trading advisors, or algorithm-driven funds, are now 100% long in both WTI and Brent, the Kobeissi Letter said. “This is the first time this has occurred in U.S. crude oil since September 2021, when the position lasted 26 trading sessions.”<h2 class="st-heading-2">Goldman Sachs Flags Drop In Hormuz Oil Flows</h2>Goldman Sachs said oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have plunged as the conflict disrupts tanker traffic. The bank estimates flows have fallen to about 0.5 million barrels per day, down from roughly 19.5 million barrels per day normally moving through the waterway, according to an Investing.com&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://in.investing.com/news/analyst-ratings/goldman-sachs-says-oil-flows-through-strait-of-hormuz-down-sharply-93CH-5290737">report</a>.&nbsp;After accounting for pipeline redirection, Goldman Sachs estimates that about 17.2 million barrels per day of Persian Gulf oil flows are currently disrupted. The bank also outlined several potential paths that could increase flows through the strait, including Iran allowing safe passage for certain shipments, a broader de-escalation of the conflict, or stronger naval protection for tankers.However, Goldman Sachs warned that risks to its base-case assumption of a gradual 30-day recovery beginning March 21 are skewed toward delays.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Fuel Spending Surges Amid Oil Rally</h2>Patrick De Haan, petroleum analyst at GasBuddy,&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2033291928159097243">said on X</a> that the oil rally is already pushing up fuel costs. “Americans today will spend $300 million more on gasoline than they did 30 days ago.”&nbsp;The national average gasoline price stands at $3.68 per gallon,&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2033328046875312338">higher</a> than about 78% of days between January 2021 and January 2025, according to De Haan. GasBuddy data also show&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2033180282556416428">45 of 50 U.S. states</a> have seen diesel prices climb by more than $1 per gallon in the past four weeks.De Haan&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2033311564820885565">noted</a> that prices were sagging slightly&nbsp;on Sunday due to normal price cycles, which is often why Sundays are a better time to fill up. However, he warned that “price cycling states have [a] high chance of seeing hikes tomorrow.”De Haan&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2033188779616354488">said</a> the third week of the conflict could deliver a $5 national average for diesel, while gasoline prices will move closer to $4 per gallon.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did Stocktwits Users React?</h2>On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for USO and EONR was ‘extremely bullish’ amid ‘extremely high’ message volume. Sentiment for INDO was ‘bullish’ with ‘normal’ message volume, while BATL and TPET saw ‘neutral’ sentiment, with message volume ‘low’ for BATL and ‘high’ for TPET.So far this year, BATL has surged over 1,500%, EONR has climbed nearly 300%, TPET is up 91%, USO has gained 73%, and INDO has risen 57%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A MarineTraffic map showing ship movements in the Strait of Hormuz. Taken in Brussels, Belgium, on March 15, 2026. (Photo by Jonathan Raa/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

 Oil Tops $100 Again As US Strikes On Kharg Island Disrupt Hormuz Flows: Hedge Funds Go All-In On Crude

Goldman Sachs estimates that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz have collapsed by 97%.

USO, INDO, BATL, TPET, EONR Rise As Oil Tops $100 Again: Hedge Funds Get Bullish On Crude 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Krugman also said that although oil prices have surged since the conflict escalated, current levels are well below what would trigger a global economic crisis.</li><li>However, if the disruption continues for months, the loss of Gulf oil could surpass the supply shocks seen in 1973, 1979 and in 2022, he added.</li><li>Goldman Sachs expects Brent crude to average above $100 per barrel in March and around $85 in April.</li></ul>The short-term economic fallout from a major disruption in Gulf oil supply could be “very ugly,” economist Paul Krugman warned, as tensions in the Middle East threaten one of the world’s most crucial energy supply routes. He added that crude prices could surge well beyond $150 a barrel if the Iran conflict becomes a “long war.”In a Substack post on Friday, Krugman said the global economy’s resilience to oil shocks could paradoxically push crude prices much higher, as current levels may not yet be painful enough to significantly curb demand.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Why The Economy May Handle Oil Shocks Better Today</h2>Krugman argues that although oil prices have surged since the Middle East conflict escalated, they are still well below levels that would trigger a global economic crisis. He noted that modern economies are far less dependent on oil than they were during the 1970s energy crisis, meaning prices around $100 per barrel may not be enough to significantly reduce consumption.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Strait Of Hormuz Is The Key Risk</h2>However, the supply outlook is more troubling, he added. About 20% of the world’s oil supply moves through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital chokepoint that has effectively been closed since the U.S.–Israel–Iran conflict began on February 28.If the disruption continues for months, the resulting loss of Gulf oil could surpass the supply shocks seen during the 1973 oil embargo, the 1979 Iranian revolution, and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine war. In that scenario, oil prices would have to rise high enough to curb demand, forcing drivers, airlines, and freight operators to significantly reduce fuel consumption. Such a shift would likely occur only if prices rose to levels that put serious pressure on the global economy.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Goldman Sachs Expects Brent To Average $100 Per Barrel</h2>Wall Street is already bracing for increased prices. Goldman Sachs expects Brent crude to average above $100 per barrel in March and around $85 in April, though prices could climb further if supply disruptions persist. The brokerage also estimates that a two-month closure of the Strait of Hormuz could lift its fourth-quarter (Q4) Brent forecast from $71 to roughly $93 per barrel.Brent crude futures for May 2026 deliveries were down around 1% at $99.6 per barrel, while the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude contracts expiring in May 2026 were down 1.4% at $93.1 a barrel at the time of writing.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/USO">United States Oil Fund (USO)</a> traded 2.6% lower in pre-market&nbsp;on Friday, while retail favorites <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TPET">Trio Petroleum (TPET)</a> and <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BATL">Battalion Oil Corp.</a> (BATL) fell 8% and 5.3%, respectively.&nbsp;Read also: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/why-ibrx-rising-today-nk-cell-therapy-update/cZdDfe3RIas">IBRX Stock Rises 3% Pre-Market: ImmunityBio Reports Breakthrough In NK Cell Therapy Production</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Paul Krugman Warns Prolonged Gulf Oil Disruption Could Get ‘Very Ugly’ For Global Economy

The economist said that projections of oil rising to $150 per barrel are low if the Middle East war drags on.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Crude prices spiked sharply, with Brent rising as much as 7.9% toward $100 and West Texas Intermediate nearing $94.</li><li>Shipping disruptions and production cuts across Gulf producers have removed roughly 6% of global oil supply.</li><li>GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan cautioned that the oil spike could push diesel toward $5 and gasoline toward $4.</li></ul>Oil stocks jumped in extended trading on Thursday as crude prices surged toward $100 a barrel, with analysts warning that even a massive release from U.S. emergency reserves may not be enough to offset disruptions tied to the Strait of Hormuz.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/USO">United States Oil Fund (USO)</a> rose about 5% in after-hours trading, while&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TPET">Trio Petroleum (TPET)</a> jumped roughly 14%,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/INDO">Indonesia Energy (INDO)</a> gained around 6%, and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BATL">Battalion Oil (BATL)</a> climbed about 10%.Brent crude rallied toward $100 a barrel, jumping as much as 7.9%, while West Texas Intermediate climbed near $94.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Hormuz Disruption Fuels Oil Spike</h2>Oil markets have been shaken by escalating risks across the Middle East, including attacks on ships near Iraqi ports and a near halt in traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a key global oil chokepoint that normally handles about 20% of the world’s seaborne crude. The disruptions have forced major Gulf producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the UAE to cut output, removing roughly 6% of global oil supply so far.The supply shock has overshadowed governments' efforts to stabilize the market. The International Energy Agency on Wednesday agreed to release 400 million barrels from emergency reserves, the largest coordinated drawdown in its history. The U.S. plans to contribute&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/us-announces-172m-barrels-of-oil-release-from-strategic-petroleum-reserve-amid-iran-war-crisis/cZdrWAwRIB3">172 million</a> barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, with shipments expected to begin next week.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Analysts Warn Stockpile Releases May Fall Short</h2>Despite the unprecedented reserve releases, analysts say the move may not be enough to offset disruptions in global supply. Patrick De Haan, petroleum analyst at GasBuddy, warned that the surge in crude could quickly translate into higher fuel prices.“Oil surging 8% after hours now pushes $5 diesel as more likely and $4/gal gasoline gaining steam,” De Haan&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2031882259037360592">said on X</a>, adding that “172 million barrel SPR release highlights the degree of the situation… finite releases still don’t replace Strait of Hormuz.”&nbsp;De Haan also&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2031740560193519637">noted</a> that the pace of oil releases matters more than the size of emergency stockpiles. “When millions of barrels of oil are interrupted daily, it’s not the size of the release, but the rate of release that matters,” he said. “RELEASE RATE MATTERS!”Meanwhile, Jeff Currie, chief strategy officer at Carlyle Energy Pathways, said the conflict has already triggered widespread disruptions across global commodity supply chains. “You’ve disrupted global supply chains. This is not just oil, it’s gas, fertilizers, metals, petrochemicals,” Currie told&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmT20Zji0JM&amp;t=1s">Bloomberg</a>.He added that even large emergency releases may struggle to offset the scale of potential supply losses. “There is no policy response that can stop this ascent in crude, none,” he said, noting that reserve releases may add about 2 million barrels per day, while supply disruptions could reach around 18 million barrels per day.On the other hand, ANZ Research said geopolitical pressure on Iran has intensified, with U.S. President Donald Trump warning that the country could strike additional targets if necessary. Expectations that additional Russian oil could return to the market have also been “squashed,” ANZ said, pointing to the European Union’s push to continue enforcing price caps on Russian crude, The Wall Street Journal&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/commodities-futures/oil-futures-rise-amid-ongoing-middle-east-conflict-a699663b">noted</a>.<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did Stocktwits Users React?</h2>On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for USO, TPET and INDO stayed ‘extremely bullish’ amid ‘extremely high’ message volume, while INDO’s sentiment slipped to the ‘bullish’ zone from ‘extremely bullish’ territory over the past week amid a 24% decline in 24-hour message volume.&nbsp;One user&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/inspector_gadget86/message/647299228">said</a>, “IEA decision also signals how acute the oil shortage risk is.”<stembedurl>https://stocktwits.com/inspector_gadget86/message/647299228</stembedurl>Another user&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/SkipperBullDolphin/message/647297763">said</a>, “20% of the world's oil travels through the Strait. No end in sight for the war. Iran not accepting goats as an apology. Yeah we’re going to $150.”<stembedurl>https://stocktwits.com/SkipperBullDolphin/message/647297763</stembedurl>So far this year, USO is up about 56%, TPET has gained roughly 86%, INDO has climbed around 62%, while BATL has surged more than 1,620%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

USO, TPET, INDO, BATL Rally As Oil Surges — Analysts Warn Strategic Reserve Release Can’t Replace Hormuz Supply

Carlyle’s Jeff Currie said reserve flows may add only about 2 million barrels per day, compared with disruptions of nearly 18 million barrels per day.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>BATL dropped about 16%, TPET slid roughly 12%, and the USO ETF declined more than 4% on Monday.</li><li>Economist Peter Schiff said the reversal was largely driven by profit-taking tied to talk of reserve releases and Trump’s comments.</li><li>GasBuddy analyst Patrick De Haan said U.S. diesel prices have climbed to about $4.73 per gallon and gasoline to roughly $3.53 per gallon.</li></ul>Oil stocks pulled back on Monday after crude prices staged a dramatic reversal when U.S. President Donald Trump said the Iran war could end soon, triggering one of the most volatile trading sessions in oil markets in years.Shares of&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BATL">Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL)</a> fell about 16%, while&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TPET">Trio Petroleum (TPET)</a> declined roughly 12% on Monday. The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/USO">United States Oil Fund (USO) ETF</a> also dropped more than 4% during the session.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Oil’s Wild Reversal Jolts Energy Markets</h2>Oil prices plunged after Trump said the Iran war could end “pretty quickly,” adding that the U.S. may waive oil sanctions and deploy naval escorts for tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global crude shipments.The remarks triggered a sharp reversal after both Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate crude had surged on fears the conflict could disrupt oil flows through the chokepoint. Global benchmark Brent swung in an intraday range of about $36, the widest since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, as traders also weighed the possibility of major economies releasing oil from strategic reserves.The volatility comes as the two-week conflict continues to disrupt energy markets and push U.S. gasoline prices to their highest level since August 2024.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Analysts Say Pullback Is Profit-Taking</h2>Despite the sudden reversal, some analysts argued that the broader oil rally may still have room to run. Economist Peter Schiff&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/2031102395636134267">said on X</a> that crude reversed sharply from overnight highs after traders reacted first to talk of a coordinated release from strategic petroleum reserves and then to Trump’s comments suggesting the war could end soon.“These stories drove profit-taking, but the trend is still up,” Schiff said.&nbsp;Former JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/markoinny/status/2031192295672811526">noted on X</a> that much of the selling appeared driven by systematic trading strategies hitting stop-loss levels after the rapid rally. He said the oil trend remains positive and that commodity trading advisors could re-establish long positions if geopolitical risks persist.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Fuel Price Outlook Begins To Shift</h2>Patrick De Haan, a petroleum analyst at GasBuddy,&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2031196367666786462">said on X</a> that the U.S. national average diesel price has climbed to about $4.73 per gallon, while&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GasBuddyGuy/status/2031195919039836562">gasoline averages</a> roughly $3.53 per gallon.However, if crude continues to trade below the recent spike levels, gasoline prices could stabilize or even start easing by the end of the week, De Haan said. He added that earlier fears of “the probability of the national average reaching $4 per gallon within the next month appeared increasingly likely, but if oil prices continue to struggle below the overnight highs.”<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did Stocktwits Users React?</h2>On Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward USO and BATL was ‘bullish,’ while sentiment toward TPET was ‘extremely bullish,’ with all three stocks seeing ‘extremely high’ message volumes.One user&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/maxamillion001/message/647075317">said</a>, “Nothing has changed. Trump managed to shift sentiment but oil production hasn’t increased again and still no tankers pass through the strait. Few more days of this and Oil is back to 110+ again.”<stembedurl>https://stocktwits.com/maxamillion001/message/647075317</stembedurl>Another user&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/SexyStockSlayer/message/647074519">said</a>, “Its all a gamble at this point. No one knows what will happen, if the strait closes, moon, if USA controls it then dump.”<stembedurl>https://stocktwits.com/SexyStockSlayer/message/647074519</stembedurl>So far this year, BATL has skyrocketed 1,560%, TPET has climbed 114%, and USO has gained 51%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A crane ship helps other vessels searching for oil and natural gas near the oil platform offshore the Red Sea in Ras Behar region, Egypt.

USO, BATL, TPET Tumble As Oil Sees Wild Reversal After Trump Signals Iran War May End — Analysts Say Rally May Not Be Over

Crude whipsawed as Brent and WTI surged on supply fears before reversing after Trump’s remarks and talk of strategic reserve releases.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>While Aramco has redirected some crude shipments to Yanbu on the Red Sea via an alternative pipeline, the route lacks Hormuz’s capacity.</li><li>Israel reportedly struck energy infrastructure in Tehran over the weekend, damaging four oil storage sites and oil production transfer centres.</li><li>The United States Oil Fund (USO) gained 12% in pre-market to its highest levels since October 2018.</li></ul>Saudi Arabia has reportedly started cutting oil production, following similar actions by the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Iraq, as the conflict in the Middle East shows no sign of a slowdown, leading to surging oil prices.The Strait of Hormuz, which carries roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil supply, has been shut to maritime traffic after Iran threatened vessels passing through the region. The disruption has caused export bottlenecks, forcing major producers to reduce output as storage tanks begin to fill.According to a Bloomberg report on Monday, Saudi state oil giant Aramco has redirected some crude shipments to Yanbu on the Red Sea via an alternative pipeline. However, the route lacks enough capacity to replace volumes normally exported through the Strait of Hormuz. Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest oil exporter, produces about 10 million barrels daily and exports roughly seven million barrels.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Conflict Hits Major Energy Infrastructures</h2>Reports indicated that Israel struck energy infrastructure in Tehran over the weekend, damaging four oil storage sites and oil production transfer centres. Meanwhile, Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) was reported to have targeted a commercial tanker in the Gulf with a drone attack as well as a fuel depot in Kuwait.Last Friday, Qatar’s Energy Minister Saad Sherida al-Kaabi warned the Financial Times that Gulf exporters may have to halt production within days, potentially driving oil prices to $150 per barrel.JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. had earlier estimated that Saudi Arabia could run out of oil and fuel storage capacity within a little over two months if the conflict continues. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs said crude prices could rise by about $15 per barrel if supply disruptions last for a full month.<h2 class="st-heading-2">TPET, BATL, INDO Stocks Continue To Remain In Spotlight</h2>At the time of writing, Brent crude futures for May 2026 deliveries surged 11.6% to $103.4 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contracts expiring in May 2026 gained around 11% to $97.3 per barrel.Shares of <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TPET">Trio Petroleum (TPET)&nbsp;</a>surged 20% in pre-market trading, while<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/BATL">&nbsp;Battalion Oil (BATL)</a> jumped 11% and&nbsp; <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/INDO">Indonesia Energy (INDO)</a> traded 5% higher. The United States Oil Fund (USO) gained 13% to its highest levels since October 2018.TPET shares are trading near their June 2025 highs after breaking above the 200-day moving average last week. The stock has surged about 190% so far in 2026. Meanwhile, BATL has rallied more than 1,700% this year and recently secured around $15 million in fresh funding from a new investor.Also See: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/why-agh-stock-rising-trump-drone-powerus-merger/cZdVkDWRII0">AGH Stock Rises 20% In Pre-Market – What’s The Trump, Drone Manufacturing, Pentagon Connection?</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

An offshore oil platform is seen at sunset on February 9, 2024 near Huntington Beach, California.

Saudi Arabia Begins Slashing Oil Production – TPET, BATL, INDO Stocks Continue To Draw Retail Buzz

Saudi Arabia has reportedly started cutting oil production as the escalating conflict in the Middle East saw critical energy infrastructure being targeted by both sides over the weekend.

Trio Petroleum Corp. engages in the exploration and development of oil and gas properties. Its projects include South Salinas, P.R. Spring, and Lloydminster. The company was founded on July 19, 2021 and is headquartered in Malibu, CA.

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